Tottenham vs West Ham Prediction

Tottenham vs West Ham Prediction: Stats, Tips, and Tactical Analysis

Welcome to our Tottenham vs West Ham prediction, where we break down the numbers, recent form, and tactical nuances ahead of this classic London derby on January 17, 2026. Whether you’re a stats lover, a tactical enthusiast, or just looking for some reliable betting tips, we’ve got you covered with a balanced, fan-friendly analysis.

Team Form, Injuries, and Tactical Insights

The Premier League calendar brings us another chapter in the Tottenham vs West Ham rivalry, with both teams desperate for points but for very different reasons. Spurs, currently sitting 14th, have steadied the ship slightly with an unbeaten run in their last three matches. However, their attacking spark has dimmed—they haven’t scored from open play since early December, and their recent FA Cup exit to Aston Villa (2-1) won’t have helped morale.

West Ham, meanwhile, are in even deeper trouble. The Hammers are 18th, with just 14 points from 21 matches. Four defeats in their last five league games—including a 3-0 drubbing at Wolves and a 1-2 home loss to Nottingham Forest—have left fans nervously checking the relegation zone. On the bright side, they did squeeze past QPR in the FA Cup, thanks to a late extra-time winner from Taty Castellanos.

• Tottenham’s injury list is still a concern. Richarlison and Bentancur are both out with hamstring issues, while creative engine James Maddison is likely done for the season with an ACL injury. The good news? Destiny Udogie and Lucas Bergvall are expected to return, and Dominic Solanke is back in the squad after a brief cameo in the FA Cup.
• West Ham’s problems aren’t just on the pitch. Mohammed Kudus is sidelined until after March, and defender Mavropanos is recovering from a worrying head injury, though early signs are positive.

Tactically, expect Spurs to dominate possession—our projections put them at 58%—and look to break down West Ham’s deep defensive block. West Ham will likely play on the counter, hoping Jarrod Bowen or Lucas Paquetá can conjure some magic. But with both sides missing key players, don’t expect a goal-fest.

Head to Head, Stats, and Recent Meetings

Looking at the head to head record, Tottenham have had the upper hand recently. In their last meeting on October 19, 2024, Spurs ran out 4-1 winners, and they’ve generally looked more comfortable in this fixture. The home side’s squad value (€878.50m) dwarfs West Ham’s (€373.25m), underlining the gulf in resources.

• Tottenham’s recent highlight: a 2-0 away win at Manchester City, defying the odds at 5.8.
• West Ham’s best result: a gritty 1-1 draw at Brighton, also against the odds.

The stats suggest Spurs will have more shots (13 to 9), more on target (5 to 2), and slightly fewer corners (3 to 4). Both teams are expected to pick up a yellow card each, but nothing too spicy—at least, by derby standards.

Tottenham vs West Ham Prediction and Betting Tips

Now, onto the part you’ve been waiting for: our Tottenham vs West Ham prediction and betting tips. According to NerdyTips’ AI, the smart money is on a home win (Tottenham), with odds at 1.76 and a trust level of 5.3/10. It’s not a slam dunk, but given the form, injuries, and head to head record, it’s the most likely outcome in the 1x2 market.

1. Recommended bet: Home win (Tottenham), odds 1.76, confidence 5.3/10.
2. Over/Under tip: Over 1.5 goals, odds 1.26, confidence 4.1/10.
3. Predicted score: 2-1 to Tottenham. Expect Spurs to edge it, with a 1-0 lead at half-time.

If you’re looking for value, the over 1.5 goals market is a solid pick, given both teams’ defensive frailties. But with both sides missing attacking stars, don’t expect a goal glut. Spurs’ home advantage, superior squad depth, and recent head to head dominance tip the scales in their favor.

In summary, our Tottenham vs West Ham prediction leans towards a narrow home win, but don’t be surprised if West Ham make it nervy. After all, in London derbies, anything can happen—except, perhaps, a boring 0-0. Good luck with your bets, and may your accumulator survive longer than Spurs’ last FA Cup run!