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Match Prediction

Tondela vs Guimaraes Prediction

Finished

Tondela

€22.52m

8 Nov14:00
0 : 1

Guimaraes

€26.45m

Preview

Tondela vs Guimaraes Prediction Primeira Liga

Tondela vs Guimaraes Prediction: Odds, Tips and Match Story

Welcome to our Tondela vs Guimaraes prediction for the Primeira Liga fixture on November 8, 2025! If you’re looking for a friendly, down-to-earth preview with all the latest betting odds, stats, and a dash of humor, you’re in the right place. Let’s break down the story, the stats, and what our AI thinks will happen when these two sides meet at Estádio João Cardoso.

Match Overview and Recent Form

Tondela’s return to the top flight has been anything but a fairy tale so far. With just one win from their first nine Primeira Liga matches, the home team is still searching for consistency. Their recent record reads like a rollercoaster: two draws, one win, and three losses in their last six league games. Across all competitions, it’s much the same—moments of hope, but plenty of frustration. The most worrying stat? Tondela has failed to score in seven of their last nine league games. If goals were gold, Tondela would be broke.

Guimaraes, on the other hand, have been the picture of unpredictability. Their last six league results look like a random number generator: two wins, two draws, and two losses. Sitting 11th in the table with 11 points from nine games, they’ve shown they can grind out results. One thing is clear: Guimaraes’ games rarely turn into goal-fests—six of their last seven league matches have finished under 2.5 total goals.

Tactics, Teams, and Key Players

  • Tondela: Expect Tondela to try and control the ball in the opposition half, whip in crosses, and attack down the right. They like to rotate their starting eleven and take plenty of shots, but stopping the other team from creating chances has been a big problem. Midfielder Joe Hodge is doubtful, but Cicero and Yaya Sithole should return to the lineup. Sithole’s comeback from a serious leg injury is a boost, but goalscoring remains a headache.
  • Guimaraes: Guimaraes are missing a few key men—Gustavo Silva and Goncalo Nogueira are out injured, and defender Mikel Villanueva is suspended. Bruno Gaspar is a doubt, but coach Luis Pinto could recall Nelson Oliveira to lead the line, with Telmo Arcanjo and Matija Mitrovic pushing for starts. Expect a pragmatic approach, with a focus on keeping things tight at the back and snatching a goal on the break.

Head to Head and Betting Odds

Looking at the head to head, these teams know each other well. Their last meeting ended 1-1 on April 24, 2022, with both sides sharing the points. Back then, Guimaraes were slight favorites with odds of 2.0, while Tondela were the underdogs at 3.45. This time, the betting odds are similar: Tondela to win at 3.0, a draw at 3.2, and Guimaraes to win at 2.4. Both squads are fairly evenly matched in value, with Tondela’s squad worth €22.52m and Guimaraes slightly ahead at €26.45m.

What Do the Stats Say?

  • Possession: Tondela 49%, Guimaraes 51%
  • Shots: Tondela 12, Guimaraes 13
  • On-target shots: Tondela 4, Guimaraes 3
  • Corners: 4 each
  • Yellow cards: Tondela 2, Guimaraes 1

Expect a close contest, with both sides creating chances but struggling to find the net.

NerdyTips AI Predictions and Best Bets

Now for the part you’ve been waiting for: the Tondela vs Guimaraes prediction from our AI. The smart money is on a low-scoring affair. The best tip is under 2.5 total goals, with odds at 1.66 and a trust level of 3.6 out of 10. Not the highest confidence, but given both teams’ recent records, it makes sense. For the 1x2 market, the AI leans toward an away win (Guimaraes) at odds of 2.4, but with a low trust score of 1.4. The expected final score? A narrow 0:1 win for Guimaraes, with the away side also predicted to lead 0:1 at halftime.

  • Best Total Goals Bet: Under 2.5 (Odds: 1.66, Trust: 3.6/10)
  • Best 1x2 Bet: Guimaraes to win (Odds: 2.4, Trust: 1.4/10)
  • Predicted Final Score: Tondela 0-1 Guimaraes

If you’re looking for fireworks, this might not be the match for you. But if you enjoy tactical battles, tight defences, and the thrill of a single goal deciding the outcome, Tondela vs Guimaraes could be right up your street. Just don’t expect a goal bonanza—our AI is betting on a chess match, not a shootout.

Summary: Tondela vs Guimaraes Prediction

  1. Tondela are struggling for goals and wins, but have home advantage.
  2. Guimaraes are missing some key players but have the squad depth to edge it.
  3. Both teams are in mixed form, with a history of low-scoring games.
  4. Our Tondela vs Guimaraes prediction: expect a tight, tactical game with under 2.5 total goals and a slight edge for Guimaraes.

Whatever happens, this Primeira Liga match promises to be an intriguing watch for fans and bettors alike. Good luck—and may your bets bring you more joy than Tondela’s attack has brought their fans lately!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Tondela vs Guimaraes

U2.5 -152

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -152
3/10

1x2 Tip

2 140

Guimaraes is expected to win with odds of 140
1/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -152

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

No -118

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -185

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:1

Stats Predictions

49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Goal
3
6
Shots Off Goal
5
4
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.23
Expected Goals
0.92
3.1
Total Goals
2.4
1.3
Goals Scored
1.1
1.8
Goals Against
1.3
46%
Possession
47%
11.6
Total Shots
12.3
3.8
Shots on Goal
3.8
5.6
Shots off Goal
5.4
15
Fouls
14.3
4
Corners
4.1
2.9
Offsides
2.5
3.38
Yellow Cards
2.13
0.4
Red Cards
0.14
319
Total Passes
349

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
4
8
Over 1.5 Goals
9
8
Over 2.5 Goals
3
4
Over 3.5 Goals
1
5
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Tondela
5 - 3 - 8
Guimaraes
Guimaraes Guimaraes 09-Sep-23
0:1
Tondela Tondela
Guimaraes Guimaraes 22-Jul-23
1:1
Tondela Tondela
Tondela Tondela 24-Apr-22
1:1
Guimaraes Guimaraes
Guimaraes Guimaraes 11-Dec-21
5:2
Tondela Tondela
Guimaraes Guimaraes 04-Apr-21
1:2
Tondela Tondela
Tondela Tondela 27-Nov-20
0:2
Guimaraes Guimaraes
Guimaraes Guimaraes 01-Mar-20
2:0
Tondela Tondela
Tondela Tondela 22-Sep-19
1:3
Guimaraes Guimaraes
Tondela Tondela 09-Feb-19
1:0
Guimaraes Guimaraes

Profile time Recent Matches of Tondela

09 MarL Tondela Tondela 0 Rio Ave Rio Ave 1

Profile time Recent Matches of Guimaraes

08 MarLSanta Clara Santa Clara 2 Guimaraes Guimaraes 0

Portugal - Primeira Liga Portugal - Primeira Liga

Team Matches Goals Points
1 FC Porto FC Porto24
47-8
65
2 Sporting CP Sporting CP24
62-12
61
3 Benfica Benfica24
51-14
58
4 SC Braga SC Braga24
50-23
45
5 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente24
35-23
40
6 Famalicao Famalicao24
29-21
36
7 Moreirense Moreirense24
30-34
34
8 Estoril Estoril24
46-42
33
9 Guimaraes Guimaraes24
28-35
32
10 Alverca Alverca24
24-39
27
11 Arouca Arouca24
32-52
26
12 Estrela Estrela24
26-41
24
13 Casa Pia Casa Pia24
26-44
23
14 Nacional Nacional24
28-36
21
15 Rio Ave Rio Ave24
23-44
21
16 Santa Clara Santa Clara24
20-31
19
17 Tondela Tondela24
19-38
19
18 AVS AVS24
18-57
9
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