Preview
The Sporting CP vs Benfica prediction starts with a simple truth: in Lisbon, even the air feels tactical on derby day. This Primeira Liga meeting is scheduled for Sunday, April 19, 2026, with kickoff at 18:00 GMT (often listed online as 17:00 UTC, depending on the source). And while the city will argue about pride, we will quietly track the betting odds, the numbers, and the story they tell.
Sporting and Benfica do not need extra motivation, but the calendar provides it anyway. Every point at this stage of the season weighs double, and both sides know that a fast start can turn the noise into pressure for the opponent. The last head to head meeting on 2025-07-31 ended 0-1, a reminder that tiny margins can decide everything.
Tactically, Sporting are usually happiest when they can build with patience and stretch the pitch, while Benfica often look to speed up play through quick combinations and aggressive pressing triggers. In derbies, that becomes a chess match: Sporting want clean exits from the back; Benfica want messy ones.
Now for the part that turns feelings into sports betting decisions. The 1X2 betting odds currently read: Sporting win 2.18, draw 3.6, Benfica win 3.35. Those prices already paint Sporting as slight favorites at home, with the draw priced high enough to tempt careful bettors who still respect derby chaos.
NerdyTips’ AI recommends 1X (home win or draw) as the best tip, rated 8.5/10 for confidence, with odds of 1.37. That recommendation lines up with the game model: Sporting to control more of the ball, allow fewer clean chances, and avoid the classic “one mistake, one goal” trap.
So, the clean Sporting CP vs Benfica prediction for risk management is 1X, and the bolder play is Sporting to win at 2.18. If you like a simpler angle, over 1.5 goals fits the projected shot and on-target counts. And if the script follows the model, Sporting go into the break 1-0 up—leaving Benfica to chase, and leaving you to pretend you were calm the whole time.
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Sporting CP didn't play better in the last H2H match!
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10
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13
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17
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Benfica |
05-Dec-25
1:1
| Sporting CP ![]() |
Benfica |
25-May-25
1:3
| Sporting CP ![]() |
Benfica |
10-May-25
1:1
| Sporting CP ![]() |
Benfica |
02-Apr-24
2:2
| Sporting CP ![]() |
Benfica |
12-Nov-23
2:1
| Sporting CP ![]() |
Benfica |
15-Jan-23
2:2
| Sporting CP ![]() |
Benfica |
29-Jan-22
1:2
| Sporting CP ![]() |
Benfica |
03-Dec-21
1:3
| Sporting CP ![]() |
Benfica |
15-May-21
4:3
| Sporting CP ![]() |
Benfica |
04-Aug-19
5:0
| Sporting CP ![]() |
| 15 Apr | D |
Arsenal
| 0 |
Sporting CP
| 0 |
| 11 Apr | W |
Estrela
| 0 |
Sporting CP
| 1 |
| 07 Apr | L |
Sporting CP
| 0 |
Arsenal
| 1 |
| 03 Apr | W |
Sporting CP
| 4 |
Santa Clara
| 2 |
| 22 Mar | W |
Alverca
| 1 |
Sporting CP
| 4 |
| 17 Mar | W |
Sporting CP
| 5 |
Bodo/Glimt
| 0 |
| 11 Mar | L |
Bodo/Glimt
| 3 |
Sporting CP
| 0 |
| 07 Mar | D |
Braga
| 2 |
Sporting CP
| 2 |
| 03 Mar | W |
Sporting CP
| 1 |
FC Porto
| 0 |
| 27 Feb | W |
Sporting CP
| 3 |
Estoril
| 0 |
| 12 Apr | W | Benfica |
2 | Nacional |
0 |
| 06 Apr | D | Casa Pia |
1 | Benfica |
1 |
| 21 Mar | W | Benfica |
3 | Guimaraes |
0 |
| 14 Mar | W | Arouca |
1 | Benfica |
2 |
| 08 Mar | D | Benfica |
2 | FC Porto |
2 |
| 02 Mar | W | Gil Vicente |
1 | Benfica |
2 |
| 25 Feb | L | Real Madrid |
2 | Benfica |
1 |
| 21 Feb | W | Benfica |
3 | AFS |
0 |
| 17 Feb | L | Benfica |
0 | Real Madrid |
1 |
| 13 Feb | W | Santa Clara |
1 | Benfica |
2 |
Portugal - Primeira Liga| Team | M | G | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto | 29 | 59-14 | 76 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP | 28 | 73-17 | 71 |
| 3 |
Benfica | 29 | 61-18 | 69 |
| 4 |
SC Braga | 28 | 55-27 | 52 |
| 5 |
Famalicao | 29 | 36-25 | 47 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente | 29 | 44-30 | 46 |
| 7 |
Estoril | 29 | 51-50 | 37 |
| 8 |
Guimaraes | 29 | 35-43 | 36 |
| 9 |
Moreirense | 29 | 32-41 | 36 |
| 10 |
Alverca | 29 | 32-47 | 35 |
| 11 |
Rio Ave | 29 | 31-48 | 33 |
| 12 |
Arouca | 29 | 37-58 | 32 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara | 29 | 26-37 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela | 29 | 33-48 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nacional | 29 | 31-41 | 25 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia | 28 | 28-52 | 25 |
| 17 |
Tondela | 28 | 21-46 | 21 |
| 18 |
AVS | 29 | 19-62 | 12 |