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Match Prediction

Telstar vs Ajax Prediction

Finished
Netherlands flag Netherlands
Eredivisie

Telstar

€8.70m

11 Jan08:30
2 : 3

Ajax

€187.70m

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Telstar vs Ajax Prediction Eredivisie

Telstar vs Ajax Prediction: Stats, Odds, and Expert Analysis

Welcome to our Telstar vs Ajax prediction for the Eredivisie match kicking off at 13:30 GMT on January 11, 2026. At NerdyTips, we’re diving deep into the numbers, recent form, and betting odds to help you make smarter bets on this exciting fixture. Whether you’re a seasoned punter or just starting out, our Telstar vs Ajax prediction is designed to be clear, insightful, and easy to follow.

Match Context: A David vs Goliath Story at BUKO Stadion

This Eredivisie encounter at the BUKO Stadion in Velsen is more than just another league match. Telstar, back in the Dutch top flight after a 47-year absence, find themselves in 15th place, battling to stay afloat. Ajax, meanwhile, are sitting comfortably in 3rd, chasing the leaders and showing their usual attacking flair. The difference in squad value says it all: Telstar’s team is worth €8.70m, while Ajax’s roster boasts a whopping €187.70m.

Head to Head: Ajax’s Dominance Continues

  • Ajax have won all three of their recent meetings with Telstar.
  • In the last two matches (both in 2025), Ajax won 2-0 each time.
  • The most exciting recent clash was a 3.95 Ajax win in December 2019.

When it comes to head to head records, Ajax have been the clear winners, outscoring Telstar 8-3 in their last three meetings. This history sets the stage for another tough afternoon for the home side.

Team Form and Tactics

  • Telstar: Managed by Anthony Correia, Telstar have struggled to find consistency. They’ve won only two of their last six games, with three draws and one loss. Their home form is especially shaky, with no wins in their last three matches at BUKO Stadion. Expect them to set up in a 3-3.95-1 formation, focusing on defense and quick counters.
  • Ajax: Under Fred Grim, Ajax are unbeaten in their last six, winning five and drawing one. Their attack is firing, averaging 3.33 goals per game recently. Ajax usually line up in a 3.95-3, pressing high and dominating possession (predicted 61% in this match). Even with some key injuries, their squad depth remains impressive.

Telstar’s key man is Jeff Hardeveld, who’s been creating plenty of chances this season. Ajax, despite missing players like Wout Weghorst and Steven Berghuis, still have enough firepower to trouble any defense.

Statistical Breakdown: What the Numbers Say

  • Possession: Telstar 39%, Ajax 61%
  • Total shots: Telstar 10, Ajax 13
  • Shots on target: Telstar 3, Ajax 5
  • Total corners: 8 (Telstar 3, Ajax 5)
  • Yellow cards: 1 each
  • Expected half-time score: 0-1 Ajax

Telstar’s defense will be busy, and Ajax’s attacking stats suggest they’ll create plenty of chances. The predicted total goals for this fixture is over 2.5, a trend that matches Ajax’s recent high-scoring games.

Betting Odds and Expert Tips

  • Home win: 3.95
  • Draw: 3.95
  • Away win (Ajax): 1.92

Ajax are clear favorites in the betting odds, and it’s easy to see why. Telstar have shown they can spring a surprise—like their 0-0 draw at Twente in November—but Ajax’s quality and form make them the smart pick here.

AI-Generated Predictions and Best Bets

  • Best tip: X2 (Ajax win or draw) – Confidence: 8.5/10, Odds: 1.27
  • Best 1x2 bet: Ajax to win (2) – Trust score: 8.0, Odds: 1.92
  • Over/Under: Over 2.5 total goals – Confidence: 3.7, Odds: 1.6
  • Predicted final score: Telstar 1-2 Ajax

Our Telstar vs Ajax prediction leans strongly towards the away side. The AI models agree: Ajax are unlikely to lose, and there should be goals. If you’re looking for value, Ajax to win or draw (X2) is a solid, low-risk option. For those chasing higher returns, an away win or over 2.5 goals are both worth considering.

Key Takeaways for Bettors

  1. Ajax’s attacking power and head to head record make them the top pick.
  2. Telstar’s home struggles and Ajax’s recent form support the away win.
  3. Over 2.5 goals is a strong bet given Ajax’s scoring record.
  4. Expect Ajax to control possession and create more chances.

In summary, our Telstar vs Ajax prediction is for a competitive game, but Ajax’s experience and quality should see them through. A 2-1 away win looks likely, with Telstar putting up a fight but falling short. Good luck with your bets, and remember to always play responsibly!

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Ajax didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Telstar vs Ajax

X2 -370

Ajax to win or draw with odds of -370
8/10

1x2 Tip

2 -109

Ajax is expected to win with odds of -109
8/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -154

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -167

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 -208

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
4/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:1

Correct Score

1:2

Stats Predictions

1.31
xG
1.49
39%
Ball Possession
61%
10
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Goal
5
4
Shots Off Goal
4
3
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.49
Expected Goals
1.24
2.7
Total Goals
3.7
1.7
Goals Scored
2.4
1
Goals Against
1.3
45%
Possession
60%
11.7
Total Shots
12.8
4.3
Shots on Goal
5.6
4.2
Shots off Goal
4
9.9
Fouls
8.6
4.1
Corners
5.2
2.5
Offsides
1
1.3
Yellow Cards
1.75
377
Total Passes
497

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
5
7
Over 1.5 Goals
9
5
Over 2.5 Goals
7
4
Over 3.5 Goals
5
6
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Telstar
0 - 0 - 3
Ajax
Ajax Ajax 10-Aug-25
2:0
Telstar Telstar
Ajax Ajax 19-Dec-24
2:0
Telstar Telstar
Telstar Telstar 18-Dec-19
3:4
Ajax Ajax

Profile time Recent Matches of Telstar

17 Jan Excelsior Excelsior.
-
Telstar. Telstar
14 JanW Almere City Almere City.
1:3
Telstar. Telstar
11 JanL Telstar Telstar.
2:3
Ajax. Ajax
05 JanD Marbella Marbella.
0:0
Telstar. Telstar
05 JanD Malaga Malaga.
0:0
Telstar. Telstar
20 DecW NAC Breda NAC Breda.
0:1
Telstar. Telstar
16 DecW Hoek Hoek.
1:4
Telstar. Telstar
13 DecD Telstar Telstar.
2:2
Nijmegen. Nijmegen
06 DecD Heracles Heracles.
1:1
Telstar. Telstar
30 NovL Telstar Telstar.
1:2
Feyenoord. Feyenoord

Profile time Recent Matches of Ajax

11 JanWTelstar Telstar.
2:3
Ajax.Ajax
05 JanWAjax Ajax.
4:0
Seraing.Seraing
20 DecDNijmegen Nijmegen.
2:2
Ajax.Ajax
17 DecWExcelsior Excelsior.
2:7
Ajax.Ajax
14 DecWAjax Ajax.
2:0
Feyenoord.Feyenoord
10 DecWQarabag Qarabag.
2:4
Ajax.Ajax
06 DecWSittard Sittard.
1:3
Ajax.Ajax
02 DecDAjax Ajax.
0:0
Groningen.Groningen
25 NovLAjax Ajax.
0:2
Benfica.Benfica
22 NovLAjax Ajax.
1:2
Excelsior.Excelsior

Netherlands - Eredivisie Netherlands - Eredivisie

Team Matches Goals Points
1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven18
57-22
49
2 Feyenoord Feyenoord18
44-23
36
3 Ajax Ajax18
35-24
33
4 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen17
43-29
29
5 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar17
32-28
28
6 Groningen Groningen18
25-22
28
7 Twente Twente18
27-22
26
8 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterd18
20-31
26
9 Heerenveen Heerenveen18
31-28
24
10 Utrecht Utrecht17
28-23
23
11 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittar18
27-31
22
12 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagle18
28-31
20
13 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle18
22-39
20
14 Excelsior Excelsior17
17-32
19
15 Telstar Telstar18
22-30
15
16 NAC Breda NAC Breda18
16-26
14
17 FC Volendam FC Volendam18
19-32
14
18 Heracles Heracles18
26-46
14
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