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Match Prediction

St. Truiden vs Waregem Prediction

Finished
15 Feb13:15
3 : 2

Waregem

€20.15m

Preview

St. Truiden vs Waregem Prediction Jupiler Pro League

St. Truiden vs Waregem prediction: Stayen’s turf test

St. Truiden vs Waregem prediction time, and the calendar says Sunday, 15 February 2026 (18:15 GMT) at the Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium. The table says STVV are flying in 2nd on 48 points, while Zulte Waregem sit 10th with 29 and would happily take anything that keeps them clear of the relegation mess. Both arrive with a spring in their step after big wins last week, which usually makes for a fun watch… and a slightly tricky betting read.

What the game should look like on the pitch

Wouter Vrancken has built a STVV side that likes the ball and plays at speed, especially at home. Stayen’s artificial surface helps that quick, tidy style, and visiting teams often need a few minutes to stop their first touch from bouncing like a pinball. Sven Vandenbroeck, meanwhile, has leaned more pragmatic lately with Waregem: stay compact, defend in blocks, and break quickly when the chance appears.

  • STVV approach: High-intensity possession, often in a fluid 3-4-2-1 or 4-3-3, using technical midfielders to move opponents around.
  • Waregem approach: A compact 4-2-3-1 built to frustrate, then counter through direct runs and quick releases.
  • Key STVV men: Rihito Yamamoto is the headline after a hat-trick in a 3.95 win at Westerlo (6 Feb). Ryotaro Ito is the main creator, and Keisuke Goto leads the scoring with 9.
  • Key Waregem men: Jeppe Erenbjerg has 8 goals and is the obvious danger. Stavros Gavriel just grabbed an 81st-minute winner vs Dender (7 Feb).

Team news matters too. STVV reportedly have no new injury issues, but Musliu, Sissako and Goto are all one booking away from suspension—so expect a bit of “hands behind the back” defending if the ref is card-happy. Waregem are still without Laurent Lemoine (surgery) and Nikola Mituljikic (muscle), though Lukas Willen returning has helped defensively. They’re also adjusting after Tochukwu Nnadi’s €6m move to Marseille, with newcomers M. Mbaye and Dirk Asare expected around the squad.

Storylines and head to head notes

The “Japanese connection” remains central to STVV’s identity, and it’s not just a marketing line—it shapes how they play. Combine that with the artificial pitch, and you get a home setup that can make even solid away teams look a half-step slow.

  • Head to head: The last recorded meeting (27 Dec 2022) finished 2-0 to STVV, with bookmakers heavily leaning home then too.
  • Reverse fixture angle: Earlier this season (Aug 2025), STVV reportedly won 2-0 at Waregem, in a match remembered for a controversial red for Tobias Hedl.
  • Upset history: STVV have shown they can resist favorites (0-0 at Union SG in 2024 despite long odds against them), and Waregem have a habit of the occasional surprise (1-1 at Club Brugge in 2022 at huge prices).
  • Veteran watch: Jelle Vossen has a long history in Belgium and usually needs only one chance to remind everyone he still exists.

St. Truiden vs Waregem Prediction and betting tips

Now to the numbers for this St. Truiden vs Waregem prediction. The 1X2 market prices STVV at 1.77, the draw at 3.95, and Waregem at 5.0. The squad-value gap (€32.70m vs €20.15m) lines up with those odds, and so do the expected match stats: 54% possession to STVV, 16 shots to 10, and 5 shots on target to 3.

Main NerdyTips angles

  • Best bet (AI): Under 3.5 goals at 1.44 (trust 3.95/10).
  • 1X2 pick: Home win (1) at 1.77 (trust 3.9/10).
  • Projected score: 2-0, with a 1-0 half-time lean.

Those picks connect nicely with the tactical picture. Waregem’s compact setup can slow the game down, and STVV’s control style often means they win without needing a five-goal party. The model’s expected corners are dead even (4-4) and cards are low (1-1), which also hints at a match that’s more “managed” than chaotic.

Final betting tips: If you want the safer lane, Under 3.5 fits both the predicted shot quality and Waregem’s likely deep block. If you’re playing 1X2, the home win has value as long as STVV turn that possession into early pressure—because if Waregem score first, they’ll happily turn the second half into a time-wasting masterclass.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

St. Truiden has an unusually high recent form

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for St. Truiden vs Waregem

U3.5 -227

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -227
4/10

1x2 Tip

1 -130

St. Truiden is expected to win with odds of -130
3/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -227

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

No 110

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U5.5 -303

Home win/draw and under 5.5 goals
6/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:0

Stats Predictions

2.15
xG
0.89
54%
Ball Possession
46%
16
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
3
7
Shots Off Goal
3
4
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

3.1
Total Goals
3.1
1.9
Goals Scored
1.3
1.2
Goals Against
1.8
51%
Possession
56%
14
Total Shots
11.1
4.6
Shots on Goal
3.9
6.6
Shots off Goal
3.7
11
Fouls
9.8
4.8
Corners
4
1.7
Offsides
1.7
460
Total Passes
453

Overview Last 10 Matches

7
Wins
2
8
Over 1.5 Goals
8
7
Over 2.5 Goals
6
3
Over 3.5 Goals
3
6
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

St. Truiden
9 - 4 - 11
Waregem
Waregem Waregem 23-Aug-25
0:2
St. Truiden St. Truiden
Waregem Waregem 11-Jan-23
2:0
St. Truiden St. Truiden
St. Truiden St. Truiden 27-Dec-22
2:0
Waregem Waregem
Waregem Waregem 17-Sep-22
0:3
St. Truiden St. Truiden
Waregem Waregem 02-Apr-22
0:2
St. Truiden St. Truiden
St. Truiden St. Truiden 07-Aug-21
1:3
Waregem Waregem
St. Truiden St. Truiden 13-Feb-21
1:2
Waregem Waregem
Waregem Waregem 19-Dec-20
0:2
St. Truiden St. Truiden
Waregem Waregem 25-Jul-20
2:3
St. Truiden St. Truiden
Waregem Waregem 14-Dec-19
5:1
St. Truiden St. Truiden

Profile time Recent Matches of St. Truiden

28 FebL Antwerp Antwerp 1 St. Truiden St. Truiden 0
21 FebW Dender Dender 1 St. Truiden St. Truiden 4
15 FebW St. Truiden St. Truiden 3 Waregem Waregem 2
06 FebW Westerlo Westerlo 0 St. Truiden St. Truiden 4
31 JanL St. Truiden St. Truiden 0 Charleroi Charleroi 2
24 JanW RAAL L RAAL L 1 St. Truiden St. Truiden 2
18 JanW St. Truiden St. Truiden 1 Leuven Leuven 0
26 DecW St. Liege St. Liege 1 St. Truiden St. Truiden 2
21 DecW St. Truiden St. Truiden 1 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 0
13 DecL Anderlecht Anderlecht 2 St. Truiden St. Truiden 1

Profile time Recent Matches of Waregem

28 FebLKV Mechelen KV Mechelen 2 Waregem Waregem 1
22 FebLWaregem Waregem 2 Anderlecht Anderlecht 4
15 FebLSt. Truiden St. Truiden 3 Waregem Waregem 2
07 FebWWaregem Waregem 1 Dender Dender 0
31 JanLWaregem Waregem 0 Westerlo Westerlo 1
24 JanLClub B Club B 4 Waregem Waregem 3
17 JanWWaregem Waregem 2 Genk Genk 1
09 JanLSion Sion 3 Waregem Waregem 2
27 DecLAntwerp Antwerp 2 Waregem Waregem 1
20 DecLUnion S Union S 2 Waregem Waregem 0

Belgium - Jupiler Pro League Belgium - Jupiler Pro League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Union St. Gilloise Union St.27
43-15
57
2 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV27
51-32
56
3 St. Truiden St. Truiden27
44-30
54
4 Anderlecht Anderlecht27
39-33
43
5 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen27
36-30
42
6 Genk Genk27
39-40
38
7 Gent Gent27
41-41
36
8 Standard Liege Standard Liege27
25-34
35
9 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo27
34-38
35
10 Antwerp Antwerp27
30-30
33
11 Charleroi Charleroi27
36-37
33
12 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem27
37-44
29
13 OH Leuven OH Leuven27
29-42
28
14 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge27
34-40
28
15 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La27
22-31
26
16 Dender Dender27
21-44
18
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