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Match Prediction

Tromso vs Sarpsborg 08 Prediction

Finished

Tromso

€21.60m

2 Nov13:15
4 : 0

Sarpsborg 08

€17.65m

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Tromso vs Sarpsborg 08 Prediction Eliteserien

Tromso vs Sarpsborg 08 Prediction: Stats, Odds, and AI Insights

Welcome to NerdyTips, where we break down the numbers and stories behind the matches. In this Tromso vs Sarpsborg 08 prediction, we’ll guide you through the key stats, recent form, tactical approaches, and our AI’s betting tips for the Eliteserien match scheduled for November 2, 2025, at Alfheim Stadion. Whether you’re a seasoned punter or just starting out, our analysis will help you make sense of the odds and what to expect from this encounter.

Form, Tactics, and What’s at Stake

As the Eliteserien season nears its conclusion, both Tromso and Sarpsborg 08 have plenty to play for. Tromso, currently sitting 4th with 48 points from 26 games, have been one of the league’s more consistent sides. Their recent run—four wins and two defeats in six—shows a team that knows how to get results, especially at home where they average two goals per game. On the other hand, Sarpsborg 08’s season has been a bit of a rollercoaster. They’re 8th with 35 points, and their last six outings have seen two wins, two draws, and two losses. With a 32% win rate, Sarpsborg 08 are looking to finish the season on a high note.

Head to Head and Home Advantage

Looking at the head to head record, Alfheim Stadion has not always been a fortress for Tromso when facing Sarpsborg 08. In their last eight home meetings, Tromso have won three and lost five, which means Sarpsborg 08 often find a way to trouble the hosts. The last meeting between these two saw Sarpsborg 08 win 3-0, so recent history is on the visitors’ side.

  • Tromso’s home form: 2 goals scored per game, 1.67 conceded
  • Sarpsborg 08’s away record: Mixed, but with a big win at Bodo/Glimt earlier this year
  • Recent head to head: Sarpsborg 08 won 3-0 in April 2024

Team News and Tactical Setups

Tromso have no major injury concerns and are led by head coach Jørgen Vik. Their tactical approach at home has seen them enjoy more possession (expected 62% in this match) and a willingness to push forward, but they do leave spaces at the back. Sarpsborg 08, under interim manager Sander Nyland, often line up in a 4-2-3-1 and have shown they can be dangerous on the break. They’re missing a couple of players through injury, but their attack has produced 31 goals so far.

  • Expected possession: Tromso 62%, Sarpsborg 08 38%
  • Expected shots: Tromso 12, Sarpsborg 08 11
  • Key absentees: Sarpsborg 08 missing Carstensen and Sher due to injury

With both teams eager to finish the season strongly, expect a competitive match with plenty of attacking intent.

AI Betting Tips and Tromso vs Sarpsborg 08 Prediction

Now, let’s get to the numbers that matter for bettors. Our AI model has crunched the stats and historical data to deliver its top Tromso vs Sarpsborg 08 prediction and betting tips for this Eliteserien fixture.

  1. Over 2.5 Goals: The standout tip from our AI is over 2.5 goals, with a confidence rating of 9.6/10 and odds of 1.47. Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede, and with their recent head to head results often producing goals, this looks like a solid bet.
  2. 1x2 Market Prediction: While Tromso are clear favorites with odds of 1.47 for a home win, our AI gives a surprise nod to the away win (Sarpsborg 08) at odds of 6.25, albeit with a low confidence of 2.3. This reflects Sarpsborg 08’s historical success at Alfheim Stadion and their ability to pull off upsets, like their away win at Bodo/Glimt earlier this season.
  3. Expected Scoreline: The AI expects a high-scoring affair, predicting a 2:3 win for Sarpsborg 08. Half-time is forecasted at 1:2, so goals could come early and often.

Key Stats for Bettors

  • Total corners expected: 8 (4 each)
  • Yellow cards forecast: 1 for Tromso, 2 for Sarpsborg 08
  • Squad value: Tromso €21.60m, Sarpsborg 08 €17.65m

To sum up our Tromso vs Sarpsborg 08 prediction: while the home side are favorites on paper and have more at stake in the race for Europe, Sarpsborg 08’s record in Tromso and their knack for big away performances make them a dangerous underdog. The safest play looks to be over 2.5 goals, but if you’re feeling adventurous, a small stake on the away win could pay off handsomely.

Final Thoughts and Betting Tips

This Eliteserien Round 27 fixture promises excitement, goals, and maybe a surprise or two. Tromso will want to secure their spot near the top, but Sarpsborg 08 have proven they can spoil the party. For those looking for value, our betting tips are:

  • Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47, high confidence)
  • Value Bet: Sarpsborg 08 to win (odds 6.25, low confidence but big potential)

That wraps up our Tromso vs Sarpsborg 08 prediction. Keep an eye on the team news and enjoy what should be an open, attacking game at Alfheim Stadion. Good luck with your bets!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Tromso vs Sarpsborg 08

O2.5 -189

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -189
9/10

1x2 Tip

2 525

Sarpsborg 08 is expected to win with odds of 525
2/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -189

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
9/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -147

Both teams are expected to score
6/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 196

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:3

Stats Predictions

62%
Ball Possession
38%
12
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
4
4
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

2.7
Total Goals
4.6
1.5
Goals Scored
2.1
1.2
Goals Against
2.5
53%
Possession
46%
11.1
Total Shots
11.7
4
Shots on Goal
4.3
4.6
Shots off Goal
4.4
14.8
Fouls
13.7
4.3
Corners
5.8
1.4
Offsides
1.1
1.67
Yellow Cards
1.71
0.13
Red Cards
0
500
Total Passes
392

Overview Last 10 Matches

6
Wins
4
8
Over 1.5 Goals
9
5
Over 2.5 Goals
9
3
Over 3.5 Goals
6
5
Both Teams Scored
8
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Tromso
6 - 4 - 8
Sarpsborg 08
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 25-May-25
0:1
Tromso Tromso
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 13-Feb-25
3:3
Tromso Tromso
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 01-Dec-24
2:1
Tromso Tromso
Tromso Tromso 28-Apr-24
0:3
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 26-Aug-23
4:0
Tromso Tromso
Tromso Tromso 04-Jun-23
2:1
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 23-Oct-22
1:1
Tromso Tromso
Tromso Tromso 24-Apr-22
2:5
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 05-Dec-21
0:1
Tromso Tromso

Profile time Recent Matches of Tromso

25 JanL Randers FC Randers FC.
3:2
Tromso. Tromso

Profile time Recent Matches of Sarpsborg 08

Norway - Eliteserien Norway - Eliteserien

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Viking Viking30
77-36
71
2 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt30
85-28
70
3 Tromso Tromso30
50-36
57
4 Brann Brann30
55-46
56
5 Sandefjord Sandefjord30
55-42
48
6 Valerenga Valerenga30
49-50
43
7 Rosenborg Rosenborg30
45-42
42
8 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad30
38-35
42
9 Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 0830
48-50
41
10 Molde Molde30
46-42
39
11 Ham-Kam Ham-Kam30
42-47
37
12 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo30
42-41
35
13 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund30
34-59
34
14 Bryne Bryne30
37-56
31
15 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset30
37-72
20
16 Haugesund Haugesund30
22-80
9
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