Preview
On a crisp April morning at the Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, two sides known for their defensive resilience will lock horns in a fixture that promises tension over flair. Union Adarve, the marginally favored hosts, face Union Sur Yaiza in a matchup where the odds whisper caution—bookmakers expect a tight, low-scoring affair, and the numbers back it up.
If this game were a thriller, expect a slow burn rather than a goal-fest. The odds tell the story: a home win priced at 2.09, a draw at 2.9, and an away victory at 3.6 reflect how little separates these teams. Adarve’s squad value (€1.65m) suggests slightly more depth than Sur Yaiza’s (€1.17m), but recent form hints at a different kind of parity—one built on stubborn defending and tactical discipline.
Adarve’s gritty 0-0 draw against Guadalajara as 7.0 underdogs earlier this year showcased their ability to frustrate superior opposition. Sur Yaiza, meanwhile, stunned with a 2-2 stalemate against Cacereno at 8.5 odds, proving they can scrap for results when underestimated. These aren’t teams that roll over, and that’s why the smart money leans toward a cagey contest.
Our AI’s top pick—under 2.5 goals at 1.45 odds—isn’t just a statistical dart throw. It’s rooted in the DNA of both sides. Adarve have made a habit of grinding out results, while Sur Yaiza’s compact shape often forces opponents into frustration. The predicted 1-0 final score and 0-0 halftime projection align with a pattern: neither team rushes, neither takes unnecessary risks.
The 1X prediction (Adarve double chance at 1.25) offers another layer of security. It acknowledges Adarve’s home advantage and slightly superior resources, but also hedges against Sur Yaiza’s knack for stealing points in ugly games. This isn’t a fixture where either side will dominate; it’s one where a single moment—a set piece, a defensive lapse—could decide everything.
Without key refereeing influence (the absence of a noted strict official might mean fewer early bookings), the flow could be more physical, more attritional. Adarve’s slightly higher squad value suggests better bench options, which could prove decisive in a tight second half. Sur Yaiza, though, have built their season on defying expectations—they won’t be intimidated.
For bettors, the value lies in patience. Goals will likely be scarce, chances even scarcer. If you’re looking for fireworks, this might not be the match. But if you appreciate the quiet tension of two well-drilled sides probing for weakness, this is your kind of game.
Final thought: Expect a battle of wits, not waves of attacks. The data, the odds, and the recent performances all point to one conclusion—this is a match where the first goal, if it comes at all, might just be the last.
On a crisp April morning at the Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, two sides known for their defensive resilience will lock horns in a fixture that promises tension over flair. Union Adarve, the marginally favored hosts, face Union Sur Yaiza in a matchup where the odds whisper caution—bookmakers expect a tight, low-scoring affair, and the numbers back it up.
If this game were a thriller, expect a slow burn rather than a goal-fest. The odds tell the story: a home win priced at 2.09, a draw at 2.9, and an away victory at 3.6 reflect how little separates these teams. Adarve’s squad value (€1.65m) suggests slightly more depth than Sur Yaiza’s (€1.17m), but recent form hints at a different kind of parity—one built on stubborn defending and tactical discipline.
Adarve’s gritty 0-0 draw against Guadalajara as 7.0 underdogs earlier this year showcased their ability to frustrate superior opposition. Sur Yaiza, meanwhile, stunned with a 2-2 stalemate against Cacereno at 8.5 odds, proving they can scrap for results when underestimated. These aren’t teams that roll over, and that’s why the smart money leans toward a cagey contest.
Our AI’s top pick—under 2.5 goals at 1.45 odds—isn’t just a statistical dart throw. It’s rooted in the DNA of both sides. Adarve have made a habit of grinding out results, while Sur Yaiza’s compact shape often forces opponents into frustration. The predicted 1-0 final score and 0-0 halftime projection align with a pattern: neither team rushes, neither takes unnecessary risks.
The 1X prediction (Adarve double chance at 1.25) offers another layer of security. It acknowledges Adarve’s home advantage and slightly superior resources, but also hedges against Sur Yaiza’s knack for stealing points in ugly games. This isn’t a fixture where either side will dominate; it’s one where a single moment—a set piece, a defensive lapse—could decide everything.
Without key refereeing influence (the absence of a noted strict official might mean fewer early bookings), the flow could be more physical, more attritional. Adarve’s slightly higher squad value suggests better bench options, which could prove decisive in a tight second half. Sur Yaiza, though, have built their season on defying expectations—they won’t be intimidated.
For bettors, the value lies in patience. Goals will likely be scarce, chances even scarcer. If you’re looking for fireworks, this might not be the match. But if you appreciate the quiet tension of two well-drilled sides probing for weakness, this is your kind of game.
Final thought: Expect a battle of wits, not waves of attacks. The data, the odds, and the recent performances all point to one conclusion—this is a match where the first goal, if it comes at all, might just be the last.
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U2.5 -222
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -2221X -400
Union Adarve to win or drawUnder 2.5 -222
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -161
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U3.5 -175
Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1:0
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2
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0
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0
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Union Adarve |
06-Apr-25
1:0
| Union S ![]() |
| 25 Jan | L |
Union Adar.
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0:2
| CD Mostole.
|
Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Guadalajara | 34 | 60-22 | 74 |
| 2 |
Cacereño | 34 | 57-30 | 68 |
| 3 |
CF Talavera | 34 | 50-27 | 66 |
| 4 |
Rayo | 34 | 41-30 | 55 |
| 5 |
Getafe II | 34 | 48-37 | 54 |
| 6 |
Navalcarnero | 34 | 43-40 | 53 |
| 7 |
CD Coria | 34 | 45-49 | 50 |
| 8 |
SS Reyes | 34 | 45-45 | 49 |
| 9 |
Tenerife II | 34 | 54-51 | 47 |
| 10 |
Conquense | 34 | 37-41 | 45 |
| 11 |
Melilla | 34 | 41-42 | 44 |
| 12 |
Colonia | 34 | 41-56 | 42 |
| 13 |
Real Madrid | 34 | 34-35 | 42 |
| 14 |
Unión Adarve | 34 | 22-33 | 37 |
| 15 |
Móstoles | 34 | 40-55 | 33 |
| 16 |
Illescas | 34 | 30-47 | 30 |
| 17 |
Unión Sur | 34 | 34-55 | 29 |
| 18 |
Atlético Paso | 34 | 32-59 | 21 |