Ujpest vs Diosgyori VTK Prediction

Ujpest vs Diosgyori VTK prediction: goals, form and odds

The Ujpest vs Diosgyori VTK prediction for Saturday, February 21, 2026 (17:30 GMT) comes with a familiar NB I storyline: two teams living in the crowded middle-to-lower pack, trying to turn “decent” into “safe.” The game is at Szusza Ferenc Stadion in Budapest, and with both sides carrying more attacking ideas than defensive calm, this one reads like it could tilt on small moments and second balls.

Match context, form and what the table pressure changes

Round 23 arrives with Újpest holding the slightly better league position, but not the smoother mood. The Lilák have been searching for a league win recently, and February has tested them: a heavy 3–0 loss to Ferencváros followed by a tight 1–0 defeat to Puskás Akadémia. That said, Újpest at home is rarely passive, and the crowd at Szusza Ferenc Stadion tends to add an extra gear when points feel like survival tools.

Diósgyőr (DVTK) have also struggled to chain results together. Recent league draws (1–1 against Győri ETO and Kisvárda) show they can stay in games, even if they do not always finish them. The real mood-lifter, however, was their cup explosion: a 6–2 win over Paks in the Magyar Kupa on February 11. It does not guarantee league points, but it does travel well as confidence.

Tactics: wing-backs vs counters, and why that matters

Újpest coach Zoltán Szélesi, appointed on December 30, 2025, has leaned toward a 3-4-3. In simple terms, it asks wing-backs to push play forward and the front line to press early, which can create fast chances—but it can also leave space behind if the pressing rhythm drops.

DVTK under Vladimir Radenković usually look more traditional in shape (4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3), and they often prefer quick transitions. With winter additions bringing pace and power, their best route may be to invite pressure and attack the gaps behind Újpest’s advanced wing-backs.

Players and availability to keep an eye on

• Újpest’s main weapon remains Aljosa Matko, leading their scoring with 13 league goals.
• Goalkeeper Dávid Banai is key for a defense that has not collected many clean sheets lately.
• DVTK’s winter loan Peter Ambrose offers a direct, physical option up front.
• Lamin Colley has settled quickly, giving Diósgyőr another running threat in behind.
• Creator Yohan Croizet remains important for the first pass of DVTK counters.
• Fitness notes: Újpest have no major new concerns reported, while DVTK have minor question marks over Marco Lund, Anderson Esiti, and Ákos Kecskés.

Head to head notes and a quick betting backdrop

The recent head to head trend leans Újpest. Their last meeting on 2025-07-25 finished 3–1, and the season series has favored them. That history does not score goals by itself, but it shapes how markets price the game and how both coaches approach risk.

Ujpest vs Diosgyori VTK prediction: NerdyTips tips and odds

For sports betting readers, the betting odds in the 1X2 market set Újpest as the favorite: Home win 1.93, Draw 4.1, Away win 4.1. The squad-value gap supports that pricing too (€16.90m vs €7.55m), but this is NB I—pricing is a guide, not a promise.

Our AI angles: goals first, then the result

NerdyTips’ top pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.66, with a trust level of 6.6/10. That recommendation fits the match profile: Újpest’s aggressive 3-4-3 can open the game, and DVTK’s counter style is built to punish space. We also have a 1X2 lean toward the home win (“1”) at odds 1.93, though the confidence rating (1.93) suggests it is a cautious lean rather than a full sprint.

How the match stats connect to the tips

• Expected score: 2:1, with a predicted half-time score of 1:1—a strong hint that both teams can score.
• Possession forecast: Újpest 58% vs DVTK 42%, matching the home-favorite odds and their wing-back build-up.
• Shots: 13 for Újpest and 11 for DVTK, with 3 on target each—volume without total control, which often helps goal lines.
• Corners: 6–4 (10 total), pointing to regular box entries and second-phase chances.
• Cards: 1 for Újpest, 2 for DVTK—enough bite to break rhythm, not enough to predict chaos.

Final call for bettors

This Ujpest vs Diosgyori VTK prediction is best approached through the goal market. With both teams showing reasons to attack—and reasons to be vulnerable—over 2.5 goals looks like the cleanest angle. If you also want a result-based play, the numbers still point slightly toward Újpest edging it, especially with home control expected and the recent head to head leaning their way.