icon back

Match Prediction

Sporting CP vs Guimaraes Prediction

Finished
Portugal flag Portugal
Primeira Liga

Sporting CP

€487.50m

17 May13:00
2 : 0

Guimaraes

€50.22m

Preview

Sporting CP vs Guimaraes Prediction Primeira Liga

Sporting CP vs Guimaraes Prediction: Will the Lions Roar at Home?

As the Primeira Liga nears its grand finale, all eyes turn to Estádio José Alvalade for a highly anticipated fixture: Sporting CP vs Guimaraes prediction is the hot topic for bettors and fans alike ahead of the 2025-05-17 showdown at 18:00 GMT. With Sporting CP sitting comfortably at the top of the table and Guimaraes holding a respectable fifth, this encounter promises plenty of intrigue, drama, and, of course, betting opportunities.

Setting the Stage: League Leaders vs. Ambitious Underdogs

Sporting CP have been the benchmark for excellence this season, amassing 79 points after 33 games. Their dominance is reflected not just in their league position but also in their staggering market value of €487.50m—nearly ten times that of Guimaraes, who are valued at €50.22m. Guimaraes, meanwhile, have fought valiantly to secure 54 points and a top-five spot, but the gulf between these teams is hard to ignore.

Bookmakers certainly aren't ignoring it. The odds paint a clear picture: Sporting CP are overwhelming favorites at 1.311, while a draw sits at 5.4 and a Guimaraes away win is a distant dream at 9.5. These numbers highlight not just Sporting’s superiority but also the expectation of a one-sided affair. But as seasoned bettors know, football has a habit of surprising us when we least expect it.

Recent Form and Head-to-Head Insights

The last head to head between these sides on 2024-04-21 saw Sporting CP run out 3:0 winners—a result that echoes the AI’s Sporting CP vs Guimaraes prediction for this encounter. Sporting’s consistency at home, combined with their league-best attack, suggests they’ll control proceedings once again. Guimaraes, though, have shown they can punch above their weight, as evidenced by their 2:2 draw at Real Betis (odds 5.07). Sporting’s own shock 0:0 draw at Manchester City (odds 13.0) is a reminder that even the giants can be held.

Stats That Matter: Possession, Shots, and Set Pieces

Let’s break down what we can expect on the pitch:

  • Possession: Sporting CP are set to dominate with 65%, leaving Guimaraes chasing shadows at 35%.
  • Shots: The hosts should rack up 15 attempts (7 on target), while Guimaraes may manage 8 (2 on target).
  • Corners: Expect 8 corners in total—5 for Sporting, 3 for Guimaraes—highlighting the home side’s attacking intent.
  • Discipline: Sporting are likely to stay composed with 2 yellow cards, while Guimaraes’ underdog grit could see them pick up 3 bookings.

These numbers support the AI’s Sporting CP vs Guimaraes prediction of a 3:0 full-time score, with a 1:0 lead for Sporting at half-time. The home side’s expected dominance in possession and shots makes a strong case for plenty of goalmouth action.

League Trends: What Do the Numbers Say?

Primeira Liga stats show that home teams win 43.5% of matches, away sides 32.4%, and draws occur 24.1% of the time. Both teams score in 48.5% of games—nearly half—while over 1.5 goals land in 72.0% of matches, over 2.5 in 48.6%, and over 3.5 in 26.8%. These trends, combined with Sporting’s attacking prowess, make the over 2.5 goals market (odds 1.69, trust rating 4.1/10) an attractive proposition for bettors seeking value.

  • Best Bet: Home win (1) at 1.311 (trust score 4.2/10)
  • Top Over/Under Bet: Over 2.5 goals at 1.69 (trust rating 4.1/10)

While the odds heavily favor Sporting, Guimaraes’ history of springing surprises—like their draw at Betis—might tempt risk-takers to have a flutter on the underdog. Still, the market value gap and recent head to head results suggest the hosts are the safer pick.

Sporting CP vs Guimaraes Prediction: Final Betting Tips and Key Stats

To sum up, all signs point toward another commanding home performance from Sporting CP. The AI’s 3:0 prediction reflects both the stats and the bookmakers’ expectations. For those hunting for value, the over 2.5 goals market is worth a look, given Sporting’s likely dominance in shots and possession. Guimaraes might be game for a fight, but the numbers—and recent history—are stacked against them.

  1. Sporting CP vs Guimaraes prediction: Home win (1) is the best bet at 1.311 odds.
  2. Over 2.5 goals offers decent value at 1.69 odds.
  3. Expect Sporting to control the game, with a predicted 3:0 scoreline and a 1:0 half-time lead.
  4. Remember the market value gulf: €487.50m vs €50.22m.

Whether you’re a casual fan or a seasoned bettor, this fixture has all the ingredients for an entertaining Saturday evening. As always, keep an eye on the stats, trust the trends, and may your bets be as sharp as Sporting’s attack!

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Warning

Sporting CP didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Sporting CP vs Guimaraes

1 -323

Sporting CP is expected to win with odds of -323
4/10

1x2 Tip

1 -323

Sporting CP is expected to win with odds of -323
4/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -189

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

No -111

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O2.5 -154

Home win/draw and over 2.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

3:0

Stats Predictions

65%
Ball Possession
35%
15
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots Off Goal
2
5
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
3

Average / Match

2.9
Total Goals
2.8
2.3
Goals Scored
1.5
0.6
Goals Against
1.3
59%
Possession
60%
14.9
Total Shots
14.2
6.9
Shots on Goal
4.4
4.8
Shots off Goal
5.6
12.1
Fouls
14
5.3
Corners
6.9
1.5
Offsides
1.1
2.3
Yellow Cards
2.22
0.1
Red Cards
0
479
Total Passes
478

Overview Last 10 Matches

8
Wins
6
9
Over 1.5 Goals
9
6
Over 2.5 Goals
7
3
Over 3.5 Goals
2
6
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Sporting CP
18 - 8 - 4
Guimaraes
Sporting CP Sporting CP 17-May-25
2:0
Guimaraes Guimaraes
Guimaraes Guimaraes 03-Jan-25
4:4
Sporting CP Sporting CP
Sporting CP Sporting CP 21-Apr-24
3:0
Guimaraes Guimaraes
Guimaraes Guimaraes 09-Dec-23
3:2
Sporting CP Sporting CP
Guimaraes Guimaraes 24-Apr-23
0:2
Sporting CP Sporting CP
Sporting CP Sporting CP 05-Nov-22
3:0
Guimaraes Guimaraes
Guimaraes Guimaraes 19-Mar-22
1:3
Sporting CP Sporting CP
Sporting CP Sporting CP 30-Oct-21
1:0
Guimaraes Guimaraes
Sporting CP Sporting CP 20-Mar-21
1:0
Guimaraes Guimaraes
Guimaraes Guimaraes 07-Nov-20
0:4
Sporting CP Sporting CP

Profile time Recent Matches of Sporting CP

09 Dec Bayern Munich Bayern Munic.
-
Sporting CP. Sporting CP
05 DecD Benfica Benfica.
1:1
Sporting CP. Sporting CP

Profile time Recent Matches of Guimaraes

08 DecGuimaraes Guimaraes.
-
Gil Vicente.Gil Vicente
04 DecWFC Porto FC Porto.
1:3
Guimaraes.Guimaraes

Portugal - Primeira Liga Portugal - Primeira Liga

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Sporting CP Sporting CP34
88-27
82
2 Benfica Benfica34
84-28
80
3 FC Porto FC Porto34
65-30
71
4 SC Braga SC Braga34
55-30
66
5 Santa Clara Santa Clara34
36-32
57
6 Guimaraes Guimaraes34
47-37
54
7 Famalicao Famalicao34
44-39
47
8 Estoril Estoril34
48-53
46
9 Casa Pia Casa Pia34
39-44
45
10 Moreirense Moreirense34
42-50
40
11 Rio Ave Rio Ave34
39-55
38
12 Arouca Arouca34
35-49
38
13 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente34
34-47
34
14 Nacional Nacional34
32-50
34
15 Estrela Estrela34
24-50
29
16 AVS AVS34
25-60
27
17 Farense Farense34
25-46
27
18 Boavista Boavista34
24-59
24
Video preview
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches