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Stevenage

€8.27m

6 Apr10:00
1 : 0

Blackpool

€14.85m

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Stevenage vs Blackpool Prediction League One

Stevenage vs Blackpool prediction: a tight Monday at the Lamex

The Stevenage vs Blackpool prediction for Monday, 6 April 2026 (15:00 GMT) starts with a simple picture: late-season pressure, two very different moods, and one stadium that rarely gives away easy goals. At the Lamex Stadium, Stevenage are trying to squeeze into the play-offs, while Blackpool arrive still looking over their shoulder at the relegation line.

Stevenage sit 7th and feel like a team that has learned how to win ugly without apologising. Alex Revell, rewarded with a long new deal back in November 2025, has built a group that treats defending like a shared hobby. They come into this after a stubborn 0-0 away at Rotherham on 3 April, following a vital 1-0 win over Reading. If that sounds like a team happy to keep things tight, that’s because they are.

Blackpool, down in 20th, are only two points above trouble but have shown real life lately. Two straight 1-0 wins—Burton (with a late CJ Hamilton moment) and Exeter on Good Friday (Tom Bloxham the scorer)—have given them belief. Ian Evatt, a former Blackpool player, took charge in October 2025 after Steve Bruce was let go, and he’s now got an extra hand on the training pitch too: Steve Thompson joined as assistant in March 2026, a familiar name from the 2010 Premier League journey.

How the game may feel: muscle vs patience

Stevenage’s plan at home is usually clear: be solid first, win second balls, and make every attack feel like it needs permission. Expect a robust back line—often shaped around Luther James-Wildin, Charlie Goode, Carl Piergianni, and Dan Butler—protected by the work rate of Dan Phillips. Up top, Jamie Reid is the main threat, the kind of striker who doesn’t need ten chances, just one scruffy one.

Blackpool under Evatt want more control, but recent results show they can also grind. Their lineup against Exeter—Peacock-Farrell, Walters, Horsfall, Husband, Hamilton, Brown, Honeyman (c), Randall, Coulson, Bloxham, Fletcher—looked built to compete for every yard. Michael Ihiekwe has returned after a toe issue, while Dale Taylor is nearing a comeback, though this may be too soon to throw him in.

  • Table pressure: Stevenage chasing top six; Blackpool trying to stay clear of the bottom four.
  • Recent goals trend: both sides have been living on 1-0s and 0-0s lately.
  • Head to head memory: on 2025-04-18, Blackpool beat Stevenage 3-1, despite betting odds slightly leaning Stevenage (2.85) over Blackpool (2.5).

And if Blackpool fans need a reminder that surprises are possible, they only have to look at 2026-03-21: a 0-0 at Cardiff, with win odds of 7.3. Not glamorous, but it counts—especially in a survival run.

AI picks, betting odds, and match prediction you can use

Now to the numbers, where our Stevenage vs Blackpool prediction becomes more of a story about patience than fireworks. The current 1X2 betting odds read: Home 1.95, Draw 3.3, Away 4.7—suggesting Stevenage are expected to do most of the pushing, even though Blackpool’s squad value (€14.75m) is higher than Stevenage’s (€8.27m). Football remains wonderfully rude about budgets.

NerdyTips betting tips (and why they fit the script)

  • Main bet: Under 2.5 goals at 1.6 (trust rating 7.3/10). Also flagged again for the under/over market with trust 7.4/10.
  • 1X2 lean: Home win (1) at 1.95 (trust level 3.0).

Those tips line up neatly with the match model: Stevenage to control more of the ball (55% vs 45%), take more shots (11 vs 8), and—most importantly—limit Blackpool to very little on target (projected 1 shot on target for the away side). If that’s close to reality, it’s hard to build an Over 2.5 case without a freak early goal turning the game weird.

Projected match stats (the “how it happens” part)

  • On-target shots: Stevenage 4, Blackpool 1
  • Corners: 7 total (Stevenage 4, Blackpool 3)
  • Yellow cards: Stevenage 1, Blackpool 3

So the narrative is familiar: Stevenage probing, Blackpool resisting, and both goalkeepers mostly watching long balls sail overhead. Our AI scoreline goes 1:0, with a 0:0 half-time prediction. In sports betting terms, that makes the under 2.5 goals the most logical angle, while the home win is more of a cautious side dish than the main meal.

If you’re playing the betting odds, think of this as a match where one goal could decide everything—and where “entertainment” might mean a perfectly timed tackle and a corner that causes panic. That’s League One, and that’s why we watch.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Stevenage vs Blackpool

U2.5 -167

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -167
7/10

1x2 Tip

1 -105

Stevenage is expected to win with odds of -105
3/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -167

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
7/10

Both Teams To Score

No -143

At least one team is not expected to score
7/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -294

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
5/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

1.17
xG
0.89
55%
Ball Possession
45%
11
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Goal
1
4
Shots Off Goal
3
4
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
3

Average / Match

1.06
Expected Goals
0.95
1.8
Total Goals
2.6
1
Goals Scored
1.1
0.8
Goals Against
1.5
46%
Possession
44%
10.9
Total Shots
9.6
4.1
Shots on Goal
2.5
4.6
Shots off Goal
4.2
11.5
Fouls
12.5
4.1
Corners
4.7
1.9
Offsides
2
2.1
Yellow Cards
3.11
312
Total Passes
293

Overview Last 10 Matches

6
Wins
4
4
Over 1.5 Goals
6
4
Over 2.5 Goals
5
1
Over 3.5 Goals
4
4
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Stevenage
2 - 1 - 4
Blackpool
Blackpool Blackpool 02-Aug-25
2:3
Stevenage Stevenage
Stevenage Stevenage 18-Apr-25
1:3
Blackpool Blackpool
Blackpool Blackpool 21-Dec-24
0:0
Stevenage Stevenage
Stevenage Stevenage 03-Feb-24
1:0
Blackpool Blackpool
Blackpool Blackpool 14-Oct-23
3:0
Stevenage Stevenage
Blackpool Blackpool 14-Mar-17
1:0
Stevenage Stevenage
Stevenage Stevenage 10-Dec-16
0:2
Blackpool Blackpool

Profile time Recent Matches of Stevenage

14 Apr Bolton Bolton - Stevenage Stevenage -
11 AprW Bradford Bradford 0 Stevenage Stevenage 1
06 AprW Stevenage Stevenage 1 Blackpool Blackpool 0
03 AprD Rotherham Rotherham 0 Stevenage Stevenage 0
21 MarW Stevenage Stevenage 1 Reading Reading 0
17 MarL Plymouth Plymouth 1 Stevenage Stevenage 0
14 MarW Stevenage Stevenage 1 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 0
10 MarL Stevenage Stevenage 1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 2
07 MarW Burton Burton 0 Stevenage Stevenage 1
28 FebW Stevenage Stevenage 2 Stockport Stockport 1

Profile time Recent Matches of Blackpool

11 AprWBlackpool Blackpool 3 Peterborough Peterborough 1
06 AprLStevenage Stevenage 1 Blackpool Blackpool 0
03 AprWBlackpool Blackpool 1 Exeter City Exeter City 0
28 MarWBlackpool Blackpool 1 Burton Burton 0
21 MarDCardiff Cardiff 0 Blackpool Blackpool 0
17 MarWBlackpool Blackpool 3 Port Vale Port Vale 2
14 MarLDoncaster Doncaster 2 Blackpool Blackpool 1
11 MarLAFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 4 Blackpool Blackpool 1
07 MarDBlackpool Blackpool 1 Wigan Wigan 1
28 FebLLincoln Lincoln 4 Blackpool Blackpool 0

England - League One England - League One

Team M G P
1 Lincoln Lincoln4279-3693
2 Cardiff Cardiff4176-4281
3 Bradford Bradford4252-4671
4 Bolton Bolton4259-4470
5 Stockport County Stockport4059-5067
6 Stevenage Stevenage4143-3867
7 Plymouth Plymouth4266-5863
8 Huddersfield Huddersfield4265-5662
9 Reading Reading4362-5562
10 Luton Luton4157-5061
11 Wycombe Wycombe4363-5160
12 Barnsley Barnsley4063-6554
13 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town4050-4353
14 Doncaster Doncaster4243-6453
15 Wigan Wigan4246-5652
16 Peterborough Peterborough4160-5851
17 Burton Albion Burton Albion4346-5651
18 Blackpool Blackpool4351-6551
19 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient4257-6650
20 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon4249-6350
21 Exeter City Exeter City4347-5547
22 Rotherham Rotherham4136-6237
23 Northampton Northampton4134-6035
24 Port Vale Port Vale3930-5434
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