Sturm Graz and LASK Linz are set to battle it out at Merkur Arena on March 16, 2025, at 16:00 UTC. With both teams eyeing crucial Bundesliga points, this promises to be an exciting encounter. Let’s break down the numbers and see where the smart money should go!
Sturm Graz and LASK Linz are set to battle it out at Merkur Arena on March 16, 2025, at 16:00 UTC. With both teams eyeing crucial Bundesliga points, this promises to be an exciting encounter. Let’s break down the numbers and see where the smart money should go!

Match Odds & Predictions
The odds favor a Sturm Graz win at 1.92, while a draw sits at 3.55, and a LASK Linz victory is priced at 3.75. Our AI suggests a 1X bet (Sturm Graz to win or draw) with a trust level of 2.0 and odds of 1.26. Given Sturm Graz’s superior squad value (€68.78m vs. LASK’s €29.52m), they have the edge.

Goals & Scoreline Predictions
Expect a tight contest, with our AI favoring under 3.5 goals (odds: 1.33, trust: 3.9/10). The predicted final score? 2-1 for Sturm Graz, with a likely halftime score of 1-0. Historically, 56.2% of Bundesliga matches have seen over 2.5 goals, but only 33.3% have gone over 3.5, making the under 3.5 bet a reasonable choice.

Match Stats & Insights
Sturm Graz should control possession (56% vs. LASK’s 44%) and take around 12 shots, with 3 on target. LASK Linz is expected to fire 10 shots, also hitting the target 3 times. Corners? A modest total of 6 (3 each). Discipline could be an issue for LASK, as they’re predicted to pick up 3 yellow cards compared to Sturm’s 1.

Recent Form & Head-to-Head
Sturm Graz edged LASK 1-0 in their last meeting (April 7, 2024), and they’ve shown they can pull off surprises—like their stunning 1-1 away win over Lille at 7.00 odds. LASK Linz, however, also knows how to shock big teams, having beaten Red Bull Salzburg 1-0 away in October 2023 at 5.65 odds.

Final Verdict
With home advantage, better squad depth, and recent H2H success, Sturm Graz looks like the safer bet. A 1X bet (Sturm Graz to win or draw) at 1.26 is a solid option, while under 3.5 goals (1.33) offers a cautious but reasonable play. Expect a hard-fought match, but Sturm Graz should edge it!