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Match Prediction

Subiza vs Gernika Prediction

Subiza

€1.05m

27 Apr06:00
2 : 2

Gernika

€2.38m

Preview

Subiza vs Gernika Prediction Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Subiza vs Gernika Prediction: Can the Underdogs Shock the Favorites Again?

When Subiza hosts Gernika at Estadio Sotoburu this Sunday, the betting odds paint a clear picture: the visitors are heavy favorites. But as any seasoned fan knows, football loves a good upset. Our Subiza vs Gernika prediction dives into the numbers, recent form, and why the smart money—and NerdyTips' AI—backs Gernika despite Subiza’s knack for defying expectations.

The Tale of the Tape: David vs. Goliath?

On paper, this looks lopsided. Gernika’s squad is valued at €2.38m—more than double Subiza’s €1.05m. That financial muscle often translates to depth, experience, and, crucially, results. But football isn’t played on spreadsheets. Subiza’s recent 1:3 away win over Tudelano (at odds of 5.7) proved they can punch above their weight. Meanwhile, Gernika’s own 1:2 victory over Deportivo Alaves II (odds of 6.0) showed they’re no strangers to scrapping for wins.

Why the Odds Favor Gernika

The market isn’t fooled by fairy tales. Here’s why:

  • Consistency: Gernika’s higher squad value typically means fewer weak links. They’re built to grind out results.
  • Recent Form: While both teams pulled off upsets, Gernika’s overall performances have been steadier.
  • Head-to-Head: Historical data (where available) often tips scales, and Gernika’s record against smaller sides is strong.
NerdyTips’ AI gives a 7.8/10 trust level for an away win (odds: 1.5), almost mirroring the 1x2 market’s 7.9 confidence in Gernika. That’s a hefty vote of faith.

The Betting Angle: Where’s the Value?

For sports betting enthusiasts, this match offers intrigue. Gernika’s away win odds (1.5) are short but logical. Subiza’s home win (5.3) is a lottery ticket—tempting, but low probability. The draw (4.0) might appeal to contrarians, especially if Subiza parks the bus.

The under 3.5 goals market (1.3 odds) feels safer. With a predicted 0:1 scoreline (HT: 0:1), this could be a cagey affair. Gernika’s defense, coupled with Subiza’s likely defensive approach, suggests few fireworks.

Key Stats at a Glance

  1. Squad Value: Gernika (€2.38m) vs. Subiza (€1.05m)—a glaring gap.
  2. Recent Upsets: Both teams stunned stronger opponents, but Gernika’s was against a higher-tier side.
  3. AI Trust Level: 7.8/10 for Gernika—rarely this high for away teams.

Final Verdict: Trust the Data or Bet on Chaos?

Our Subiza vs Gernika prediction leans heavily on the numbers. Gernika’s financial edge, AI backing, and betting odds make them the smart pick. But if you’ve ever watched football, you know miracles happen. If you’re feeling bold, a sprinkle on Subiza’s home win (5.3) could make Sunday unforgettable. Otherwise, take the away win and sleep easy.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Subiza is relegated!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Subiza vs Gernika

2 -200

Gernika is expected to win with odds of -200
7/10

1x2 Tip

2 -200

Gernika is expected to win with odds of -200
7/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -313

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
1/10

Both Teams To Score

No -132

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -357

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:1

Average / Match

2.5
Total Goals
2.6
0.9
Goals Scored
1
1.6
Goals Against
1.6

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
4
8
Over 1.5 Goals
8
7
Over 2.5 Goals
6
0
Over 3.5 Goals
3
4
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Subiza
0 - 2 - 0
Gernika
Subiza Subiza 27-Apr-25
2:2
Gernika Gernika

Profile time Recent Matches of Subiza

Profile time Recent Matches of Gernika

31 JanGernika Gernika.
-
SD Logrones.SD Logrones
25 JanWAlfaro Alfaro.
0:2
Gernika.Gernika

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Arenas Getxo Arenas Getxo34
50-24
70
2 SD Logroñés SD Logroñés34
54-29
66
3 Eibar II Eibar II34
45-23
62
4 Utebo Utebo34
55-34
61
5 Teruel Teruel34
41-28
60
6 UD Logroñés UD Logroñés34
42-21
55
7 Ejea Ejea34
46-34
51
8 Deportivo Alavés II Deportivo Alavés34
35-32
49
9 Real Zaragoza II Real Zaragoza34
43-48
44
10 Alfaro Alfaro34
32-47
43
11 Tudelano Tudelano34
43-43
43
12 Gernika Gernika34
39-48
43
13 Barbastro Barbastro34
36-40
40
14 Calahorra Calahorra34
28-39
39
15 Anguiano Anguiano34
32-49
38
16 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad34
31-57
29
17 Subiza Subiza34
36-60
28
18 Izarra Izarra34
31-63
21
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