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Match Prediction

Sturm Graz vs LASK Prediction

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Sturm Graz

€53.08m

23 Nov08:30
1 : 3

LASK

€32.75m

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Sturm Graz vs LASK Prediction Bundesliga

Sturm Graz vs LASK Prediction: Stats, Odds, and Expert Analysis

The Bundesliga calendar brings us a fascinating encounter on November 23, 2025, as Sturm Graz welcome LASK to Merkur Arena for a match that could have serious implications for the league table. In this Sturm Graz vs LASK prediction, we dive into recent form, tactical setups, head to head stats, and the latest betting odds to help you make informed sports betting decisions.

Form Guide, Tactics, and Team News

Sturm Graz and LASK enter this fixture with contrasting momentum. LASK have hit their stride, stringing together five consecutive wins and remaining unbeaten in their last six matches across all competitions. This purple patch has seen them average 1.67 goals per game while conceding just 0.5—a testament to their defensive discipline and attacking efficiency. Despite this, LASK find themselves in the middle of the Bundesliga standings, around 6th or 7th place, suggesting that consistency over the season has been a challenge.

On the other hand, Sturm Graz are searching for answers. Winless in their last six outings (three draws, three defeats), their attack has struggled to ignite, netting just 0.83 goals per match during this period, while their defense has been breached 1.47 times per game. Yet, thanks to a strong start, Sturm Graz still sit in 3rd place, with a record of 7 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses from 12 matches.

When it comes to tactical setups, expect Sturm Graz to stick with their trusted 4-2-3-1 formation, which has provided a solid structure even during tough spells. LASK, meanwhile, will likely continue with their effective 3-4-1-2, a system that has underpinned their recent unbeaten run and allowed them to balance defense and attack.

Head to Head and Key Players

  • Head to head history favors Sturm Graz, who have won 25 of their 52 meetings with LASK. LASK have 17 wins, and 10 matches have ended in a draw.
  • At Merkur Arena, Sturm Graz have been especially dominant, winning their last three home matches against LASK without conceding a goal.
  • This season, Sturm Graz have already beaten LASK twice—2.05 away in August and 4-2 at home in March. Their recent record in this fixture is impressive.

Both squads are dealing with injuries. Sturm Graz have a lengthy list of absentees, including Fally Mayulu, Lovro Zvonarek, Max Johnston, and Alexandar Borkovic. Key contributors like Otar Kiteishvili (5 goals, 2 assists) and Maurice Malone (13 shots on goal) will need to step up. LASK are missing Art Smakaj and Maximilian Entrup, but Samuel Adeniran (3 goals) and Sascha Horvath (2 assists) remain threats.

On the sidelines, Jürgen Säumel leads Sturm Graz, while Dietmar Kühbauer has recently taken the reins at LASK. Both managers have contracts running until 2027, signaling long-term faith in their projects.

Betting Odds, AI Tips, and Final Prediction

For those interested in sports betting, the betting odds paint a clear picture: Sturm Graz are favorites at 2.05 for a home win, with a draw at 3.65 and an away win for LASK at 3.65. The home side’s squad value (€53.08m) dwarfs that of LASK (€32.75m), underlining their status as favorites.

  • Our AI model recommends under 3.65 goals as the most promising bet, with a trust score of 4.9/10 and odds of 1.47. The prediction is that this will be a tight, low-scoring affair.
  • For the 1x2 market, the AI suggests backing 1X (home win or draw) at odds of 1.29, though with a lower trust level of 2.05.
  • The predicted final score is 1:0 to Sturm Graz, with a goalless first half expected.

The numbers support a cautious approach: Sturm Graz are expected to control 59% of possession and take 15 shots (4 on target), while LASK may have 41% possession and 10 shots (3 on target). Corners are forecast at 4 for the hosts and 3 for the visitors, with just one yellow card each anticipated—a sign of a disciplined contest.

Interestingly, while LASK’s recent form is superior, the Sturm Graz vs LASK prediction leans towards the home side, thanks to their strong head to head record and home advantage. The AI’s under 3.65 goals tip is supported by both teams’ recent scoring trends—Sturm Graz’s attack is struggling, and LASK’s defense is solid. The predicted 1:0 scoreline reflects a match where chances may be at a premium.

Sturm Graz vs LASK Prediction: Final Thoughts and Betting Tips

To sum up, this fixture is a classic example of form versus history. LASK arrive in Graz brimming with confidence, but Sturm Graz’s home record and superior squad depth make them tough to bet against. If you’re looking for value in the sports betting markets, under 3.65 goals at 1.47 looks like a solid option, while backing Sturm Graz to avoid defeat (1X) at 1.29 could also appeal to more cautious punters.

  1. Under 3.65 goals – Both teams have been involved in low-scoring matches recently, and the AI gives this bet a high confidence rating.
  2. 1X (Home win or draw) – Sturm Graz’s head to head record and home advantage make this a sensible pick.
  3. Correct score 1:0 – For those who like a bigger risk, the predicted scoreline offers attractive odds.

As always, remember to check the latest team news and lineups before kick-off. For more expert analysis, stats, and Sturm Graz vs LASK prediction updates, keep following NerdyTips. Good luck, and may your bets be as sharp as your insights!

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AI Predictions
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Sturm Graz has upcoming match in Europe

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Sturm Graz vs LASK

U3.5 -213

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -213
4/10

1x2 Tip

1X -313

Sturm Graz to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -213

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

No 125

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -161

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

59%
Ball Possession
41%
15
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
3
6
Shots Off Goal
4
4
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

2.7
Total Goals
1.9
1.4
Goals Scored
1.4
1.3
Goals Against
0.5
53%
Possession
53%
13.3
Total Shots
12.7
4.3
Shots on Goal
4.4
5.9
Shots off Goal
5.4
12.5
Fouls
10.3
4.1
Corners
5.6
2.4
Offsides
2.2
1.8
Yellow Cards
1.33
0.2
Red Cards
0
389
Total Passes
429

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
7
8
Over 1.5 Goals
5
5
Over 2.5 Goals
1
2
Over 3.5 Goals
1
7
Both Teams Scored
1
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Sturm Graz
13 - 6 - 12
LASK
LASK LASK 01-Aug-25
0:2
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 16-Mar-25
4:2
LASK LASK
LASK LASK 27-Oct-24
1:2
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
LASK LASK 12-May-24
2:2
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 07-Apr-24
1:0
LASK LASK
LASK LASK 05-Nov-23
3:1
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 05-Aug-23
2:0
LASK LASK
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 03-Jun-23
2:0
LASK LASK
LASK LASK 09-Apr-23
2:1
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 06-Apr-23
1:0
LASK LASK

Profile time Recent Matches of Sturm Graz

29 Jan Sturm Graz Sturm Graz.
-
Brann. Brann
22 JanL Feyenoord Feyenoord.
3:0
Sturm Graz. Sturm Graz

Profile time Recent Matches of LASK

30 JanLASK LASK.
-
BW Linz.BW Linz
23 JanWLASK LASK.
3:0
St. Polten.St. Polten

Austria - Bundesliga Austria - Bundesliga

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull16
34-20
29
2 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz16
26-20
28
3 Lask Linz Lask Linz16
22-20
26
4 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna16
20-20
24
5 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC16
24-19
24
6 TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg16
24-21
23
7 Austria Vienna Austria Vienna16
22-25
23
8 Ried Ried16
20-23
23
9 SCR Altach SCR Altach16
18-16
21
10 WSG Wattens WSG Wattens16
23-24
21
11 Grazer AK Grazer AK16
16-27
15
12 FC BW Linz FC BW Linz16
14-28
10
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