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Match Prediction

Sturm Graz vs Austria Vienna Prediction

Finished
Austria flag Austria
Bundesliga

Sturm Graz

€67.78m

27 Apr11:00
0 : 1

Austria Vienna

€20.52m

Preview

Sturm Graz vs Austria Vienna Prediction Bundesliga

Sturm Graz vs Austria Vienna Prediction: Bundesliga Betting Insights for a Title Race Thriller

When Sturm Graz vs Austria Vienna prediction pops up on your radar, it’s not just another Bundesliga fixture—it’s a potential turning point in the title race. With Sturm Graz sitting pretty at the top (33 points) and Austria Vienna lurking six points behind in third (27 points), this clash at Merkur Arena promises fireworks. Will the underdogs shake the table, or will the leaders tighten their grip? Let’s dive into the AI-powered match prediction, stats, and betting odds to find the smart play.

The Stakes: A Six-Point Gap and a Chance for Chaos

Six points might not sound like much, but in the Bundesliga’s razor-thin margins, it’s a chasm Austria Vienna must bridge. Sturm Graz’s home form (55% average possession this season) suggests they’ll control the tempo, but history whispers warnings: their last head-to-head in February 2025 ended 2-2, and Austria has a knack for upsets (remember their 3.2 stunner vs. Salzburg at 8.0 odds?). Momentum swings are real, and this game could define the run-in.

AI’s Take: Why Sturm Graz Holds the Edge

Our AI-powered match prediction tools crunch the numbers with cold precision, and here’s the verdict:

  • 1X Tip (Double Chance): 8.5/10 confidence, 1.36 odds – a near lock for Sturm not to lose.
  • 1X2 Prediction: Home win at 7.2 trust (2.26 odds), slightly outperforming the league’s 39.1% home-win trend.
  • Over 2.5 Goals: 1.8 odds, 2.8 confidence – fitting a league where 56% of games hit this mark.

The predicted 3-0 scoreline (with HT at 1-0) aligns with Sturm’s suffocating possession style. But don’t sleep on Austria’s 10 predicted shots—their counters could turn the script.

Tactical Breakdown: Stats That Tell the Story

This isn’t just a battle of wills; it’s a statistical chess match. Here’s how the numbers stack up:

  1. Shots & Precision: Sturm (12 shots, 3 on target) vs. Austria (10 shots, 3 on target). Balanced aggression, but who blinks first?
  2. Set-Piece Parity: 5 corners each, but Austria’s discipline falters (2 yellows vs. Sturm’s 1).
  3. Market Value Drama: Sturm’s €67.78m squad dwarfs Austria’s €20.52m—a classic David vs. Goliath, but budgets don’t score goals.

Betting Odds & Where the Value Lies

The sports betting markets echo the AI’s lean: Sturm’s home win at 2.26 odds is the safe pick, while the draw (3.2) and Austria win (3.25) tempt risk-takers. For those eyeing a goal fest, the over 2.5 goals at 1.8 odds is a juicy add-on. And if you’re feeling bold, Austria’s head-to-head resilience might justify a small punt on the double chance X2 (3.25).

Final Call: Trust the AI or Chase the Upset?

Our Sturm Graz vs Austria Vienna prediction boils down to this: the AI’s 1X tip (1.36 odds) is the anchor play, but Austria’s history of chaos makes the away win or draw a spicy dark horse. Whether you’re here for the Bundesliga betting insights or the sheer drama, one thing’s certain—this isn’t a match to miss. Now, place your bets and buckle up.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Sturm Graz didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Sturm Graz vs Austria Vienna

1X -278

Sturm Graz to win or draw with odds of -278
8/10

1x2 Tip

1 126

Sturm Graz is expected to win with odds of 126
7/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -105

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
2/10

Both Teams To Score

No 105

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -145

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

3:0

Stats Predictions

55%
Ball Possession
45%
12
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Goal
3
5
Shots Off Goal
4
5
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

3
Total Goals
2.2
1.8
Goals Scored
1.2
1.2
Goals Against
1
53%
Possession
56%
12.6
Total Shots
11.6
4.1
Shots on Goal
4.1
4.9
Shots off Goal
5.1
10.4
Fouls
11.9
4.9
Corners
6.8
1.4
Offsides
1.5
1.56
Yellow Cards
2.38
0.22
Red Cards
0
385
Total Passes
403

Overview Last 10 Matches

6
Wins
5
10
Over 1.5 Goals
8
6
Over 2.5 Goals
4
2
Over 3.5 Goals
1
8
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Sturm Graz
21 - 12 - 20
Austria Vienna
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 27-Apr-25
0:1
Austria V Austria Vienna
Austria Vienna Austria V 23-Apr-25
2:1
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 07-Feb-25
2:2
Austria V Austria Vienna
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 01-Feb-25
0:2
Austria V Austria Vienna
Austria Vienna Austria V 25-Sep-24
2:2
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 02-Feb-24
2:0
Austria V Austria Vienna
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 29-Oct-23
0:1
Austria V Austria Vienna
Austria Vienna Austria V 30-Jul-23
0:3
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
Austria Vienna Austria V 07-May-23
1:2
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz

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Profile time Recent Matches Of Austria V

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Austria - Bundesliga Austria - Bundesliga

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Sturm GrazSturm Graz 32
66-39
40
2 Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzb 32
53-36
38
3 Austria ViennaAustria Vienna 32
47-32
37
4 Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC 32
60-38
37
5 Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna 32
43-42
27
6 FC BW LinzFC BW Linz 32
37-45
21
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