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Match Prediction

Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin Prediction

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31 Jan12:45
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Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin Prediction HNL

Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin prediction for the Sjeverni derbi

The Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin prediction for 2026-01-31 (16:45 GMT) points to a tight, local derby where small details matter. Round 20 of the HNL brings the Sjeverni derbi (Derby of the North) to Koprivnica and the Gradski stadion Ivan Kušek Apaš, with the table adding extra spice: these two mid-table neighbors are split by a single point.

Derby context, form, and what the coaches are building

Slaven (5th, 27 pts) arrive with the calm confidence of a team that has made “not losing” a habit—undefeated in 10 of their last 11 league games. At home, the Pharmacists tend to look organized first and ambitious second, which is often the right recipe in derby football. Varaždin (6th, 26 pts) are close enough to make this feel like a mini six-pointer, and their recent 2–1 win over Gorica on January 26 gave them a timely lift.

Mario Gregurina, who took over Slaven in July 2.55, typically leans on a 4-2-3-1: a stable defensive block, then quick transitions through the wide areas and the No.10 space. Nikola Šafarić (head coach and sports director) has tried to sharpen Varaždin’s defensive structure after a high-intensity camp in Dubai; the message has been fitness and organization first, with finishing expected to improve as legs freshen up. A 0–0 friendly vs FC Kairat hinted at that clean-sheet mindset.

Players and team news worth tracking

  • Slaven threats: Ante Šuto (two goals in the last meeting), 20-year-old Adriano Jagušić as an attacking focal point, and Ilija Nestorovski for experience and penalty-box presence.
  • Discipline note: Mihail Caimacov and Šuto sit on four yellow cards—one more and the next match becomes complicated.
  • Varaždin core: Oliver Zelenika is a steady hand in goal, while Iuri Tavares and Ivan Mamut carry the main scoring responsibility.
  • January movement: Gregor Sikošek and Ivan Canjuga could feature; Lamine Ba has departed. Maglica and Bočkaj had minor fitness issues but should be available.

Head to head notes and market backdrop

The head to head story leans Slaven lately: they won the last meeting on 2.55-08-10 by 3–1, and the broader note is that Slaven have taken both earlier season encounters by the same 3–1 scoreline. Still, both sides have shown they can punch above their price away from home—Slaven drew 2–2 at Rijeka on 2026-01-24 as 6.0 outsiders, and Varaždin drew 1–1 at Hajduk on 2.55-11-29 with win odds of 6.5. In other words: the derby has pride, but the league has taught these teams how to survive.

AI picks, betting odds, and best-value angles

For sports betting and betting odds, the 1X2 market is priced Home 2.55, Draw 3.055, Away 3.05. Our Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin prediction aligns with the home side avoiding defeat, which fits both the form trend and the recent head to head edge.

  • Top bet: 1X (Slaven win or draw) at 1.42, trust level 8.5/10.
  • 1X2 lean: Home win (1) at 2.55, confidence 7.7/10.
  • Goals: Under 3.5 at 1.26, confidence 4.1/10 (supported, but not a “banker”).

Game script projections suggest a controlled Slaven performance: 57% possession, 13 shots (5 on target) versus Varaždin’s 11 shots (3 on target). Corners are forecast at 3.05 (6 total), with just one yellow card each—firm but not chaotic. Squad values are similar (€11.38m vs €10.75m), so this is less about budget and more about execution.

Best read: Slaven start measured, Varaždin resist, and the match opens late. Expected score is 1–0, with a 0–0 half-time prediction—exactly the kind of scoreline that makes 1X look sensible and the home win at 2.55 interesting for higher risk bettors.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Slaven Belupo didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin

1X -238

Slaven Belupo to win or draw with odds of -238
8/10

1x2 Tip

1 155

Slaven Belupo is expected to win with odds of 155
7/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -385

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

No -108

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -167

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
4/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

1.05
xG
1.12
57%
Ball Possession
43%
13
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
3
5
Shots Off Goal
4
3
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

4
Total Goals
3.8
2.2
Goals Scored
2.4
1.8
Goals Against
1.4
52%
Possession
45%
13.2
Total Shots
12.2
5.2
Shots on Goal
4.6
5.8
Shots off Goal
4
14
Fouls
13.6
3
Corners
4.8
1.8
Offsides
1
1.6
Yellow Cards
2.33
393
Total Passes
336

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
5
9
Over 1.5 Goals
9
8
Over 2.5 Goals
6
6
Over 3.5 Goals
5
9
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Slaven Belupo
10 - 7 - 7
NK Varazdin
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 25-Oct-25
1:3
Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo
Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 10-Aug-25
3:1
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin
Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 22-Apr-25
0:1
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 16-Feb-25
0:1
Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 10-Jan-25
1:0
Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo
Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 10-Nov-24
1:1
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 24-Aug-24
2:0
Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo
Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 06-Apr-24
0:1
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 26-Jan-24
1:2
Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo

Profile time Recent Matches of Slaven Belupo

14 MarL Din. Zagreb Din. Zagreb 4 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2
10 MarD Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 1 Lok. Zagreb Lok. Zagreb 1
07 MarD Gorica Gorica 2 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2
27 FebW Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0
20 FebD Vukovar 1991 Vukovar 1991 2 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2
13 FebW Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2 Lok. Zagreb Lok. Zagreb 0
07 FebL Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0
31 JanL Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2
24 JanD Rijeka Rijeka 2 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2
13 JanD Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2 Vukovar 1991 Vukovar 1991 2

Profile time Recent Matches of NK Varazdin

13 MarWNK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2 Vukovar 1991 Vukovar 1991 0
07 MarDLok. Zagreb Lok. Zagreb 1 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1
04 MarLNK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1 Gorica Gorica 3
28 FebDNK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1
22 FebLNK Varazdin NK Varazdin 0 Din. Zagreb Din. Zagreb 4
14 FebLRijeka Rijeka 3 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1
08 FebWNK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2 Osijek Osijek 1
31 JanWSlaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2
26 JanWGorica Gorica 1 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2
17 JanWAl-Ittifaq Al-Ittifaq 2 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 4

Croatia - HNL Croatia - HNL

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb25
59-20
57
2 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk25
37-24
47
3 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka25
37-25
38
4 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven25
35-38
35
5 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin25
31-36
34
6 Istra 1961 Istra 196125
29-36
30
7 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva25
30-38
30
8 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica25
29-38
27
9 NK Osijek NK Osijek25
22-36
23
10 Vukovar Vukovar25
26-44
20
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