Match Prediction
Match Prediction
England
Preview
The Stevenage vs Stockport County prediction for Saturday, 28 February 2026 (15:00 GMT) feels like one of those League One afternoons where the table pressure is almost louder than the crowd. Stevenage sit 8th and are hunting the top six, while Stockport County arrive in 5th trying to protect a playoff place. With both sides still talking about promotion in late February, this is the sort of game where every throw-in suddenly looks “important.”
Stevenage come into this with real confidence at the Lamex Stadium, having won their last three home matches against Peterborough, Huddersfield, and Port Vale. Alex Revell’s team usually keep things tight early, and that trend has been hard to miss: they’ve been level at half-time in 11 of their last 13 home games. Expect a disciplined shape, plenty of focus on restarts, and a patient first half that may test the nerves of anyone hoping for fireworks before the tea.
The big blow for Stevenage is Harry Cornick. The Bristol City loanee picked up a serious ankle injury while scoring a winner earlier this month, and he’s set for a long spell out. Saxon Earley is also a doubt after going off with a knock in the 3.05 loss to Wycombe, with Jordan Roberts the likely stand-in if needed. Up front, Jamie Reid (10 league goals) becomes even more central to the plan, especially if the game turns into a set-piece duel.
Stockport, meanwhile, have been a bit of a mystery box lately. They can put four past Wigan, then follow it with a flat 3-0 defeat to Burton. Dave Challinor didn’t hide his frustration after that “no-show,” calling for a reaction and basically asking his players to have a word with themselves before boarding the coach. When Stockport are functioning well, they try to control possession through Oliver Norwood, but recent away games have shown that tidy build-up does not always turn into goals.
Injuries matter here too. Tyler Onyango is out for the season with a hamstring issue, while Louie Barry and Callum Camps remain sidelined. Tayo Edun and Arttu Hoskonen are close but still touch-and-go, and Josh Stokes is being checked after a foot problem, though he could start if cleared.
This head to head has had a Stevenage lean at the Lamex: they’ve won their last four competitive home meetings with Stockport. The most recent meeting listed here was on 2024-12-14, when Stevenage won 2-1 (bookmakers had Stevenage at 3.06 and Stockport at 2.4), and there’s also recent narrative from the reverse fixture where Stevenage beat Stockport 3.05 at Edgeley Park to end a long unbeaten run. A key duel to watch is Kyle Wootton (Stockport’s 17-goal striker) against Stevenage captain Carl Piergianni, who lives for aerial battles and late drama.
The betting odds show how tight this is: 2.8 for a home win, 3.05 for a draw, and 2.8 for an away win. Our models expect Stockport to have slightly more of the ball (54% vs 46%), but shots are projected to be dead even at 11-11, with 3 on target each. That points to a game of fine margins rather than a goal rush, which fits Stevenage’s careful first-half approach and Stockport’s occasional away-day bluntness.
Why do these tips connect? The expected 0:0 half-time score aligns with Stevenage’s habit of starting cautiously at home, and the under 2.5 goals call fits the predicted low on-target count. Cornick’s absence also hints Stevenage may need to be extra efficient to score, while Stockport’s higher squad value (€12.95m vs €8.27m) suggests a touch more depth if the game opens late.
Our final Stevenage vs Stockport County prediction leans to a narrow away win, with a projected correct score of 0:1. Corners are estimated at 7 (4-3), and cards at 2-2, so don’t expect a chaotic battle—more like a tense, slightly grumpy chess match with shin pads.
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X2 -200
Stockport to win or draw with odds of -2002 180
Stockport is expected to win with odds of 180Under 2.5 -182
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -128
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U4.5 -156
Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
0:0
0:1
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3
-
0
-
2
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 Stockport |
13-Dec-25
1:3
| Stevenage  |
| Stockport |
01-Apr-25
3:0
| Stevenage |
| Stevenage |
14-Dec-24
2:1
| Stockport |
| Stockport |
18-Feb-23
2:0
| Stevenage |
| Stevenage |
06-Aug-22
2:1
| Stockport |
Recent Matches of Stevenage| 10 Mar |
Stevenage
| - |
Leyton Orient
| - | |
| 07 Mar | W |
Burton
| 0 |
Stevenage
| 1 |
| 28 Feb | W |
Stevenage
| 2 |
Stockport
| 1 |
| 21 Feb | L |
Wycombe
| 3 |
Stevenage
| 1 |
| 17 Feb | W |
Stevenage
| 2 |
Port Vale
| 1 |
| 14 Feb | W |
Stevenage
| 1 |
Huddersfield
| 0 |
| 07 Feb | L |
Northampton
| 3 |
Stevenage
| 1 |
| 31 Jan | L |
Barnsley
| 3 |
Stevenage
| 1 |
| 27 Jan | W |
Stevenage
| 1 |
Peterborough
| 0 |
| 24 Jan | D |
Stevenage
| 1 |
Mansfield
| 1 |
Recent Matches of Stockport
| 03 Mar | W |  Doncaster |
0 | Stockport |
1 |
| 28 Feb | L | Stevenage |
2 | Stockport |
1 |
| 24 Feb | L |  Burton |
3 | Stockport |
0 |
| 21 Feb | W | Stockport |
4 |  Wigan |
2 |
| 17 Feb | L |  Bradford City |
1 | Stockport |
0 |
| 10 Feb | W |  Port Vale |
0 | Stockport |
4 |
| 07 Feb | D | Stockport |
0 |  Leyton Orient |
0 |
| 31 Jan | W | Stockport |
2 |  Plymouth |
1 |
| 27 Jan | W |  Blackpool |
1 | Stockport |
2 |
| 24 Jan | D |  Cardiff |
1 | Stockport |
1 |
England - League One| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lincoln | 35 | 65-31 | 74 |
| 2 |
Cardiff | 35 | 68-38 | 72 |
| 3 |
Bolton | 36 | 53-36 | 64 |
| 4 |
Bradford | 35 | 45-39 | 61 |
| 5 |
Stockport | 34 | 47-43 | 56 |
| 6 |
Huddersfield | 36 | 56-46 | 55 |
| 7 |
Reading | 35 | 53-46 | 54 |
| 8 |
Stevenage | 34 | 38-35 | 54 |
| 9 |
Wycombe | 36 | 52-39 | 53 |
| 10 |
Plymouth | 35 | 51-51 | 49 |
| 11 |
Luton | 35 | 45-44 | 47 |
| 12 |
Barnsley | 33 | 55-55 | 47 |
| 13 |
Peterborough | 35 | 50-49 | 46 |
| 14 |
AFC Wimbledon | 34 | 42-48 | 46 |
| 15 |
Exeter City | 35 | 40-42 | 42 |
| 16 |
Mansfield Town | 33 | 39-37 | 41 |
| 17 |
Burton Albion | 36 | 39-51 | 40 |
| 18 |
Doncaster | 34 | 37-57 | 39 |
| 19 |
Wigan | 34 | 36-47 | 38 |
| 20 |
Blackpool | 35 | 41-55 | 38 |
| 21 |
Leyton Orient | 34 | 45-58 | 36 |
| 22 |
Rotherham | 35 | 33-48 | 35 |
| 23 |
Northampton | 36 | 31-48 | 35 |
| 24 |
Port Vale | 32 | 26-44 | 27 |
