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Match Prediction

TSC Backa Topola vs Novi Pazar Prediction

Finished
Serbia flag Serbia
Super Liga

TSC B

€26.73m

13 Apr10:00
1 : 2

Novi Pazar

€11.65m

Preview

TSC B vs Novi Pazar Prediction Super Liga

The Super Liga serves up a tantalizing mid-table duel this weekend as TSC Backa Topola host Novi Pazar at the TSC Arena. With just one point separating these sides—Backa Topola perched in 7th with 41 points, Novi Pazar breathing down their necks in 8th with 40—this isn’t just another fixture. It’s a battle for bragging rights, momentum, and perhaps a late push for European qualification. The stakes? As high as the tension promises to be.

The Odds Say Home Comforts, But Football Rarely Reads the Script

Bookmakers have made their stance clear: TSC Backa Topola are the favorites at 1.7 odds, backed by a robust 7.3/10 trust rating from AI models. It’s easy to see why. Their squad valuation towers over Novi Pazar’s (€26.73m vs. €11.65m), and their last meeting ended in a ruthless 5-2 demolition. Yet, football thrives on chaos, and Novi Pazar’s recent 1-1 draw against Cukaricki—a result priced at 5.0 odds—proves they’re no pushovers. The underdogs have a knack for defying expectations, even if consistency remains elusive.

Tactical Chess or End-to-End Chaos?

Statistically, this match teeters between two identities. Home teams win 39.9% of Super Liga games, and Backa Topola’s expected possession (57%) and shot volume (13 attempts, 3 on target) suggest dominance. But Novi Pazar’s resilience—and their propensity for yellow cards (projected at 2 vs. Backa Topola’s 1)—hints at a physical, disruptive approach. The AI’s 3-2 scoreline prediction feels apt: Backa Topola’s attacking flair meets Novi Pazar’s leaky defense (remember those 5 goals conceded last time?), yet the visitors’ sporadic counter-punches could keep things interesting.

Referees, Anomalies, and the Unpredictable X-Factor

Enter referee M. Stefanović, a wildcard in this finely balanced equation. His whistle could sway momentum, especially if Novi Pazar’s physicality tips into recklessness. Backa Topola knows this dance too well—their 2-2 draw against St. Gallen, a result few saw coming at 6.1 odds, serves as a reminder that football loves a plot twist. Will Stefanović’s decisions follow the script or rewrite it?

Why the Over 2.5 Goals Bet Tempts the Bold

Only 42.1% of Super Liga games exceed 2.5 goals, but this clash feels different. The AI’s over 2.5 prediction (1.66 odds, 5.8 confidence) leans into both teams’ defensive vulnerabilities and attacking intent. Backa Topola’s corners (5 projected) and Novi Pazar’s willingness to shoot (8 attempts, 3 on target) suggest a back-and-forth affair. The 1-1 halftime prediction mirrors their cautious starts, but the second half could explode—just like their last meeting.

The Human Drama: Grit vs. Glamour

Novi Pazar’s underdog spirit could turn this into a chess match—or a slugfest. Their recent draws scream resilience, but Backa Topola’s firepower at home is hard to ignore. The numbers favor the hosts, but football isn’t played on spreadsheets. Will Novi Pazar’s grit script another upset, or will Backa Topola’s superior squad value translate into three precious points?

Final Verdict: While the odds favor TSC Backa Topola, history whispers warnings. Expect goals, tension, and perhaps a late twist. The AI’s 3-2 scoreline feels bold but plausible. One thing’s certain: this isn’t just a match; it’s a story waiting to unfold.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

TSC Backa Topola didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for TSC B vs Novi Pazar

1 -143

TSC B is expected to win with odds of -143
7/10

1x2 Tip

1 -143

TSC B is expected to win with odds of -143
7/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -154

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -154

Both teams are expected to score
5/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -286

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
8/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

3:2

Stats Predictions

57%
Ball Possession
43%
13
Total Shots
8
3
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
2
5
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

3
Total Goals
2.8
1.5
Goals Scored
1.5
1.5
Goals Against
1.3
53%
Possession
52%
11.4
Total Shots
9.9
3.4
Shots on Goal
4.2
4
Shots off Goal
3.6
14.3
Fouls
15.3
5.6
Corners
4.4
1.3
Offsides
1.9
1.71
Yellow Cards
1.89
0
Red Cards
0
389
Total Passes
420

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
4
7
Over 1.5 Goals
8
7
Over 2.5 Goals
5
4
Over 3.5 Goals
3
7
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
1
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

TSC Backa Topola
9 - 2 - 6
Novi Pazar
TSC Backa Topola TSC B 13-Apr-25
1:2
Novi Pazar Novi Pazar
Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 24-Feb-25
2:1
TSC B TSC Backa Topola
TSC Backa Topola TSC B 21-Sep-24
5:2
Novi Pazar Novi Pazar
Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 02-Apr-24
3:4
TSC B TSC Backa Topola
TSC Backa Topola TSC B 29-Oct-23
1:1
Novi Pazar Novi Pazar
Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 21-May-23
1:4
TSC B TSC Backa Topola
TSC Backa Topola TSC B 04-May-23
4:0
Novi Pazar Novi Pazar
Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 05-Feb-23
2:1
TSC B TSC Backa Topola
TSC Backa Topola TSC B 06-Aug-22
0:1
Novi Pazar Novi Pazar

Profile time Recent Matches of TSC B

15 Dec TSC TSC.
-
Crvena zvezd. Crvena zvezda

Profile time Recent Matches Of Novi Pazar

14 DecWNovi Pazar Novi Pazar.
1:0
Radnicki Nis.Radnicki Nis

Serbia - Super Liga Serbia - Super Liga

Team Matches Goals Points
1 FK Crvena ZvezdaFK Crvena Zvez 37
123-35
100
2 FK PartizanFK Partizan 37
73-40
73
3 Novi PazarNovi Pazar 37
60-65
54
4 OFK BeogradOFK Beograd 37
53-54
53
5 Radnicki 1923Radnicki 1923 37
60-53
53
6 VojvodinaVojvodina 37
57-49
53
7 TSC Backa TopolaTSC Backa Topo 37
59-58
50
8 Mladost LucaniMladost Lucani 37
38-48
47
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