Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Belgium
Preview
Saturday evening at Stade de la Neuville promises a tense affair as Sporting Charleroi II welcome Tournai in a First Amateur Division matchup that might not make headlines, but certainly offers some intriguing betting angles. Kick-off is scheduled for 19:00 GMT on April 5, 2025, and if you're a fan of low-scoring, tactical battles, this one might just be your cup of tea—or your betting opportunity.
These two sides last met back in October 2024, when Tournai managed to snatch a 2.05 victory. It wasn’t a walk in the park though—Sporting Charleroi II gave them a real run for their money. That match had its fair share of drama, but don’t let that scoreline fool you into expecting another goal-fest. If anything, the numbers suggest we should be bracing for a more conservative affair this time around.
Charleroi II have developed a habit of keeping things tight at home. Combine that with Tournai’s relatively cautious away approach, and you’ve got the perfect storm for a low-scoring match. In fact, over the past few seasons in the Belgian First Amateur Division, only 42.6% of games have gone over 2.5 goals. That’s less than half. And if you're wondering about the real snooze-fests, only 24.7% of matches have seen more than 3.5 goals.
Looking at the odds, the home side are slight favorites at 2.05, while a draw sits at 3.18 and an away win is priced at 3.25. That tells us the bookmakers see this one as pretty balanced, with a minor lean toward the hosts. It’s the kind of game where one goal could decide everything—so naturally, we’re looking at the goals market for value.
Here’s what we predict for Sporting Charleroi II vs Tournai: the AI strongly recommends betting on under 2.5 goals, with a confidence rating of 3.6/10 and odds of 1.65.
Now, before you scoff at that confidence rating, hear us out. This isn’t about being flashy—it’s about playing the percentages. With only 42.6% of games in this league featuring more than 2.5 goals, and both teams historically leaning toward cautious football, the under 2.5 is a logical pick. Add in the AI’s expected scoreline of 1-0 and a 0-0 prediction at halftime, and you’ve got a recipe for a tight, tactical match.
Plus, let’s not forget that only 45.7% of games in this league see both teams scoring. That means one side often blanks—and in a game like this, where both clubs might be more focused on avoiding mistakes than taking risks, it makes sense to expect a low-scoring outcome.
If you’re looking for a little more cushion, the AI’s 1X prediction—meaning Sporting Charleroi II to win or draw—comes with a trust score of 2.0 and odds of 1.3. It’s not the flashiest return, but in a game that’s likely to be decided by fine margins, backing the home side to at least avoid defeat seems like a steady move.
Charleroi II may not be the most consistent team in the league, but at home, they’ve shown resilience. And with Tournai struggling to find rhythm on the road, a draw or narrow home win feels like a realistic outcome. The stats back it too—home teams win 38.9% of the time in this league, compared to just 23.5% for away sides. That’s a significant gap and one that shouldn’t be ignored.
So whether you’re looking to bet small or go bold, this match offers some calculated value. Just don’t expect fireworks—unless you’re counting yellow cards or tactical fouls. This one’s more chess than pinball.
To wrap it up, the Sporting Charleroi II vs Tournai prediction leans toward a tight home performance, with the best value sitting in the under 2.5 goals market at 1.65 odds. It’s not a blockbuster, but with smart betting, it could still be a profitable evening.
Read More
Tournai no motivation!
U2.5 -154
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -1541X -385
Sporting to win or drawUnder 2.5 -154
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -123
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U3.5 -141
Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1:0
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0
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2
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2
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 Tournai |
18-Apr-25
1:1
| Sporting  |
| Sporting |
05-Apr-25
1:1
| Tournai |
| Tournai |
18-Jan-25
1:0
| Sporting |
Recent Matches of Sporting | 01 Feb |
Charleroi .
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| Crossing .
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| 24 Jan | W |
Tubize.
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2:3
| Charleroi .
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Recent Matches of Tournai
Belgium - First Amateur Division| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sporting Charleroi | 10 | 16-10 | 30 |
| 2 |
Union Saint-Gilloise | 10 | 18-8 | 27 |
| 3 |
Union Namur | 10 | 7-11 | 23 |
| 4 |
Standard Liège | 10 | 9-8 | 19 |
| 5 |
RUS Binche | 10 | 9-16 | 19 |
| 6 |
Tournai | 10 | 5-11 | 17 |
