Bulgaria
Preview
Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna prediction for Round 25
The Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna prediction for Friday, March 6, 2026 (16:00 GMT / 18:00 local time) takes us to Aleksandar Shalamanov Stadium, where Slavia (8th, 31 points) welcome Spartak (12th, 23 points). On paper it looks like a home-leaning First League game, but both teams arrive with fresh reminders that they can be stubborn when the script says otherwise.
Team form, tactics, and what the coaches are building
Slavia Sofia finally snapped a rough patch in style with a 3-0 away win at Beroe. That result mattered, because it followed two tight defeats: 0-2 vs CSKA 1948 and 0-1 vs CSKA Sofia, where goals were hard to find. Ratko Dostanic sounded pleased with the work rate, and he singled out Ivan Minchev as a leading voice on the pitch—often a key detail when you expect a controlled home performance.
Spartak Varna are still looking over their shoulder in the table, yet recent weeks show a clearer identity. A vital 1-0 win over Montana came right after a 0-1 loss to Arda, and the bigger trend is defensive: only four conceded in the last six league matches. Gjoko Hadzievski has leaned into structure and discipline, and after that Montana win he even summed up the grind in emotional terms: “There is a God!” It reads like a team that will happily make this match uncomfortable.
- Slavia squad notes: Lazar Marin returns after suspension; Kristiyan Stoyanov is out injured; Vasil Kazaldzhiev remains sidelined (illness recovery).
- Spartak squad notes: goalkeeper Maksim Kovalyov and right-back Martin Georgiev return from suspension; Deyan Lozev is out (facial injury); Georgi Stoyanovski still recovering; Tsvetoslav Marinov is a major doubt.
The head to head also nudges us toward goals being manageable rather than wild: Slavia won 3-1 in the most recent meeting (2024-08-09). Still, both teams have recent “against the odds” draws—Slavia at Ludogorets (1-1, priced around 10.5) and Spartak at Lokomotiv Plovdiv (1-1, priced around 7.5)—which is a useful warning for sports betting markets.
Odds and NerdyTips-style AI picks for this match
The betting odds list Slavia as the clear favourite: Home win 1.68, Draw 3.75, Away win 5.3. That matches the squad values too (€6.72m vs €4.66m), but value alone does not score goals. Our Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna prediction leans on game flow: Slavia are expected to have 56% possession, around 11 shots (5 on target), while Spartak project closer to 6 shots (2 on target). Corners are modest (4-3), and cards are slightly higher for the visitors (1-2), which fits a defensive away approach.
- Main tip: Under 3.5 goals at 1.31 (confidence 6.5.30). Our under/over call is also under 3.5 with confidence 6.6.
- 1X2 lean: Home win (1) at 1.68, confidence 4.6.
- Correct score: 1-0 (first half 1-0).
Put together, the data suggests Slavia can control tempo through midfield (helped by Marin’s return), while Spartak’s improved shape reduces the chance of a high-scoring game. For bettors comparing betting odds, the safer angle is the goal line; the riskier play is trusting Slavia to grind out a narrow win—exactly the sort of match where one early goal can decide the whole story.
Read More
Best Tip
The best betting football prediction for Slavia Sofia vs Spartak VarnaU3.5 -323
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -3231x2 Tip
1 -147
Slavia Sofia is expected to win with odds of -147Total Goals
Under 3.5 -323
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchBoth Teams To Score
No -118
At least one team is not expected to scoreBet Builder Tip
1X&U4.5 -286
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goalsCorrect Score
1:0
Stats Predictions
Average / Match
Overview Last 10 Matches
Head to Head
|
|
4
-
2
-
1
|
|
Latest Matches
 Slavia Sofia |
06-Mar-26
4:0
| Spartak Varna  |
| Slavia Sofia |
09-Aug-24
3:1
| Spartak Varna |
| Slavia Sofia |
30-Oct-22
2:2
| Spartak Varna |
| Slavia Sofia |
19-Jun-22
1:2
| Spartak Varna |
| Spartak Varna |
28-Sep-25
1:1
| Slavia Sofia |
| Spartak Varna |
09-Dec-24
1:3
| Slavia Sofia |
Recent Matches of Slavia Sofia
| 16 Apr | D |
Montana
| 0 |
Slavia Sofia
| 0 |
| 10 Apr | L |
Slavia Sofia
| 1 |
Septemvri
| 2 |
| 05 Apr | W |
Cherno M
| 1 |
Slavia Sofia
| 3 |
| 20 Mar | L |
Slavia Sofia
| 0 |
Botev Plovdiv
| 1 |
| 13 Mar | D |
Lok. Sofia
| 1 |
Slavia Sofia
| 1 |
| 06 Mar | W |
Slavia Sofia
| 4 |
Spartak Varna
| 0 |
| 03 Mar | W |
Beroe
| 0 |
Slavia Sofia
| 3 |
| 27 Feb | L |
Slavia Sofia
| 0 |
CSKA 1948
| 2 |
| 21 Feb | L |
CSKA Sofia
| 1 |
Slavia Sofia
| 0 |
| 14 Feb | L |
Arda
| 2 |
Slavia Sofia
| 1 |
Recent Matches Of Spartak Varna
| 16 Apr | D |  Septemvri |
0 | Spartak Varna |
0 |
| 10 Apr | W | Spartak Varna |
1 |  Dobrudzha |
0 |
| 04 Apr | L |  Botev Plovdiv |
5 | Spartak Varna |
0 |
| 19 Mar | L | Spartak Varna |
1 |  Ludogorets |
5 |
| 14 Mar | L | Spartak Varna |
1 |  CSKA 1948 |
2 |
| 06 Mar | L | Slavia Sofia |
4 | Spartak Varna |
0 |
| 03 Mar | W | Spartak Varna |
1 |  Montana |
0 |
| 27 Feb | L |  Arda |
1 | Spartak Varna |
0 |
| 21 Feb | D |  Lok. Plovdiv |
1 | Spartak Varna |
1 |
| 13 Feb | D | Spartak Varna |
2 |  Lok. Sofia |
2 |
Bulgaria - First League
| Team | M | G | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
 Levski Sofia | 30 | 64-22 | 70 |
| 2 |
 Ludogorets | 30 | 57-20 | 60 |
| 3 |
CSKA 1948 | 30 | 50-31 | 59 |
| 4 |
CSKA Sofia | 30 | 43-23 | 56 |
| 5 |
 Lokomotiv | 30 | 30-33 | 46 |
| 6 |
Cherno More | 30 | 33-26 | 44 |
| 7 |
Arda Kardzhali | 30 | 33-27 | 44 |
| 8 |
Botev Plovdiv | 30 | 40-37 | 40 |
| 9 |
Slavia Sofia | 30 | 36-33 | 39 |
| 10 |
 Botev Vratsa | 30 | 24-26 | 38 |
| 11 |
Lokomotiv | 30 | 40-39 | 37 |
| 12 |
Spartak Varna | 30 | 25-50 | 27 |
| 13 |
 Dobrudzha | 30 | 23-43 | 26 |
| 14 |
Septemvri | 30 | 25-58 | 26 |
| 15 |
Beroe | 30 | 19-44 | 23 |
| 16 |
Montana | 30 | 15-45 | 17 |
