Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Argentina
Preview
The Talleres vs San Lorenzo prediction for Sunday, March 1, 2.26 (01:15 GMT) feels like one of those Liga Profesional nights where patience matters more than fireworks. The Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes hosts a meeting of two mid-table sides who are close in points, but not in mood: Talleres arrive needing a response, while San Lorenzo arrive with that familiar habit of staying in games even when life around the club is noisy.
Talleres sit 11th with 10 points (3-1-3) under Carlos Tévez, and they are coming off a 0–2 loss to Central Córdoba that clearly bothered their coach, especially the second half. Tévez has been clear: he wants a stronger home image, and he has also dismissed any talk about walking away, keeping the focus on chasing an international place.
San Lorenzo are 7th with 11 points (3-2.2) under Damián Ayude. Recent results include a 1–1 draw with Instituto and a 2–0 win over Estudiantes de Río Cuarto. Even more important for betting fans: they have looked hard to break down, with four clean sheets in their last six matches.
Tévez usually sets Talleres up in a 4.45-2 or 4-2-3-1, aiming for intensity and quick ball recovery, though he recently called his side “sluggish” when the game stretched. Expect Talleres to try to start fast, pin San Lorenzo back, and let Galarza set tempo behind Martínez.
Ayude’s San Lorenzo lean toward a 4-2-3-1 with defensive order first and transitions second. With injuries at the back, they may sit a touch deeper than usual and look to Vietto between the lines, with Cuello attacking space on the break. Off the pitch, the club’s institutional “acefalía” could be a distraction, yet Ayude has praised the squad’s commitment and keeps asking for focus and recovery in a tight schedule.
The head to head trend is the warning label for Talleres: San Lorenzo are unbeaten in the last five meetings (3 wins, 2 draws), including a 2–1 win on 2.2-07-12. Both teams have also shown they can frustrate River Plate away from home: Talleres drew 1–1 at long odds (5.4) in April 2.2, and San Lorenzo held River 0–0 at 6.26 odds in July 2.2. This matchup often turns into a test of discipline rather than flair.
Bookmakers list the betting odds at 2.2 (Talleres), 2.8 (draw), and 4.45 (San Lorenzo). That price gap fits the game script: Talleres to control territory, San Lorenzo to resist.
Our model expects Talleres to have 60% ball possession and a clear shot edge (13 to 6), but not a flood of big chances (4 shots on target to 1). That profile regularly matches an Under 2.5 bet: control without chaos. Corners are projected at just 5 total (4.45), which also hints at long spells of structured play rather than wave after wave of attacks. Discipline could tilt things too, with yellow cards forecast at 1 for Talleres and 3 for San Lorenzo, a sign the visitors may spend more time defending in awkward zones.
Market value is close (€32.83m vs €37.08m), so this is not a mismatch on talent. Still, with Talleres needing a home response and San Lorenzo arriving with a makeshift defense, the Talleres vs San Lorenzo prediction leans to a gritty 1–0—more work boots than highlights.
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1X -417
Talleres to win or draw with odds of -4171 120
Talleres is expected to win with odds of 120Under 2.5 -303
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -208
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U3.5 -196
Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
0:0
1:0
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5
-
3
-
4
|
|
 Talleres |
12-Jul-25
1:2
| San Lorenzo  |
| San Lorenzo |
25-Jan-25
1:0
| Talleres |
| San Lorenzo |
25-Aug-24
2:0
| Talleres |
| Talleres |
17-Apr-23
0:0
| San Lorenzo |
| San Lorenzo |
25-Jul-22
1:1
| Talleres |
| Talleres |
13-Mar-22
0:1
| San Lorenzo |
| Talleres |
16-Aug-21
2:0
| San Lorenzo |
| San Lorenzo |
13-Dec-20
0:2
| Talleres |
| Talleres |
16-Feb-20
1:0
| San Lorenzo |
Recent Matches of Talleres | 01 Mar | D |
Talleres
| 0 |
San Lorenzo
| 0 |
| 24 Feb | L |
Central C
| 2 |
Talleres
| 0 |
| 21 Feb | W |
Rosario C
| 0 |
Talleres
| 1 |
| 14 Feb | W |
Talleres
| 2 |
Gimnasia M.
| 1 |
| 09 Feb | D |
Lanus
| 1 |
Talleres
| 1 |
| 04 Feb | W |
Talleres
| 2 |
Argentino
| 0 |
| 01 Feb | L |
Talleres
| 1 |
Platense
| 2 |
| 27 Jan | L |
Velez S
| 2 |
Talleres
| 1 |
| 24 Jan | W |
Talleres
| 2 |
Newells
| 1 |
| 23 Nov | L |
Boca Juniors
| 2 |
Talleres
| 0 |
Recent Matches of San Lorenzo
| 01 Mar | D | Talleres |
0 | San Lorenzo |
0 |
| 24 Feb | D | San Lorenzo |
1 |  Instituto |
1 |
| 22 Feb | W | San Lorenzo |
2 |  Estudiant |
0 |
| 14 Feb | D |  Union S |
0 | San Lorenzo |
0 |
| 08 Feb | L |  Huracan |
1 | San Lorenzo |
0 |
| 31 Jan | W | San Lorenzo |
1 |  Central C |
0 |
| 27 Jan | W |  Gimnasia M. |
0 | San Lorenzo |
1 |
| 23 Jan | L | San Lorenzo |
2 |  Lanus |
3 |
| 23 Nov | L | Central C |
2 | San Lorenzo |
1 |
| 15 Nov | D | San Lorenzo |
1 |  Sarmiento |
1 |
Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Estudiantes | 7 | 7-2 | 15 |
| 2 |
Velez | 7 | 8-4 | 15 |
| 3 |
Union Santa Fe | 8 | 11-5 | 14 |
| 4 |
Defensa Y | 8 | 7-4 | 14 |
| 5 |
Independiente | 8 | 11-7 | 13 |
| 6 |
San Lorenzo | 8 | 7-5 | 12 |
| 7 |
Platense | 7 | 5-3 | 12 |
| 8 |
Talleres | 8 | 8-9 | 11 |
| 9 |
Boca Juniors | 7 | 6-5 | 9 |
| 10 |
Instituto | 8 | 9-10 | 8 |
| 11 |
Lanus | 6 | 8-9 | 8 |
| 12 |
Central Cordoba de | 8 | 3-6 | 8 |
| 13 |
Gimnasia M. | 8 | 5-10 | 8 |
| 14 |
Deportivo | 7 | 2-5 | 4 |
| 15 |
Newells Old | 8 | 5-16 | 2 |
