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Match Prediction

Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia Prediction

Finished
Bulgaria flag Bulgaria
First League

Spartak Varna

€7.24m

26 Apr10:30
0 : 1

CSKA Sofia

€23.45m

Preview

Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia Prediction First League

Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia Prediction: A High-Stakes Battle for Second Place

The Bulgarian First League serves up a mouthwatering encounter this weekend as Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia lock horns in a match that could define their seasons. With just one point separating the two sides—Spartak in second (48 points) and CSKA in third (47 points)—this is more than just a game; it’s a fight for supremacy, pride, and potentially a shot at the title. The head-to-head history adds spice, especially after CSKA’s narrow 3-2 victory in December, defying the odds in a match where Spartak were priced at 5.3 to win. This time, the stakes are even higher.

The David vs Goliath Narrative

On paper, this should be a mismatch. CSKA’s squad is valued at a staggering €23.45m—enough to buy three Spartak Varna teams (€7.24m) and still have change left over. But as any football fan knows, the game isn’t played on spreadsheets. Spartak’s recent 1-1 draw against Cherno More (odds 5.6) proved they can punch above their weight, while CSKA’s occasional defensive lapses suggest they’re not invincible.

The betting odds tell their own story:

  • Home win: 4.75
  • Draw: 3.5
  • Away win: 1.7
CSKA are favorites, but Spartak’s resilience means this won’t be a walk in the park.

Tactical Breakdown: Possession vs Pragmatism

Stats from their last meeting paint a clear picture: CSKA dominated with 64% possession, 17 shots (5 on target), while Spartak managed just 36% possession and 6 shots (2 on target). Yet, the final score was 3-2—proof that efficiency can trump sheer volume. Expect CSKA to control the ball again, but Spartak will likely sit deep, absorb pressure, and look to hit on the break.

Key Betting Insights

Our NerdyTips AI model strongly backs Under 3.5 goals (8.5/10 confidence, odds 1.25), and for good reason:

  1. Only 23.4% of Bulgarian First League matches see more than 3.5 goals.
  2. The predicted scoreline is a tight 0-1 (HT 0-0), reflecting CSKA’s edge in quality but Spartak’s defensive discipline.
Corners and cards also lean toward CSKA’s aggressive style—expect around 9 total corners (CSKA 7, Spartak 2) and a few yellows (Spartak 1, CSKA 2).

Why This Match Matters Beyond the Points

This isn’t just about three points—it’s about momentum. A win for CSKA could propel them into second, putting pressure on the league leaders. For Spartak, holding firm would cement their status as genuine contenders. The head-to-head history suggests drama, and with so much on the line, don’t expect either side to hold back.

Final Betting Tips and Takeaways

To sum up our Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia prediction:

  • CSKA to win (1.7 odds) makes sense given their squad depth and recent form, but it won’t be a rout.
  • Under 3.5 goals (1.25) is the smart play, aligning with league trends and both teams’ styles.
  • For those feeling bold, a correct score of 0-1 (6.0 odds) offers value.
Football isn’t always predictable, but one thing’s certain: this will be a battle worth watching.

Whether you’re a neutral or a die-hard fan, this match promises tension, drama, and maybe a twist or two. Keep an eye on those betting tips—they might just lead you to a winning slip.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia

U3.5 -400

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -400
8/10

1x2 Tip

2 -143

CSKA Sofia is expected to win with odds of -143
3/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -400

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
8/10

Both Teams To Score

No -133

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -278

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
5/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:1

Stats Predictions

36%
Ball Possession
64%
6
Total Shots
17
2
Shots on Goal
5
2
Shots Off Goal
6
2
Corners
7
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

2.5
Total Goals
1.8
1.2
Goals Scored
1.2
1.3
Goals Against
0.6

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
5
7
Over 1.5 Goals
6
5
Over 2.5 Goals
2
1
Over 3.5 Goals
1
5
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Spartak Varna
1 - 1 - 6
CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 26-Jul-25
1:1
Spartak V Spartak Varna
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 13-May-25
5:0
Spartak V Spartak Varna
Spartak Varna Spartak V 26-Apr-25
0:1
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
Spartak Varna Spartak V 15-Dec-24
2:3
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 03-Dec-24
3:1
Spartak V Spartak Varna
Spartak Varna Spartak V 03-Aug-24
3:0
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 18-Mar-23
1:0
Spartak V Spartak Varna
Spartak Varna Spartak V 03-Sep-22
0:1
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia

Profile time Recent Matches of Spartak V

13 DecL Spartak Varna Spartak Varn.
0:2
Botev Plovdi. Botev Plovdiv

Profile time Recent Matches of CSKA Sofia

13 DecWCSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia.
2:1
Lok. Sofia.Lok. Sofia

Bulgaria - First League Bulgaria - First League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia36
58-28
65
2 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv36
43-43
56
3 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna36
45-53
51
4 Beroe Beroe36
41-43
49
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