icon back

Match Prediction

Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar Prediction

Finished
Peru flag Peru
Primera División

Sport Huancayo

€6.85m

21 Jun19:00
2 : 2

FBC Melgar

€10.26m

Preview

Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar Prediction Primera División

Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar Prediction: A Tight Battle in the Andes

When Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar kicks off on June 21, 1.85, at Estadio Huancayo, it won’t just be another fixture in Peru’s Primera Division—it’ll be a test of ambition. Both teams arrive with points to prove: Huancayo, fresh off a gritty away draw against Alianza Lima, and Melgar, eager to replicate their 4-2 victory from the last head-to-head in October 2024. The odds reflect the tension: 1.85 for a home win, 3.5 for a draw, and 1.852 for Melgar to take all three points. But let’s dig deeper into why this match could defy expectations.

Recent Form and Resilience

Huancayo’s recent 0-0 draw against Alianza Lima, despite being massive underdogs (odds: 8.28), showcased their defensive discipline. That resilience at the back might just be the key against a Melgar side that loves to attack. Meanwhile, Melgar’s squad, valued at €10.26m compared to Huancayo’s €6.85m, suggests superior individual quality—but as we’ve seen, football isn’t played on spreadsheets.

Key Stats to Consider

  • Predicted score: 2-1 to Huancayo (HT: 0-0)
  • AI’s top tip: Under 3.5 goals (odds: 1.33, trust: 6.3/10)
  • Possession: Expected to be nearly even (51% Huancayo, 49% Melgar)
  • Shots: Huancayo 13 (4 on target), Melgar 12 (3 on target)
  • Corners: 8 total (4 each)
  • Discipline: 2 yellow cards per team anticipated

Betting Tips and Trends

The AI leans toward a low-scoring affair, with under 3.5 goals as the safest bet. This aligns with league trends: only 24.4% of matches see over 3.5 goals, while 43.8% finish with over 2.5. The predicted 2-1 scoreline fits snugly into these patterns. Home advantage also matters—43.8% of Primera Division games end in home wins, compared to just 19.9% for away victories. That slight edge, combined with Huancayo’s recent defensive solidity, makes the 1.85 odds for a home win intriguing, even if the AI’s trust level is modest (2.5/10).

Head-to-Head Context

Last October, Melgar dominated Huancayo 4-2, with odds heavily favoring them (1.82 vs 4.0). But this time, the gap feels narrower. Huancayo’s improved organization, especially in holding Alianza Lima scoreless, suggests they’ve learned from past mistakes. Melgar, while dangerous, might struggle to break down a compact defense—especially if the first half stays goalless as predicted.

Final Thoughts

This Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar prediction hinges on fine margins. Expect a tactical battle with moments of flair: Huancayo’s home grit versus Melgar’s attacking pedigree. The stats point to a close game, but Huancayo’s recent resilience and home turf could tip the scales. If you’re eyeing the betting tips, the under 3.5 goals market feels like the smart play—but don’t rule out a 2-1 upset for the hosts.

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Warning

Sport H has an unusually high recent form. Be cautious!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar

U3.5 -303

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -303
6/10

1x2 Tip

1 -118

Sport Huancayo is expected to win with odds of -118
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -303

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -137

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -250

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

51%
Ball Possession
49%
13
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
3
5
Shots Off Goal
4
4
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

2.8
Total Goals
2
1.6
Goals Scored
1
1.2
Goals Against
1
47%
Possession
52%
14.6
Total Shots
13.1
5
Shots on Goal
3.8
6.3
Shots off Goal
4.8
13.9
Fouls
10.2
5
Corners
5.9
2.2
Offsides
2
2.67
Yellow Cards
2.3
0.11
Red Cards
0.1
302
Total Passes
371

Overview Last 10 Matches

6
Wins
4
7
Over 1.5 Goals
7
7
Over 2.5 Goals
3
3
Over 3.5 Goals
0
5
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Sport Huancayo
4 - 5 - 10
FBC Melgar
Sport Huancayo Sport H 27-Oct-24
2:4
Melgar FBC Melgar
FBC Melgar Melgar 19-May-24
4:1
Sport H Sport Huancayo
FBC Melgar Melgar 27-Aug-23
1:3
Sport H Sport Huancayo
Sport Huancayo Sport H 09-Apr-23
1:1
Melgar FBC Melgar
FBC Melgar Melgar 24-Jul-22
1:0
Sport H Sport Huancayo
Sport Huancayo Sport H 20-Feb-22
3:0
Melgar FBC Melgar
Sport Huancayo Sport H 18-Jul-21
0:3
Melgar FBC Melgar
FBC Melgar Melgar 18-Nov-20
4:0
Sport H Sport Huancayo
FBC Melgar Melgar 08-Mar-20
1:0
Sport H Sport Huancayo

Peru - Primera División Peru - Primera División

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Universitario Universitario17
29-13
40
2 Cusco Cusco17
29-15
36
3 Sporting Cristal Sporting Crist17
29-13
31
4 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima17
30-19
31
5 Cienciano Cienciano17
25-21
27
6 Cultural Santa Rosa Cultural Santa17
21-28
27
7 FBC Melgar FBC Melgar17
24-17
25
8 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garc17
20-21
25
9 ADT ADT17
19-20
25
10 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atleti17
15-12
23
11 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes U16
17-21
23
12 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo17
28-28
18
13 Alianza Universidad Alianza Univer17
23-33
17
14 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau17
19-24
16
15 Sport Boys Sport Boys17
14-25
16
16 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC16
16-26
14
17 Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II 17
13-23
14
18 UTC UTC17
16-28
13
Video preview
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches