Match Prediction
Match Prediction
World
Preview
If you’re searching for the most reliable Sporting CP vs PSG prediction, you’re in the right place. On January 20, 2026, at 20:00 GMT, Lisbon’s Estádio José Alvalade will host a UEFA Champions League meeting that’s got football fans and punters across Europe buzzing. Sporting CP and Paris Saint-Germain—two teams with plenty of ambition and contrasting resources—are about to face off for the very first time in the Champions League. With plenty of stats, betting tips, and tactical intrigue, this is a match that promises drama, even if the bookmakers are leaning toward the visitors.
Sporting CP, or simply Sporting, come into this game with a mixed bag of results in Europe. They’re 14th in the Champions League league phase, but don’t let that fool you—domestically, they’re flying high, sitting second in Portugal’s Liga Portugal. Rui Borges, their recently appointed coach, has brought a fresh sense of ambition, emphasizing motivation and a “one game at a time” mentality. Borges has made it clear: Sporting want to be more than just group stage regulars—they want to win, and their home record in Europe is impressive.
But Sporting’s squad is looking a little thin. Key players like captain Morten Hjulmand (suspended), Zeno Debast, Fotis Ioannidis, and Pedro Gonçalves are either doubtful or out. Even their new Brazilian winger, Luis Guilherme, is ineligible for this one. On the bright side, Ousmane Diomande is set to return from the Africa Cup of Nations, which should help shore up the backline.
PSG, meanwhile, are in good spirits despite a recent cup upset. They’re third in the Champions League group and second in Ligue 1. Luis Enrique’s side is known for its attacking flair, but he’s been working on making them less predictable and a bit more pragmatic—perhaps a nod to the challenges of European away days. PSG have their own injury headaches: Achraf Hakimi is away on international duty, and several squad players are nursing knocks. Still, with a squad valued at over €1.19bn (compared to Sporting’s €4.55m), depth is rarely a problem for the Parisians.
This Sporting CP vs PSG prediction is tricky, as these sides have never met in a competitive European fixture. Their only previous meeting was a friendly back in 2010, so there’s no head to head history to lean on. That adds a layer of mystery—and excitement—for supporters and tipsters alike.
Both teams have shown they can punch above their weight. Sporting famously held Manchester City to a goalless draw in 2022, defying odds of 13.0. PSG, on the other hand, are always under the microscope, especially after finally lifting their first Champions League trophy.
Let’s get into the numbers and see what our AI and the bookies are saying about this Sporting CP vs PSG prediction. The odds are clear: PSG are favorites at 1.8 for the away win, while both a home win and a draw are priced at 4.255. Our best tip? Go for X2 (away win or draw), which comes with a high trust rating of 8.5/10 and odds of 1.25. For those who like to play it safe, this looks like a solid bet.
Our 1x2 prediction is a straightforward “2”—that’s PSG to win—with a trust level of 8.2 and odds of 1.8. If you’re expecting a goal fest, you might want to think again. Our under/over prediction is under 3.5 goals (confidence 4.9, odds 1.55), and the AI’s predicted final score is a tight 0:1 for PSG, with the first half likely ending goalless.
Possession is forecast at 61% for PSG and 39% for Sporting, with the French side expected to rack up 15 shots (6 on target) compared to Sporting’s 7 (2 on target). Corners should also favor PSG (5 to 2), and while Sporting might pick up more yellow cards, the Parisians are expected to keep their cool.
In summary, this Sporting CP vs PSG prediction leans heavily toward the visitors. Sporting’s injuries and suspensions, combined with PSG’s depth and experience, make an away win or draw the smart play. But don’t count out a spirited home performance—after all, Sporting have pulled off surprises before. For punters, X2 or under 3.5 goals are the standout betting tips. For fans, expect a tactical battle, a few nervy moments, and maybe, just maybe, a bit of Lisbon magic.
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X2 -400
PSG to win or draw with odds of -4002 -125
PSG is expected to win with odds of -125Under 3.5 -149
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo 160
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U5.5 -238
Away win/draw and under 5.5 goals
0:0
0:1
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Recent Matches of Sporting CP| 01 Feb |
Sporting C.
|
-
| Nacional.
| |
| 28 Jan | W |
Ath Bilbao.
|
2:3
| Sporting C.
|
| 24 Jan | W |
Arouca.
|
1:2
| Sporting C.
|
| 20 Jan | W |
Sporting C.
|
2:1
| PSG.
|
| 16 Jan | W |
Sporting C.
|
3:0
| Casa Pia.
|
| 06 Jan | L |
Sporting C.
|
1:2
| Guimaraes.
|
| 02 Jan | D |
Gil Vicent.
|
1:1
| Sporting C.
|
| 28 Dec | W |
Sporting C.
|
4:0
| Rio Ave.
|
| 23 Dec | W |
Guimaraes.
|
1:4
| Sporting C.
|
| 18 Dec | W |
Santa Clar.
|
2:3
| Sporting C.
|
Recent Matches of PSG
| 28 Jan | D |  PSG. |
1:1 |
Newcastle. |
| 23 Jan | W |  Auxerre. |
0:1 |
PSG. |
| 20 Jan | L |  Sporting C. |
2:1 |
PSG. |
| 16 Jan | W | PSG. |
3:0 |
Lille. |
| 12 Jan | L | PSG. |
0:1 |
Paris FC. |
| 08 Jan | D | PSG. |
2:2 |
Marseille. |
| 04 Jan | W | PSG. |
2:1 |
Paris FC. |
| 20 Dec | W |  Vendee F. |
0:4 |
PSG. |
| 17 Dec | D | PSG. |
1:1 |
Flamengo R. |
| 13 Dec | W |  Metz. |
2:3 |
PSG. |
World - UEFA Champions League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal | 7 | 20-2 | 21 |
| 2 |
Bayern | 7 | 20-7 | 18 |
| 3 |
Real Madrid | 7 | 19-8 | 15 |
| 4 |
Liverpool | 7 | 14-8 | 15 |
| 5 |
Tottenham | 7 | 15-7 | 14 |
| 6 |
Paris Saint | 7 | 20-10 | 13 |
| 7 |
Newcastle | 7 | 16-6 | 13 |
| 8 |
Chelsea | 7 | 14-8 | 13 |
| 9 |
Barcelona | 7 | 18-13 | 13 |
| 10 |
Sporting CP | 7 | 14-9 | 13 |
| 11 |
Manchester | 7 | 13-9 | 13 |
| 12 |
Atletico | 7 | 16-13 | 13 |
| 13 |
Atalanta | 7 | 10-9 | 13 |
| 14 |
Inter | 7 | 13-7 | 12 |
| 15 |
Juventus | 7 | 14-10 | 12 |
| 16 |
Borussia | 7 | 19-15 | 11 |
| 17 |
Galatasaray | 7 | 9-9 | 10 |
| 18 |
Qarabag | 7 | 13-15 | 10 |
| 19 |
Marseille | 7 | 11-11 | 9 |
| 20 |
Bayer | 7 | 10-14 | 9 |
| 21 |
Monaco | 7 | 8-14 | 9 |
| 22 |
PSV Eindhoven | 7 | 15-14 | 8 |
| 23 |
Athletic Club | 7 | 7-11 | 8 |
| 24 |
Olympiakos | 7 | 8-13 | 8 |
| 25 |
Napoli | 7 | 7-12 | 8 |
| 26 |
FC Copenhagen | 7 | 11-17 | 8 |
| 27 |
Club Brugge KV | 7 | 12-17 | 7 |
| 28 |
Bodo/Glimt | 7 | 12-14 | 6 |
| 29 |
Benfica | 7 | 6-10 | 6 |
| 30 |
Pafos | 7 | 4-10 | 6 |
| 31 |
Union St. | 7 | 7-17 | 6 |
| 32 |
Ajax | 7 | 7-19 | 6 |
| 33 |
Eintracht | 7 | 10-19 | 4 |
| 34 |
Slavia Praha | 7 | 4-15 | 3 |
| 35 |
Villarreal | 7 | 5-15 | 1 |
| 36 |
Kairat Almaty | 7 | 5-19 | 1 |
