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Match Prediction

Union Santa Fe vs Gimnasia L.P. Prediction

Finished
24 Nov20:00
1 : 2

Gimnasia L.P.

€16.88m

Preview

Union Santa Fe vs Gimnasia L.P. Prediction Liga Profesional Argentina

Union Santa Fe vs Gimnasia L.P. Prediction: Odds, Form, and Key Insights

Welcome to our Union Santa Fe vs Gimnasia L.P. prediction, where we break down everything you need to know ahead of this Liga Profesional Argentina fixture. With both teams eager to finish the year on a high, this match scheduled for November 22, 2025, at Estadio 15 de Abril promises to be a tightly contested affair. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just starting out in sports betting, our analysis covers recent form, injuries, betting odds, and expert tips to help you make informed decisions.

Team Form, Injuries, and Tactical Notes

Union Santa Fe, currently sitting 3rd in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol Clausura standings, have shown resilience and consistency throughout the season. Despite some injury setbacks, the home side continues to punch above their weight. Key defender Bruno Pittón is out with a cruciate ligament injury until early 2026, while F. Pardo is nursing a muscle issue. Cristian Tarragona has also missed training recently, but the good news is that Lautaro Vargas and Marcelo Estigarribia are back in full training and ready to contribute.

On the other side, Gimnasia L.P. are dealing with a much longer injury list. Facundo Di Biasi and Ivo Mammini are both sidelined, with Mammini expected back by late November. The likes of Renzo Giampaoli, L. Castro, R. Castillo, N. Briasco, Pedro Silva, B. Merlini, A. Piedrahita, M. Melluso, and Jan Hurtado have all faced various injuries this year. To make matters worse, Juan Villalba is away on international duty, and the squad recently experienced a player strike over unpaid wages. This off-field turmoil could have a direct impact on team morale and performance.

Recent Results and Head to Head

  • Union Santa Fe recently drew 0-0 with Barracas Central and edged Newell's Old Boys 1-0, showing their defensive solidity.
  • Gimnasia L.P. have been unpredictable: they beat Vélez Sarsfield 2-0 and stunned River Plate 1-0 away, but also suffered defeats to Talleres and Rosario Central.
  • Looking at the head to head record, Union Santa Fe have a slight edge with 6 wins in their last 13 meetings, compared to Gimnasia’s 4. Notably, Union have won the last four encounters, including a 1-0 victory in March 2025.

From a tactical perspective, Union Santa Fe tend to control possession and play with discipline, especially at home. Gimnasia, under manager Alejandro Orfila, have shown flashes of quality but remain inconsistent, especially with so many absentees and off-field distractions.

AI-Driven Union Santa Fe vs Gimnasia L.P. Prediction and Betting Odds

Let’s dig into our AI-powered Union Santa Fe vs Gimnasia L.P. prediction, which combines stats, recent form, and betting odds to provide actionable tips for this Liga Profesional Argentina fixture.

Key Betting Tips and Odds

  1. 1x2 Market: The home win is favored at 1.75 odds, with our prediction model giving it a trust rating of 2.1 out of 10. While not the strongest confidence, Union’s solid form and head to head advantage make them the logical pick.
  2. Under/Over 2.5 Goals: The standout tip is under 2.5 goals, with odds at 1.52 and a trust level of 5.0. Both teams have struggled to score freely, and recent meetings have been low-scoring affairs.
  3. Correct Score: Our predicted final score is 1-0 to Union Santa Fe, with a goalless first half expected. This aligns with both teams’ recent defensive records and the low total goals trend.

Stats and Match Insights

  • Union Santa Fe are expected to dominate possession (58%) and take 11 shots, with 3 on target.
  • Gimnasia L.P. are projected to have 42% possession, 8 shots, and 3 on target.
  • Corners: 4 for Union, 2 for Gimnasia, totaling 6.
  • Yellow cards: 1 for Union, 2 for Gimnasia.
  • Squad value: Union Santa Fe (€25.80m) vs Gimnasia L.P. (€16.88m).

Given the head to head history, the home team’s stronger squad, and Gimnasia’s injury and morale issues, all signs point to a narrow Union Santa Fe win. The under 2.5 goals market looks especially appealing for sports betting fans, as both teams are likely to keep things tight and cautious.

Final Thoughts and Betting Advice

Our Union Santa Fe vs Gimnasia L.P. prediction is a 1-0 win for the home side, with under 2.5 goals as the best betting tip. While Union Santa Fe’s odds aren’t sky-high, their recent form and head to head dominance make them a solid choice for your bet slip. For those seeking value in sports betting, consider the under 2.5 goals market, which has a higher trust rating and fits the recent trends of both teams.

Stay tuned to NerdyTips for more Liga Profesional Argentina previews, betting odds, and expert predictions for all your favorite fixtures!

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Meaningless match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Union Santa Fe vs Gimnasia L.P.

U2.5 -192

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -192
5/10

1x2 Tip

1 -133

Union Santa Fe is expected to win with odds of -133
2/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -192

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

No -179

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U3.5 -192

Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
4/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

1.04
xG
1.01
58%
Ball Possession
42%
11
Total Shots
8
3
Shots on Goal
3
5
Shots Off Goal
2
4
Corners
2
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.06
Expected Goals
1.01
2.3
Total Goals
2.1
1.3
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Against
1.1
50%
Possession
45%
11.2
Total Shots
9.4
4.1
Shots on Goal
3.5
4.9
Shots off Goal
3.5
11.4
Fouls
12.3
4.1
Corners
3.5
1.7
Offsides
1.1
2
Yellow Cards
2.3
0
Red Cards
0.2
352
Total Passes
327

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
5
6
Over 1.5 Goals
6
5
Over 2.5 Goals
4
4
Over 3.5 Goals
1
4
Both Teams Scored
2
0
Unexpected Wins
1
1
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Union Santa Fe
7 - 2 - 4
Gimnasia L.P.
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 14-Sep-25
1:3
Union S Union Santa Fe
Union Santa Fe Union S 02-Mar-25
1:0
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 28-Oct-24
2:3
Union S Union Santa Fe
Union Santa Fe Union S 04-Jun-23
2:0
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.
Union Santa Fe Union S 18-Aug-22
0:2
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 23-Apr-22
1:0
Union S Union Santa Fe
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 20-Sep-21
1:0
Union S Union Santa Fe
Union Santa Fe Union S 13-Mar-21
1:1
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 20-Oct-19
0:1
Union S Union Santa Fe

Profile time Recent Matches of Union S

29 Jan Lanus Lanus.
-
Union S. Union S
22 JanD Union S Union S.
0:0
Platense. Platense

Profile time Recent Matches of Gimnasia L.P.

28 JanRiver Plate River Plat.
-
Gimnasia L.Gimnasia L.P.
24 JanWGimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.
2:1
Racing Clu.Racing Club
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