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Match Prediction

Southampton vs Hull Prediction

Finished

Southampton

€183.00m

17 Jan10:00
1 : 2

Hull

€61.75m

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Southampton vs Hull Prediction Championship

Southampton vs Hull Prediction: Betting Tips, Team News & AI Insights

If you’re searching for the best Southampton vs Hull prediction ahead of the 15:00 GMT kick-off on January 17, 2026, you’ve landed in the right place. Let’s break down the stats, team news, and betting tips—no jargon, just straight talk and a sprinkle of football fan humor.

Team Form, Tactics & Head to Head History

Southampton fans might want to look away when it comes to recent form. The Saints, currently 15th in the Championship table with 33 points, have been wobbling like a table with one short leg—winless in their last six, with three draws and three losses. They’re scoring just 0.67 goals per game and conceding 1.627, which is about as comforting as a leaky umbrella on a rainy day.

Hull, on the other hand, are sitting pretty in 7th with 41 points and a spring in their step. Four wins, one draw, and just one loss in their last six have them dreaming of the playoffs. They’re averaging 1.47 goals per game and conceding just 0.67. That’s a defense tighter than your mate’s wallet on a night out.

The head to head record between these two sides is a bit of a mixed bag. Out of 17 meetings, Southampton have come out on top nine times, Hull four, and four have ended in a draw. But recent history tilts in Hull’s favor: a 3-1 win in September 2025 and a 2-1 victory in February 2024. Saints fans will remember those with a grimace.

Squad News & Tactical Tweaks

  • Southampton: Interim boss Tonda Eckert is still settling in after Will Still’s departure. Injuries are piling up: Roerslev, Charles, Edozie, and Stewart are all sidelined, while Archer and Welington are just returning. Expect a bit of a patched-up lineup.
  • Hull City: Sergej Jakirovic has built a solid unit, even with a few key absentees. Giles, Belloumi, Lundstram, Williams, Tinsdale, Matazo, Palmer, and Gelhardt are all out or doubtful. Ajayi is away on international duty. The good news? Striker Enis Destan should be fit and firing.

Both teams are likely to keep things tight, with Southampton desperate to stop the rot and Hull keen to maintain their momentum. Expect Saints to try and dominate possession at home, while Hull look to hit on the break.

Southampton vs Hull Prediction: AI Betting Tips & Final Score

Let’s talk numbers and betting tips. The bookies have Southampton as favorites at 1.62 for the home win, with the draw at 4.4 and Hull at 5.8. That’s a nod to the Saints’ higher squad value (€183m vs Hull’s €61.62m) and home advantage, but form suggests this one could be closer than the odds imply.

  1. Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals at 1.47 (trust level 3.6/10). Both sides have been involved in low-scoring games lately, and with so many attacking injuries, goals could be at a premium.
  2. 1x2 Market: Our AI analysis gives Southampton the edge (confidence 3.5.80, odds 1.62), but don’t rule out Hull snatching something.
  3. Predicted Score: 2-1 to Southampton, with a 1-0 lead at half-time.

Expect Southampton to have the lion’s share of the ball (64% possession predicted), rack up 15 shots (5 on target), and win 6 corners. Hull are forecast to manage 8 shots (2 on target) and 3 corners. Cards? Saints to pick up just one yellow, Hull two. All in all, it’s shaping up to be a tactical battle rather than a goal-fest.

Final Thoughts: What to Expect at St. Mary’s

This Southampton vs Hull prediction isn’t just about stats—it’s about the storylines. Saints need a result to steady the ship, while Hull are eyeing the playoff places. With both teams missing key players, expect a cautious start and a game decided by fine margins. If you’re betting, under 3.5 goals looks the safest shout, but a home win is just about the likeliest outcome.

So, whether you’re a Saints supporter hoping for a turnaround or a Hull fan dreaming of another upset, settle in for what should be a tense, tactical, and entertaining afternoon. And remember: in football, anything can happen—especially in the Championship!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Southampton vs Hull

U3.5 -213

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -213
3/10

1x2 Tip

1 -161

Southampton is expected to win with odds of -161
3/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -213

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -130

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U5.5 -345

Home win/draw and under 5.5 goals
6/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

1.44
xG
1.04
64%
Ball Possession
36%
15
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Goal
2
5
Shots Off Goal
3
6
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.31
Expected Goals
1.35
3.3
Total Goals
2.3
1.5
Goals Scored
1.2
1.8
Goals Against
1.1
58%
Possession
46%
14.4
Total Shots
11.7
5.3
Shots on Goal
3.3
5.1
Shots off Goal
5.2
9.9
Fouls
12.5
5.6
Corners
4.7
1.5
Offsides
1.8
1.89
Yellow Cards
2.44
494
Total Passes
380

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
5
9
Over 1.5 Goals
6
7
Over 2.5 Goals
4
5
Over 3.5 Goals
3
8
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
2
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Southampton
7 - 1 - 3
Hull
Hull Hull 20-Sep-25
3:1
Southampton Southampton
Southampton Southampton 20-Feb-24
1:2
Hull Hull
Hull Hull 21-Oct-23
1:2
Southampton Southampton
Southampton Southampton 29-Apr-17
0:0
Hull Hull
Hull Hull 06-Nov-16
2:1
Southampton Southampton
Southampton Southampton 11-Apr-15
2:0
Hull Hull
Hull Hull 01-Nov-14
0:1
Southampton Southampton
Hull Hull 11-Feb-14
0:1
Southampton Southampton
Southampton Southampton 09-Nov-13
4:1
Hull Hull
Hull Hull 20-Mar-12
0:2
Southampton Southampton

Profile time Recent Matches of Southampton

28 FebW Sheffield Wed Sheffield Wed 1 Southampton Southampton 3
24 FebW Southampton Southampton 5 QPR QPR 0
21 FebD Southampton Southampton 1 Charlton Charlton 1
14 FebW Southampton Southampton 2 Leicester Leicester 1
10 FebW Leicester Leicester 3 Southampton Southampton 4
07 FebW Southampton Southampton 1 Watford Watford 0
31 JanW Stoke Stoke 0 Southampton Southampton 2
25 JanD Portsmouth Portsmouth 1 Southampton Southampton 1
21 JanW Southampton Southampton 1 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 0
17 JanL Southampton Southampton 1 Hull Hull 2

Profile time Recent Matches of Hull

03 MarIpswich Ipswich - Hull Hull -
28 FebWPortsmouth Portsmouth 0 Hull Hull 1
24 FebWHull Hull 4 Derby Derby 2
21 FebLHull Hull 1 QPR QPR 3
13 FebLHull Hull 0 Chelsea Chelsea 4
07 FebLHull Hull 2 Bristol City Bristol City 3
03 FebDHull Hull 0 Watford Watford 0
31 JanWBlackburn Blackburn 0 Hull Hull 1
24 JanWHull Hull 2 Swansea Swansea 1
20 JanWPreston Preston 0 Hull Hull 3

England - Championship England - Championship

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Coventry Coventry35
72-38
71
2 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough35
54-35
66
3 Millwall Millwall35
47-40
62
4 Ipswich Ipswich33
59-34
60
5 Hull City Hull City34
56-48
60
6 Wrexham Wrexham35
54-45
57
7 Southampton Southampton35
57-46
53
8 Derby Derby35
52-46
51
9 Watford Watford35
45-41
51
10 Bristol City Bristol City35
48-44
50
11 Preston Preston35
41-40
49
12 Birmingham Birmingham35
46-46
49
13 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd35
50-48
48
14 Stoke City Stoke City35
39-34
47
15 QPR QPR35
46-54
47
16 Swansea Swansea35
40-43
46
17 Norwich Norwich35
47-44
45
18 Charlton Charlton35
33-44
41
19 Portsmouth Portsmouth34
34-44
39
20 Blackburn Blackburn35
33-46
38
21 West Brom West Brom35
34-52
35
22 Leicester Leicester35
47-56
34
23 Oxford United Oxford United35
31-47
32
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield35
21-71
-7
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