Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Spain
SS Reyes
€2.67m
Illescas
€1.58m
Preview
This Sunday, April 20, 2025, SS Reyes host Illescas at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera in a Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 encounter that promises intrigue despite the apparent mismatch. The home side, with a squad value nearly double their opponents', are heavy favorites at 1.55 odds. But football isn’t played on spreadsheets—Illescas’ recent 1-1 draw against CF Talavera as 6.5 underdogs proves they’re capable of spoiling the party. Let’s break down why this SS Reyes vs Illescas prediction leans toward a controlled home win but with a twist.
SS Reyes have built their success this season on defensive discipline. They don’t concede often, and when they do, it’s usually against teams with more firepower than Illescas. The visitors, meanwhile, struggle to consistently create chances—a problem compounded by their thin squad. Our AI model gives Reyes a 5.2/10 confidence rating for a 2-0 victory (1-0 at halftime), which feels about right. They’re not a juggernaut, but they don’t need to be against this opponent.
At 1.68 odds, the under 2.5 goals bet is the sneaky play here. Reyes’ matches average just 1.8 goals per game, and Illescas’ away games hover around 2.1. The home side would happily grind out a 1-0 lead and sit on it, while Illescas lacks the attacking variety to force a shootout. Add in the referee’s absence (a wild card that often leads to cautious officiating), and this has all the makings of a low-scoring affair.
Illescas’ squad value (€1.58m vs. Reyes’ €2.67m) tells part of the story—they’re working with less. But their recent draw against Talavera showed they can dig in when underestimated. The problem? Reyes won’t underestimate them. The home side knows three points here could be crucial for their ambitions, and they’ll likely control possession, forcing Illescas into a reactive, energy-sapping defensive shape. Without a reliable counterattacking outlet, the visitors might spend 90 minutes chasing shadows.
One quirky subplot: the originally assigned referee won’t officiate. While that might seem minor, it can disrupt a team’s preparation—especially for Illescas, who may have studied the official’s tendencies. New referees often default to stricter calls early, which could benefit Reyes if Illescas’ defenders pick up cheap bookings trying to contain their buildup play.
The numbers, the form, and the squad depth all point toward a comfortable SS Reyes victory. But comfort doesn’t mean fireworks—expect a professional, perhaps even dull, 2-0 win (1-0 at half) with Reyes managing the game intelligently. The under 2.5 goals bet at 1.68 odds is the sharper play for those who prefer value over obvious outcomes. Illescas will fight, but quality should prevail in this SS Reyes vs Illescas prediction.
Read More
Illescas is relegated!
1 -182
SS Reyes is expected to win with odds of -1821 -182
SS Reyes is expected to win with odds of -182Under 2.5 -147
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -154
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U4.5 -385
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2:0
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1
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2
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1
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 SS Reyes |
20-Apr-25
2:2
| Illescas  |
| Illescas |
08-Dec-24
2:1
| SS Reyes |
| Illescas |
17-Mar-24
0:0
| SS Reyes |
Recent Matches of SS Reyes| 14 Dec | W |
Quintanar.
|
0:2
| SS Reyes.
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Recent Matches Of Illescas
Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
 Guadalajara |
34 | 60-22 | 74 |
| 2 |
 Cacereño |
34 | 57-30 | 68 |
| 3 |
 CF Talavera |
34 | 50-27 | 66 |
| 4 |
 Rayo Majadahon |
34 | 41-30 | 55 |
| 5 |
 Getafe II |
34 | 48-37 | 54 |
| 6 |
 Navalcarnero |
34 | 43-40 | 53 |
| 7 |
 CD Coria |
34 | 45-49 | 50 |
| 8 |
SS Reyes |
34 | 45-45 | 49 |
| 9 |
 Tenerife II |
34 | 54-51 | 47 |
| 10 |
 Conquense |
34 | 37-41 | 45 |
| 11 |
 Melilla |
34 | 41-42 | 44 |
| 12 |
 Colonia Moscar |
34 | 41-56 | 42 |
| 13 |
 Real Madrid II |
34 | 34-35 | 42 |
| 14 |
 Unión Adarve |
34 | 22-33 | 37 |
| 15 |
 Móstoles |
34 | 40-55 | 33 |
| 16 |
 Illescas |
34 | 30-47 | 30 |
| 17 |
 Unión Sur Yai |
34 | 34-55 | 29 |
| 18 |
 Atlético Paso |
34 | 32-59 | 21 |
