Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Italy
Triestina
€6.78m
Padova
€6.90m
Preview
The Stadio Nereo Rocco is set to host a fascinating Serie C encounter this weekend as Triestina welcome Padova in a match that promises tension, if not necessarily goals. With both teams separated by the slimmest of margins in market value—Triestina at €6.78m, Padova at €6.90m—this is a battle of near-equals in a league where home advantage isn’t always decisive. Serie C’s Girone A stats tell us home teams win just 37.4% of the time, while away victories clock in at 26.8%. The rest? A hefty 35.8% end all square. So, what can we expect when these two meet on April 13, 2025?
Their last meeting, back in December 2023, was a classic example of how little separates these sides. Padova nicked a 1-0 win despite odds that were almost identical—Triestina at 2.55, Padova at 2.54. But Triestina have shown they’re capable of springing surprises, like their 2-0 upset over Vicenza Virtus in December 2024 at whopping 5.05 odds. That result alone is a reminder: in Serie C, predictability is often an illusion.
If you’re looking for free-flowing, high-scoring drama, this might not be the game for you. Serie C’s Girone A has seen both teams score in just 43.3% of matches, while 62.0% creep over the 1.5-goal line. Only 36.4% surpass 2.5 goals, which explains why the smart money leans toward under 2.5 goals at 1.65 odds (albeit with a modest 3.2/10 trust score). The projected scoreline? A nervy 1-0, with a goalless first half. Padova’s slight edge in squad value and Triestina’s recent defensive grit—they’ve kept clean sheets when least expected—suggest a game decided by fine details.
The AI’s 1x2 prediction gives Triestina a faint nod (3.26 odds, 1.5 trust score), but let’s be honest—this could go either way. Stadio Nereo Rocco might not see fireworks, but tension? Plenty. Padova’s ability to grind out narrow wins clashes with Triestina’s knack for defying odds at home. For bettors, the safer play is likely the under, but if you’re feeling bold, a punt on a exact 1-0 scoreline could be worth a glance.
Here’s a curious footnote to wrap things up: as of now, the match has no assigned referee. Whether that’s an oversight or a quirk of Serie C’s scheduling chaos, it adds another layer of unpredictability to a game already teetering on a knife’s edge. One thing’s certain—Triestina vs Padova won’t be short on drama, even if goals are.
Read More
U2.5 -154
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -1541 226
Triestina is expected to win with odds of 226Under 2.5 -154
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -115
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U4.5 -120
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1:0
|
|
3
-
3
-
7
|
|
 Triestina |
13-Apr-25
0:1
| Padova  |
| Padova |
01-Dec-24
1:1
| Triestina |
| Padova |
28-Apr-24
3:2
| Triestina |
| Triestina |
22-Dec-23
0:1
| Padova |
| Padova |
18-Feb-23
1:1
| Triestina |
| Triestina |
19-Oct-22
0:2
| Padova |
| Triestina |
23-Jan-22
0:2
| Padova |
| Padova |
19-Sep-21
2:0
| Triestina |
| Triestina |
03-Apr-21
1:0
| Padova |
| Padova |
14-Dec-20
0:0
| Triestina |
Recent Matches of Triestina| 08 Dec |
Giana Ermini.
|
-
| Triestina.
|
Recent Matches of Padova
| 08 Dec | Padova. |
- |
Cesena. |
Italy - Serie C - Girone A| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Padova | 38 | 65-24 | 86 |
| 2 |
Vicenza Virtus | 38 | 59-24 | 83 |
| 3 |
Feralpisalo | 38 | 53-30 | 72 |
| 4 |
Albinoleffe | 38 | 46-38 | 60 |
| 5 |
Renate | 38 | 35-36 | 60 |
| 6 |
Giana Erminio | 38 | 44-39 | 57 |
| 7 |
Trento | 38 | 47-42 | 57 |
| 8 |
Atalanta II | 38 | 65-53 | 57 |
| 9 |
Virtus Verona | 38 | 52-43 | 56 |
| 10 |
Arzignano Valc | 38 | 45-46 | 53 |
| 11 |
Novara | 38 | 42-39 | 52 |
| 12 |
Alcione | 38 | 33-37 | 47 |
| 13 |
Lecco | 38 | 36-47 | 43 |
| 14 |
Pergolettese | 38 | 36-49 | 42 |
| 15 |
Lumezzane | 38 | 40-55 | 42 |
| 16 |
Triestina | 38 | 40-45 | 39 |
| 17 |
PRO Vercelli | 38 | 30-51 | 37 |
| 18 |
Pro Patria | 38 | 32-44 | 34 |
| 19 |
Caldiero Terme | 38 | 39-64 | 33 |
| 20 |
Clodiense | 38 | 34-67 | 21 |
