What is the best bet for Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg?

Based on AI analysis, the best bet is 'under 3.5' at odds of 1.45.

What are the latest odds for Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg?

The latest odds are: Home Win - 1.71, Draw - 4, Away Win - 5.8.

What is the predicted total goals (Under/Over) for Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg?

Our AI predicts the best bet for total goals in this match is 'under 3.5' goals. The available odds for this selection are 1.45.

What is the best 1X2 betting tip for Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg?

Our AI-powered prediction suggests that the best 1X2 bet for this match is '1'. The available odds for this selection are 1.71.

What is the predicted final score for Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg?

Our AI predicts a final score of 1:0.

What is the predicted halftime score for Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg?

Our AI predicts the halftime score will be 0:0.

What is the expected ball possession for Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg?

Our AI predicts Sturm Graz will have 61% possession, while TSV Hartberg will have 39% possession.

How many shots are expected in Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg?

The total number of shots is expected to be 22, with Sturm Graz taking 15 shots and TSV Hartberg taking 7 shots.

How many corners are predicted in Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg?

The match is expected to have a total of 6 corners, with Sturm Graz earning 4 corners and TSV Hartberg earning 2 corners.

What is the predicted number of yellow cards for Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg?

According to our AI prediction, this match is expected to have a total of 2 yellow cards. Sturm Graz is projected to receive 1 yellow cards, while TSV Hartberg is expected to receive 1 yellow cards.

What is the squad value of Sturm Graz before the match against TSV Hartberg?

The current estimated market value of Sturm Graz is €43.12m. This reflects the financial strength of their squad before facing TSV Hartberg.

What is the squad value of TSV Hartberg before the match against Sturm Graz?

The current estimated market value of TSV Hartberg is €12.98m. This represents their squad’s financial standing before playing against Sturm Graz.

How many goals are expected in the first half of Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg?

Our AI predicts that the first half of Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg will have a total of 0 goals, based on the predicted halftime score of 0:0.

How many total goals are expected in Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg?

According to our AI prediction, the match between Sturm Graz and TSV Hartberg is expected to have a total of 1 goals, based on the predicted full-time score of 1:0.

Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg Prediction

Finished

Austria

Bundesliga

Sturm Graz

€43.12m

12 Apr08:30

0 : 0

TSV Hartberg

€12.98m

Preview

Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg Prediction Bundesliga

Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg prediction with odds and tips

The Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg prediction for Sunday, 2026-04-12 (kickoff 13:30 GMT) feels like a classic Championship Round story: the league leaders at home, a stubborn visitor with recent grit, and betting odds that lean clearly toward the title chasers. It’s Matchday 26 in the Austrian Bundesliga Meistergruppe at Merkur Arena in Graz, where Sturm’s push to stay ahead in the race has to meet Hartberg’s habit of making games awkward.

Sturm come in sitting first, and they’ve looked like a team that expects to win rather than hopes to. Results like the 2-0 away win at Rapid Wien (April 5), the 1-1 with Salzburg, and that wild 5-2 against Austria Wien in March paint a picture: intensity without fear, and enough firepower to punish mistakes.

Hartberg’s 2026 started like a fairy tale—eight matches unbeaten—before reality arrived with a bump. A 0-1 loss to Austria Wien (with 10 men) and another defeat against Salzburg cooled the momentum. They’re still organized, still tough to break down, but the clean swagger has slipped into cautious survival mode.

Tactical notes, team mood, and what could decide it

Sturm under 33-year-old coach Fabio Ingolitsch (in charge since January 2026) have leaned into proactive football: controlling space, pushing play forward, and squeezing opponents until the pitch feels small. Hartberg, meanwhile, often look happiest when matches become low-scoring and emotional—exactly the kind of game where one moment can swing everything.

Sturm’s edge: deeper squad quality and a stronger ability to control phases of the match, especially at home.
Hartberg’s hope: structure, patience, and turning the game into a battle of margins.
Sideline storyline: Hartberg coach Manfred Schmid is in a very public contract dispute with the board, with budget cuts and appreciation issues being aired loudly. That can either unite a dressing room—or make it feel like everyone is waiting for summer.

In the most recent head to head meeting (2025-09-28), Sturm won 1-0. That result fits the pattern: these games can be tight, with Sturm doing just enough. Hartberg also showed they can resist pressure away from home, like the 0-0 draw at LASK on 2026-03-13 at huge odds. Sturm themselves have proof of resilience too—remember that 1-1 away at Lille back in 2024 when they were priced as heavy underdogs.

AI picks, sports betting angles, and expected match stats

Now to the numbers that matter for sports betting. The market lists a home win at 1.71, the draw at 4.0, and the away win at 5.8—fair betting odds for a top-vs-underdog Meistergruppe game. Our Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg prediction on the 1x2 market is “1” (Sturm to win) at odds 1.71, but with a moderate trust level of 5.2/10. In other words: Sturm are likelier winners, yet the match script could be narrow.

The stronger angle is goals. NerdyTips’ AI recommends under 3.5 goals (odds 1.45) with a trust level of 8.0/10. That aligns neatly with the predicted final score of 1:0 and a half-time score of 0:0—basically, pack a snack for the first half.

Forecast snapshot (how the game may look)

Possession: Sturm 61% vs Hartberg 39%
Total shots: 15 vs 7
On-target: 5 vs 1
Corners: 4 vs 2 (total 6)
Yellow cards: 1 vs 1

Those projections describe a match where Sturm do most of the work, Hartberg do most of the resisting, and clear chances are limited. The financial gap supports that picture too: Sturm’s squad value is €43.12m versus Hartberg’s €12.98m—depth and quality usually show over 90 minutes, even when the scoreboard stays modest.

Final call: for Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg prediction purposes, the safest value sits with under 3.5 goals. If you want a higher-risk option, Sturm to win makes sense—but expect a tight game where one goal could do the job.

Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg prediction with odds and tips

Tactical notes, team mood, and what could decide it

Sturm’s edge: deeper squad quality and a stronger ability to control phases of the match, especially at home.
Hartberg’s hope: structure, patience, and turning the game into a battle of margins.
Sideline storyline: Hartberg coach Manfred Schmid is in a very public contract dispute with the board, with budget cuts and appreciation issues being aired loudly. That can either unite a dressing room—or make it feel like everyone is waiting for summer.

AI picks, sports betting angles, and expected match stats

Forecast snapshot (how the game may look)

Possession: Sturm 61% vs Hartberg 39%
Total shots: 15 vs 7
On-target: 5 vs 1
Corners: 4 vs 2 (total 6)
Yellow cards: 1 vs 1

AI Predictions

Warning

Best Tip odd is moving up from 1.31

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg

U3.5 -222

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -222

8/10

1x2 Tip

1 -141

Sturm Graz is expected to win with odds of -141

5/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -222

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match

8/10

Both Teams To Score

No 102

At least one team is not expected to score

7/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -222

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals

7/10

Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:0

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

1.67

0.6

61%

Ball Possession

39%

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Shots Off Goal

Corners

Yellow Cards

Average / Match

1.42

Expected Goals

0.66

2.5

Total Goals

1.7

1.6

Goals Scored

1.2

0.9

Goals Against

0.5

48%

Possession

40%

13.1

Total Shots

4.8

Shots on Goal

2.4

4.9

Shots off Goal

11.6

Fouls

11.8

3.7

Corners

2.6

1.2

Offsides

1.1

2.7

Yellow Cards

1.43

327

Total Passes

327

Overview Last 10 Matches

Wins

Over 1.5 Goals

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 3.5 Goals

Both Teams Scored

Unexpected Wins

Unexpected Loses

Head to Head

13 - 4 - 5

TSV Hartberg	^30-Nov-25 0:1	Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz	^28-Sep-25 1:0	TSV Hartberg
TSV Hartberg	^09-Nov-24 1:2	Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz	^11-Aug-24 2:0	TSV Hartberg
Sturm Graz	^05-May-24 1:1	TSV Hartberg
TSV Hartberg	^14-Apr-24 1:3	Sturm Graz
TSV Hartberg	^10-Mar-24 1:1	Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz	^21-Oct-23 2:1	TSV Hartberg
TSV Hartberg	^18-Feb-23 1:2	Sturm Graz

Recent Matches of Sturm Graz

12 Apr	D	Sturm Graz	0	TSV Hartberg	0
05 Apr	W	Rapid Vienna	0	Sturm Graz	2
20 Mar	D	Sturm Graz	1	Salzburg	1
15 Mar	W	Austria V	2	Sturm Graz	5
08 Mar	W	Sturm Graz	2	Altach	0
01 Mar	D	Wolfsberg	2	Sturm Graz	2
22 Feb	W	Sturm Graz	1	BW Linz	0
14 Feb	L	Tirol	1	Sturm Graz	0
08 Feb	W	Sturm Graz	1	Ried	0
01 Feb	L	Altach	3	Sturm Graz	1

Recent Matches of TSV Hartberg

12 Apr	D	Sturm Graz	0	TSV Hartberg	0
05 Apr	L	TSV Hartberg	1	Red B	2
22 Mar	L	Hartberg	0	Austria V	1
13 Mar	D	LASK	0	Hartberg	0
08 Mar	D	Hartberg	1	BW Linz	1
01 Mar	D	Salzburg	0	Hartberg	0
21 Feb	W	Hartberg	1	Grazer AK	0
14 Feb	D	Hartberg	0	Altach	0
07 Feb	D	SK Rapid	1	Hartberg	1
31 Jan	W	Hartberg	7	Lafnitz	0