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23 Apr14:45
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Anderlecht

€98.75m

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St. Truiden vs Anderlecht Prediction Jupiler Pro League

St. Truiden vs Anderlecht prediction for April 23

St. Truiden vs Anderlecht prediction time is here, with the Champions’ Play-Offs serving up a very Belgian kind of problem: Anderlecht bring the bigger name and wallet, but Sint-Truiden (STVV) bring a home ground that rarely gives points away for free. The match is set for Thursday, 2026-04-23 at 19:30 GMT, and the betting odds already hint at a tight story: Home win 1.95, Draw 3.7, Away win 3.9.

Match context, team style, and what to watch

On paper, the market values lean heavily toward the visitors (€43.80m for STVV vs €98.75m for Anderlecht). On grass, it’s not always that simple. STVV have shown they can slow games down and frustrate bigger teams—just ask Union Saint-Gilloise, who were priced around 1.62 and still left with a 0:0 draw back on 2024-08-25. In other words: don’t expect STVV to roll out the red carpet.

Anderlecht, for their part, have recently shown they can travel and compete even when the odds don’t love them. The 2:2 away draw at Club Brugge on 2026-03-08 (with Anderlecht priced around 7.1) is the kind of result that tells you they can absorb pressure and still land punches.

  • Head to head: the last meeting on 2025-10-19 finished 2:2, a reminder that these two can trade goals when the game opens up.
  • Game script: STVV are expected to see more of the ball (58% possession), suggesting they’ll try to set the rhythm rather than chase it.
  • Discipline edge: cards are projected at 0 for STVV and 3 for Anderlecht—if that pattern holds, it could swing key moments (set pieces, game management, late pressure).

St. Truiden vs Anderlecht prediction: AI picks and betting angles

Now to the numbers NerdyTips readers care about. Our St. Truiden vs Anderlecht prediction leans slightly toward the home side, but with a safety net.

Main bets we like

  • Best tip: 1X (STVV win or draw) at 1.28, confidence 4.8/10. With home control projected and Anderlecht likely collecting more yellows, the “STVV avoid defeat” angle fits the expected flow.
  • 1X2 lean: Home win at 1.950 (market 1.95), trust 3.9/10. It’s not a max-confidence play, but the price is tempting if you believe STVV’s possession turns into territory and corners.
  • Over 2.5 total goals at 1.60, trust 3.7/10. Shots are estimated at 13–12 with 4–5 on target, which points to chances at both ends, not a chess match.

Correct score and match details

The AI projects a 2:1 home win, with a half-time read of 1:0. Corners are forecast at 6–3 (9 total), which supports the idea of STVV spending longer in attacking zones. If you like prop markets, Anderlecht’s projected 3 yellows is also worth a glance—especially if they start chasing the game after the break.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for St. Truiden vs Anderlecht

1X -357

St. Truiden to win or draw with odds of -357
4/10

1x2 Tip

1 -105

St. Truiden is expected to win with odds of -105
3/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -133

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -152

Both teams are expected to score
4/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -182

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:0

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

1.52
xG
1.39
58%
Ball Possession
42%
13
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
5
3
Shots Off Goal
2
6
Corners
3

Average / Match

1.45
Expected Goals
1.53
2.7
Total Goals
3.9
1.5
Goals Scored
2.4
1.2
Goals Against
1.5
58%
Possession
55%
12.6
Total Shots
15.5
3.9
Shots on Goal
6.3
4.1
Shots off Goal
3.5
8.9
Fouls
14.7
6.5
Corners
5.4
1.4
Offsides
2
1
Yellow Cards
2.7
512
Total Passes
442

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
5
6
Over 1.5 Goals
8
6
Over 2.5 Goals
8
4
Over 3.5 Goals
7
5
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

St. Truiden
4 - 6 - 18
Anderlecht
St. Truiden St. Truiden 19-Oct-25
2:2
Anderlecht Anderlecht
St. Truiden St. Truiden 15-Dec-24
0:2
Anderlecht Anderlecht
St. Truiden St. Truiden 13-Aug-23
0:1
Anderlecht Anderlecht
St. Truiden St. Truiden 14-Aug-22
0:3
Anderlecht Anderlecht
St. Truiden St. Truiden 17-Oct-21
2:2
Anderlecht Anderlecht
St. Truiden St. Truiden 18-Apr-21
0:1
Anderlecht Anderlecht
St. Truiden St. Truiden 10-Sep-10
0:2
Anderlecht Anderlecht
St. Truiden St. Truiden 18-Mar-12
2:2
Anderlecht Anderlecht
St. Truiden St. Truiden 29-Jan-16
1:2
Anderlecht Anderlecht

Profile time Recent Matches of St. Truiden

23 AprW St. Truiden St. Truiden 2 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0
19 AprD Gent Gent 0 St. Truiden St. Truiden 0
11 AprL St. Truiden St. Truiden 1 Club B Club B 2
04 AprL Union S Union S 1 St. Truiden St. Truiden 0
22 MarL St. Truiden St. Truiden 1 Union S Union S 3
15 MarL Genk Genk 1 St. Truiden St. Truiden 0
08 MarW St. Truiden St. Truiden 2 Cercle B Cercle B 1
28 FebL Antwerp Antwerp 1 St. Truiden St. Truiden 0
21 FebW Dender Dender 1 St. Truiden St. Truiden 4
15 FebW St. Truiden St. Truiden 3 Waregem Waregem 2

Profile time Recent Matches Of Anderlecht

23 AprLSt. Truiden St. Truiden 2 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0
18 AprWKV Mechelen KV Mechelen 1 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2
12 AprWAnderlecht Anderlecht 3 Gent Gent 1
06 AprLClub B Club B 4 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2
22 MarLAnderlecht Anderlecht 2 Cercle B Cercle B 3
15 MarLKV Mechelen KV Mechelen 1 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0
08 MarDClub B Club B 2 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2
28 FebWAnderlecht Anderlecht 5 Leuven Leuven 1
22 FebWWaregem Waregem 2 Anderlecht Anderlecht 4
15 FebDAnderlecht Anderlecht 0 RAAL L RAAL L 0

Belgium - Jupiler Pro League Belgium - Jupiler Pro League

Team M G P
1 Union St. GilloiseUnion St.3454-1843
2 Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV3472-4241
3 St. TruidenSt. Truiden3450-3833
4 AnderlechtAnderlecht3450-4728
5 GentGent3451-4726
6 KV MechelenKV Mechelen3442-4724
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