Preview
Our Sporting CP vs Estoril prediction looks ahead to a Primeira Liga fixture that, on paper, has a clear favorite. The match is set for Friday, February 27, 2026, at 20:45 GMT at Sporting's Estádio José Alvalade. While the story seems familiar, football always has room for a twist. Let's dive into the narrative shaping this encounter.
Sporting CP, the Lions, are in a fierce battle for the title, sitting just four points off the top. Their form is nothing short of spectacular, riding a 17-game unbeaten league run and having won 13 consecutive matches at their home fortress. The atmosphere in Lisbon will be electric with expectation.
Estoril, in contrast, are in a mid-table fight, seeking consistency. Their season has been a mix of bright sparks, like a recent 3-1 win over Gil Vicente, and harsh lessons, such as a 3-0 defeat to AVS. Their mission in Lisbon is daunting but not impossible.
Coach Rui Borges has Sporting playing a high-intensity, possession-based game. Even with injuries to key players like Fotis Ioannidis, their attack remains terrifying.
Estoril, coached by Ian Cathro, will likely set up in a defensive block and look to counter. Their hopes rest on:
The head to head history is overwhelmingly in Sporting's favor, with nine consecutive wins against Estoril. The last meeting ended 3-1 for the Lions.
Now, let's look at the data-driven forecast. Our system has analyzed all the factors—form, head to head stats, and team news—to generate a detailed Sporting CP vs Estoril prediction.
The numbers paint a clear picture of dominance. We expect Sporting to control the ball, with 67% possession predicted against Estoril's 33%. This should lead to a barrage of attempts: 18 total shots for the home side, with 6 on target, compared to just 6 shots (2 on target) for Estoril.
Given this expected flow, our AI's predicted final score is a 2-1 victory for Sporting CP. We anticipate they will lead 1-0 at half-time. This aligns with the idea that Estoril's attack can be dangerous, but their defense may struggle to hold firm for 90 minutes against such pressure.
The betting odds strongly reflect Sporting's favorite status. A home win is priced at 1.23, a draw at 7.25, and an unlikely Estoril victory at 13.5. Our 1x2 pick is also for a Sporting win (1).
However, our most confident recommendation is on the total goals market. The best tip is for over 2.5 goals in the match, with odds of 1.36 and a high trust level. Here’s why this makes sense:
Other predicted match stats that support a high-scoring, dominant home performance include:
In summary, while the betting odds point to a straightforward Sporting win, the smarter value for bettors, according to our analysis, lies in expecting an entertaining match with at least three goals. Mark your calendar for February 27th to see if the Lions can continue their charge, or if Estoril can script a surprising chapter in this fixture's history.
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15
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3
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3
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Estoril |
27-Sep-25
0:1
| Sporting CP ![]() |
Sporting CP |
03-Mar-25
3:1
| Estoril ![]() |
Estoril |
27-Sep-24
0:3
| Sporting CP ![]() |
Estoril |
11-May-24
0:1
| Sporting CP ![]() |
Sporting CP |
05-Jan-24
5:1
| Estoril ![]() |
Sporting CP |
27-Feb-23
2:0
| Estoril ![]() |
Estoril |
02-Sep-22
0:2
| Sporting CP ![]() |
Sporting CP |
20-Feb-22
3:0
| Estoril ![]() |
Estoril |
19-Sep-21
0:1
| Sporting CP ![]() |
Estoril |
04-Feb-18
2:0
| Sporting CP ![]() |
| 21 Feb | W |
Moreirense
| 0 |
Sporting CP
| 3 |
| 15 Feb | W |
Sporting CP
| 1 |
Famalicao
| 0 |
| 09 Feb | D |
FC Porto
| 1 |
Sporting CP
| 1 |
| 05 Feb | W |
Sporting CP
| 3 |
AFS
| 2 |
| 01 Feb | W |
Sporting CP
| 2 |
Nacional
| 1 |
| 28 Jan | W |
Ath Bilbao
| 2 |
Sporting CP
| 3 |
| 24 Jan | W |
Arouca
| 1 |
Sporting CP
| 2 |
| 20 Jan | W |
Sporting CP
| 2 |
PSG
| 1 |
| 16 Jan | W |
Sporting CP
| 3 |
Casa Pia
| 0 |
| 06 Jan | L |
Sporting CP
| 1 |
Guimaraes
| 2 |
| 22 Feb | W | Estoril |
3 | Gil Vicente |
1 |
| 15 Feb | L | AFS |
3 | Estoril |
0 |
| 07 Feb | D | Estoril |
2 | Tondela |
2 |
| 31 Jan | W | Santa Clara |
2 | Estoril |
4 |
| 24 Jan | W | Estoril |
4 | Guimaraes |
2 |
| 19 Jan | W | Estrela |
0 | Estoril |
5 |
| 03 Jan | L | Benfica |
3 | Estoril |
1 |
| 27 Dec | W | Estoril |
4 | Alverca |
1 |
| 19 Dec | W | Estoril |
1 | Braga |
0 |
| 14 Dec | L | Famalicao |
4 | Estoril |
0 |
Portugal - Primeira Liga| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto | 23 | 44-7 | 62 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP | 23 | 59-12 | 58 |
| 3 |
Benfica | 23 | 49-13 | 55 |
| 4 |
SC Braga | 23 | 48-22 | 42 |
| 5 |
GIL Vicente | 23 | 34-21 | 40 |
| 6 |
Estoril | 23 | 46-39 | 33 |
| 7 |
Moreirense | 23 | 29-33 | 33 |
| 8 |
Famalicao | 22 | 27-21 | 32 |
| 9 |
Guimaraes | 23 | 27-34 | 31 |
| 10 |
Alverca | 23 | 23-38 | 26 |
| 11 |
Arouca | 23 | 31-49 | 26 |
| 12 |
Estrela | 23 | 26-41 | 23 |
| 13 |
Casa Pia | 22 | 25-41 | 22 |
| 14 |
Nacional | 23 | 27-34 | 21 |
| 15 |
Rio Ave | 23 | 23-44 | 20 |
| 16 |
Santa Clara | 23 | 18-29 | 18 |
| 17 |
Tondela | 23 | 17-36 | 18 |
| 18 |
AVS | 23 | 18-57 | 8 |