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Match Prediction

St. Liege vs Waregem Prediction

Finished

St. Liege

€41.50m

21 Nov15:45
0 : 0

Waregem

€16.35m

Preview

St. Liege vs Waregem Prediction Jupiler Pro League

St. Liege vs Waregem Prediction: Odds, Stats & AI Insights

The St. Liege vs Waregem prediction for the Jupiler Pro League fixture on November 21, 2025, promises a closely-fought contest that has fans and punters alike checking the latest betting odds and stats. With both teams sitting mid-table and just two points apart, this match at Stade Maurice Dufrasne is set to be a real test of nerve, tactics, and perhaps even patience for supporters of both sides.

Team Form, Tactics, and Head-to-Head: What to Expect

Let’s start with the basics: Standard Liege (or St. Liege, if you prefer to keep things snappy) are 11th in the league with 17 points from 14 games, while Zulte Waregem—freshly promoted and already making waves—sit 8th with 19 points. Both squads are hungry for upward momentum, and recent results show neither is likely to roll over easily.

  • St. Liege have been inconsistent, winning three and losing three of their last six matches. Draws have been as rare as a sunny day in November, but their home form is marginally better, averaging 1.67 goals scored and 1 conceded per match in their last three at home.
  • Waregem come in with more stability, unbeaten in five of their last six, and showing a knack for finding the net—two goals per game on average in that stretch. Their away games are competitive, and they’re not shy about taking shots, averaging 12 per match with over five on target.

In terms of head to head battles, these teams are about as evenly matched as you can get. Across their last six meetings, each side has two wins, with two draws thrown in for good measure. Their most recent encounter—a 2-2 draw—was a microcosm of their rivalry: unpredictable, open, and always entertaining. Historically, St. Liege have 18 wins to Waregem’s 17, with nine draws, and their matches average nearly three goals each.

Injuries, Staff, and Off-the-Pitch Stories

Neither side is at full strength. St. Liege are missing captain Marlon Fossey and a handful of others, including Mitongo (international duty), Calut, Bolingoli, Bates, Dierckx, Homawoo, Ngoy, and Dewaele—enough to make any manager reach for the aspirin. Waregem aren’t unscathed either, with Barkarson out and several others’ statuses unclear.

  • St. Liege’s tactical approach under Vincent Euvrard has been to attack from wide areas, but their offensive struggles are well-documented. They’ve scored just 13 goals in 14 matches—less than one per game—and sport a negative goal difference.
  • Waregem, meanwhile, are more dynamic up front, with a solid shot count and a balanced goal difference. Their staff, led by Mark Luijpers and Reggie De Neve, have crafted a side that’s tough to break down and quick in transition.

Off the pitch, St. Liege’s recent financial issues and ambitions to return to European football add extra intrigue. Waregem, for their part, are enjoying life back in the top flight after a brief spell in the Challenger Pro League.

St. Liege vs Waregem Prediction, Odds, and AI Betting Tips

Now, let’s talk numbers—because that’s what sports betting is all about. The betting odds for this match are tight: St. Liege to win at 2.45, draw at 3.4, and Waregem to win at 2.95. The market clearly expects a close contest, and our AI agrees.

  1. 1x2 Prediction: Our AI tips a draw (X) as the most likely outcome, with a trust level of 2.0/10 and odds of 3.4. It’s not the most confident pick, but the stats back it up—these teams love to split the points, especially in Liege.
  2. Over/Under Goals: Over 1.5 goals is the standout tip, with a trust score of 4.6/10 and odds of 1.28. Given that their head to head matches average nearly three goals, and both teams have shown attacking intent recently, this looks like the safest bet of the night.
  3. Final Score Prediction: 1-1. The AI sees a cagey first half (0-0), with the action picking up after the break. Both sides are expected to have their moments, but neither will run away with it.

Here’s how the match might play out, statistically speaking:

  • Possession: St. Liege 49%, Waregem 51%
  • Shots: St. Liege 11, Waregem 13
  • On-target: St. Liege 3, Waregem 4
  • Corners: St. Liege 5, Waregem 3
  • Yellow Cards: St. Liege 1, Waregem 0

With both teams so evenly matched—both in squad value (€41.5m vs €16.35m) and recent form—this is the sort of fixture that could go either way. But if you’re looking for the most valuable bet, over 1.5 goals is the way to go. The draw is a tempting outsider for those who like a bit of risk.

Final Thoughts: Betting Tips and Takeaways

To sum up our St. Liege vs Waregem prediction:

  • Expect a tight, tactical battle with both teams eager to avoid defeat.
  • Over 1.5 goals is the safest bet, given the attacking stats and head to head history.
  • The draw is a solid value option, especially with both teams’ recent tendencies to split the points.

Whether you’re a fan of sports betting, a stats nerd, or just here for the football, this match has all the ingredients for a fascinating evening. And if you’re looking for a little light relief, just remember: in football, as in life, sometimes the best you can hope for is a draw.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for St. Liege vs Waregem

O1.5 -357

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -357
4/10

1x2 Tip

X 240

The match is expected to end in a draw
2/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -357

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -152

Both teams are expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U5.5 -137

Away win/draw and under 5.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:1

Stats Predictions

0.82
xG
1.19
49%
Ball Possession
51%
11
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Goal
4
3
Shots Off Goal
4
5
Corners
3

Average / Match

0.71
Expected Goals
1.17
2.2
Total Goals
3.3
1
Goals Scored
2
1.2
Goals Against
1.3
44%
Possession
49%
9.8
Total Shots
13
3.1
Shots on Goal
4.9
3.8
Shots off Goal
4.2
11
Fouls
12.4
4.6
Corners
3.9
2
Offsides
1.4
2.44
Yellow Cards
1.11
0.43
Red Cards
0
344
Total Passes
404

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
5
6
Over 1.5 Goals
9
4
Over 2.5 Goals
6
2
Over 3.5 Goals
5
4
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

St. Liege
12 - 5 - 12
Waregem
St. Liege St. Liege 18-Mar-23
2:2
Waregem Waregem
Waregem Waregem 29-Oct-22
0:3
St. Liege St. Liege
St. Liege St. Liege 26-Dec-21
0:1
Waregem Waregem
Waregem Waregem 01-Aug-21
1:2
St. Liege St. Liege
Waregem Waregem 21-Feb-21
3:2
St. Liege St. Liege
St. Liege St. Liege 27-Sep-20
2:2
Waregem Waregem
St. Liege St. Liege 03-Aug-19
4:0
Waregem Waregem
St. Liege St. Liege 16-Dec-18
4:1
Waregem Waregem

Profile time Recent Matches of St. Liege

08 MarW Waregem Waregem 0 St. Liege St. Liege 1

Profile time Recent Matches of Waregem

13 MarGent Gent - Waregem Waregem -
08 MarLWaregem Waregem 0 St. Liege St. Liege 1

Belgium - Jupiler Pro League Belgium - Jupiler Pro League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Union St. Gilloise Union St.28
45-16
60
2 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV28
53-34
57
3 St. Truiden St. Truiden28
46-31
57
4 Anderlecht Anderlecht28
41-35
44
5 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen28
37-33
42
6 Gent Gent28
44-42
39
7 Standard Liege Standard Liege28
26-34
38
8 Genk Genk28
40-42
38
9 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo28
35-38
38
10 Antwerp Antwerp28
30-30
34
11 Charleroi Charleroi28
38-39
34
12 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem28
37-45
29
13 OH Leuven OH Leuven28
29-43
28
14 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge28
35-42
28
15 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La28
22-31
27
16 Dender Dender28
23-46
19
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