Tenerife vs Racing Ferrol Prediction

Tenerife vs Racing Ferrol Prediction: Stats, Odds & Smart Betting Tips

The stage is set for a pivotal Segunda Division encounter as Tenerife welcomes Racing Ferrol to the iconic Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz this Sunday, May 11, at 20:00 GMT. With the season winding down, every point is precious—especially when survival is on the line. In this Tenerife vs Racing Ferrol prediction, we break down the head to head history, betting odds, and key stats to give you the edge for your bets.

Stakes High as Tenerife Look to Pull Away

Tenerife currently sit 20th in the table with 35 points from 38 matches—a precarious position, but one that looks positively comfortable compared to Racing Ferrol, who trail in 21st with just 26 points. The nine-point gap could either stretch to a chasm or shrink to a nail-biting margin by the final whistle. With relegation fears looming, both sides know this fixture could define their season.

Betting Odds: Tenerife Favored, Ferrol Face Uphill Battle

• Tenerife win: 1.513


• Draw: 3.9


• Racing Ferrol win: 7.0

The bookmakers have spoken: Tenerife are clear favorites, priced at just 1.513 for the home win. A draw sits at 3.9, while a Racing Ferrol upset is a long shot at 7.0. Our AI’s best tip? Back the home side—Tenerife to win (1)—with a moderate confidence rating of 5.1/10 and matching odds of 1.513. The 1x2 prediction echoes this, with a trust level of 5.2. In short, all roads point to a Tenerife victory.

Goals Market: Expect a Tight Affair

If you’re hunting value in the total goals market, the under 2.5 goals prediction (confidence 4.8, odds 1.5136) stands out. It’s not just a hunch—league-wide, only 39.1% of matches go over 2.5 goals, and a mere 19.7% creep over 3.5. Both teams have found the net in just 47.3% of games, reinforcing the expectation of a low-scoring contest.

• Predicted final score: Tenerife 2-0 Racing Ferrol


• Expected halftime: 0-0

A goalless first half followed by a controlled Tenerife finish is the smart play. If you fancy a correct score punt, 2:0 is the number to circle.

Possession, Shots & Corners: Tenerife Set to Dominate

The stats paint a clear picture of how this one should play out:

• Tenerife: 68% possession, 16 shots (4 on target), 8 corners


• Racing Ferrol: 32% possession, 7 shots (just 1 on target), 2 corners

With Tenerife expected to boss the ball and pepper the Ferrol goal, the home side’s favored status is easy to justify. Racing Ferrol, meanwhile, may need to make their single shot on target count—and perhaps send a thank-you card to the woodwork. With Tenerife’s market value at €14.30m compared to Ferrol’s €10.40m, there’s a subtle nod to the hosts’ greater squad depth and quality.

League Trends & Head to Head History

The Segunda Division has its quirks: home teams win 44% of the time, away sides just 25%, with 31% draws. It’s no surprise, then, that the Tenerife vs Racing Ferrol prediction leans heavily toward the hosts.

Looking at recent meetings, Tenerife have the psychological edge. In their last head to head on May 5, 2024, they ran out 2-0 winners—eerily matching this year’s predicted scoreline. Back then, the odds favored Tenerife at 2.1, and they delivered.

Both teams have shown flashes of resilience. Tenerife’s 2:2 draw at Zaragoza in January 2025, despite pre-match odds of 5.0, proved they’re capable of upsetting the script. Racing Ferrol’s goalless draw at Almeria in April—against 10.3 odds—shows they can dig in defensively when needed. So while the numbers favor Tenerife, a shock isn’t entirely out of the question.

Referee Watch: The Invisible Man?

In a quirky twist, the official assignment reads: “Referee: None.” Perhaps VAR will take center stage, or maybe the players will just referee themselves—now there’s a plot twist for the ages!

Key Predictions & Betting Tips Recap

• Tenerife vs Racing Ferrol prediction: Home win (1), odds 1.513, confidence 5.1/10


• 1x2 market: Tenerife to win, trust level 5.2


• Goals market: Under 2.5 goals, odds 1.5136, confidence 4.8


• Correct score: Tenerife 2-0 Racing Ferrol (halftime 0-0)

The numbers, the odds, and the narrative all converge on one story: Tenerife are primed to take a vital step toward safety, while Racing Ferrol face an uphill battle. For punters, the smart money is on a home win and a low-scoring affair—just don’t expect a goal-fest or a refereeing masterclass.

For more head to head insights, total goals stats, and the latest betting odds, keep NerdyTips bookmarked. Good luck, and may your bets be as sharp as Tenerife’s expected possession stats!