icon back

Match Prediction

Sturm Graz vs Tirol Prediction

Finished
Austria flag Austria
Bundesliga

Sturm Graz

€53.08m

3 Dec14:30
1 : 3

Tirol

€9.25m

Preview

Sturm Graz vs Tirol Prediction Bundesliga

Sturm Graz vs Tirol Prediction: Can the Underdogs Upset the Odds?

The highly anticipated Sturm Graz vs Tirol prediction is on everyone’s lips ahead of their Bundesliga meeting at the Merkur Arena on December 3, 2025, at 19:30 GMT. With both teams looking to shake up their current form and climb the Austrian Bundesliga table, this fixture promises more than just a routine three points. Let’s break down the tactics, form, and betting tips that could shape this intriguing encounter.

Team Tactics, Form, and Head to Head Analysis

Sturm Graz, sometimes simply called “Sturm,” currently occupy 5th place in the league, but a closer look at the numbers tells a more nuanced story. They have managed 22 points from 13 matches (7 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses), scoring 22 and conceding 16. Tirol, meanwhile, sit in 8th, with 17 points from 13 games, having scored 20 and conceded 20. The hosts may boast a market value of €53.08m compared to Tirol’s €9.25m, but recent form suggests this match could be closer than the odds suggest.

  • Sturm Graz’s recent struggles: No wins in their last five league games (2 draws, 3 defeats).
  • Tirol’s steady improvement: One win, three draws, and just a single defeat in their last five.
  • Head to head dominance: Sturm Graz have won 14 of their last 16 matches against Tirol, with the visitors yet to record a victory. Their last encounter ended 3-0 in Sturm’s favor.

Injuries and suspensions could play a role, but the home side appear to have a nearly full squad, with only a few players potentially missing due to earlier knocks or suspensions. Tirol, on the other hand, will be hoping to capitalize on Sturm’s recent dip in form and their own resilience, as showcased in their recent 0-0 draw away to Austria Vienna.

Betting Tips, AI Predictions, and Key Stats

Now for the part that punters and prediction enthusiasts are waiting for: the best Sturm Graz vs Tirol prediction and betting tips. The bookmakers have made Sturm Graz clear favorites at 1.75 for the home win, while a draw sits at 3.85, and a Tirol win is a long shot at 5.2.

  1. AI’s top tip: Under 3.5 goals at 1.37 (confidence: 5.0/10). Both sides have shown defensive discipline lately, and with neither attack firing on all cylinders, a low-scoring affair is likely.
  2. 1x2 prediction: Surprisingly, our AI gives the nod to Tirol (away win) with a trust level of 2.1 and odds of 5.2. The expected final score is 1:2, with the first half likely to end 1:1.
  3. Match stats forecast: Sturm Graz are expected to dominate possession (65%), take more shots (16 to Tirol’s 11), and win more corners (6 to 3). However, Tirol’s efficiency on the break could be the difference-maker.

While the head to head stats overwhelmingly favor Sturm Graz, football loves an underdog story. Tirol’s recent resilience and ability to grind out results away from home—like their draw at Austria Vienna—shouldn’t be underestimated. Meanwhile, Sturm’s own away draw at Lille earlier this year showed they can punch above their weight, even if their recent league form is patchy.

Final Thoughts and Best Bets

To sum up this Sturm Graz vs Tirol prediction: the smart money might be on under 3.5 goals, but if you’re feeling adventurous, backing Tirol for a surprise win at generous odds could pay off. Expect a tactical battle, with Sturm likely to dictate play but Tirol poised to pounce on the counter. With both teams hungry for points and recent matches suggesting a tighter contest than the odds imply, this one could go down to the wire.

  • Best bet: Under 3.5 goals (odds: 1.37)
  • Bold bet: Tirol to win (odds: 5.2)

Whether you’re a stats lover, a betting tips follower, or just here for a good football story, this Sturm Graz vs Tirol prediction has a bit of everything. Stay tuned for what could be a surprisingly close encounter at the Merkur Arena.

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Sturm Graz vs Tirol

U3.5 -270

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -270
5/10

1x2 Tip

2 420

Tirol is expected to win with odds of 420
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -270

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -122

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U5.5 134

Away win/draw and under 5.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:2

Stats Predictions

1.39
xG
1.48
65%
Ball Possession
35%
16
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
3
7
Shots Off Goal
4
6
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

0.93
Expected Goals
1.52
2.9
Total Goals
2.5
1.2
Goals Scored
1.1
1.7
Goals Against
1.4
54%
Possession
41%
12.5
Total Shots
11.2
3.6
Shots on Goal
3.8
5.8
Shots off Goal
4.3
13.1
Fouls
12.1
4.6
Corners
3.8
1.9
Offsides
1.2
1.8
Yellow Cards
2.78
429
Total Passes
324

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
2
8
Over 1.5 Goals
8
6
Over 2.5 Goals
4
3
Over 3.5 Goals
3
8
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Sturm Graz
13 - 2 - 0
Tirol
Tirol Tirol 07-Dec-24
0:3
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 31-Aug-24
4:2
Tirol Tirol
Tirol Tirol 25-Feb-24
0:2
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 01-Oct-23
1:0
Tirol Tirol
Tirol Tirol 19-Mar-23
0:2
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 09-Oct-22
2:1
Tirol Tirol
Tirol Tirol 12-Feb-22
2:2
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 19-Sep-21
5:0
Tirol Tirol
Tirol Tirol 12-May-21
2:3
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz

Profile time Recent Matches of Sturm Graz

14 Jan Sturm Graz Sturm Graz.
-
FC Copenhage. FC Copenhagen
08 JanD Club B Club B.
2:2
Sturm Graz. Sturm Graz
14 DecL Austria V Austria V.
3:1
Sturm Graz. Sturm Graz
11 DecL Sturm Graz Sturm Graz.
0:1
Crvena zvezd. Crvena zvezda
07 DecW Sturm Graz Sturm Graz.
2:1
Grazer AK. Grazer AK
03 DecL Sturm Graz Sturm Graz.
1:3
Tirol. Tirol
30 NovW Hartberg Hartberg.
0:1
Sturm Graz. Sturm Graz
27 NovL Panathinaikos Panathinaiko.
2:1
Sturm Graz. Sturm Graz
23 NovL Sturm Graz Sturm Graz.
1:3
LASK. LASK
09 NovD Sturm Graz Sturm Graz.
1:1
Red B. Red B

Profile time Recent Matches of Tirol

07 JanLRegensburg Regensburg.
2:0
Tirol.Tirol
13 DecLHartberg Hartberg.
2:1
Tirol.Tirol
07 DecLTirol Tirol.
0:3
Altach.Altach
03 DecWSturm Graz Sturm Graz.
1:3
Tirol.Tirol
29 NovDAustria V Austria V.
0:0
Tirol.Tirol
23 NovWSalzburg Salzburg.
2:3
Tirol.Tirol
09 NovDTirol Tirol.
1:1
SK Rapid.SK Rapid
08 NovWTirol Tirol.
1:0
Vila Real.Vila Real
04 NovWCaucaia Caucaia.
0:3
Tirol.Tirol
02 NovDWolfsberg Wolfsberg.
0:0
Tirol.Tirol

Austria - Bundesliga Austria - Bundesliga

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzb16
34-20
29
2 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz16
26-20
28
3 Lask Linz Lask Linz16
22-20
26
4 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna16
20-20
24
5 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC16
24-19
24
6 TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg16
24-21
23
7 Austria Vienna Austria Vienna16
22-25
23
8 Ried Ried16
20-23
23
9 SCR Altach SCR Altach16
18-16
21
10 WSG Wattens WSG Wattens16
23-24
21
11 Grazer AK Grazer AK16
16-27
15
12 FC BW Linz FC BW Linz16
14-28
10
Video preview
You might also like:
Predictions - Sunderland vs Crystal Palace Predictions - Lens vs Auxerre Predictions - Wolves vs Newcastle Predictions - Strasbourg vs Metz Predictions - Aston Villa vs Everton
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches