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Match Prediction

Union St Gilloise vs Antwerp Prediction

Finished

Union S

€105.00m

21 Feb14:45
2 : 1

Antwerp

€47.85m

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Union S vs Antwerp Prediction Jupiler Pro League

Union St Gilloise vs Antwerp prediction: a night for clean sheets

Union St Gilloise vs Antwerp prediction is on the menu for Saturday, 21 February 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 GMT at the Stade Joseph Mariën in Brussels. Round 26 brings the league leaders to their familiar home stage, while Antwerp arrive needing answers fast — and preferably before the first whistle, not after it.

Union start this story from the top of the table: 1st place, 53 points, and a seven-game unbeaten run that has started to feel like a habit. At home they have won their last three, and the recent mood music is upbeat: a 4-1 Belgian Cup win over Charleroi and a 2-1 victory against RAAL La Louvière. Antwerp’s chapter is messier: 11th with 30 points, winless in three, and still wiping the chalk off the board from a 0-4 Cup loss to Anderlecht and a 0-2 league defeat at Mechelen. Their away form has been mixed, although three wins in their last six road trips shows they can still bite if you offer a hand.

Team news, tactics, and the feel of the game

Union coach David Hubert usually sets his side in a high-pressing 3-4-3 or 3-5-2, designed to squeeze teams wide and then trap them near the touchline. Antwerp boss Joseph Oosting prefers a 4-3-3 and has publicly asked for more “fire” and “grinta” — which is coach-language for “please stop conceding first.”

  • Union absences: Kjell Scherpen (muscle), Kevin Rodríguez (back), Ousseynou Niang (knee), Mamadou Barry (ankle) are out; Kamiel Van De Perre is doubtful (hamstring).
  • Antwerp absences: Vincent Janssen (knee surgery, out until at least April) is the headline miss; Rein Van Helden and Mauricio Benítez (hamstring) are out; Geoffry Hairemans (ACL) and Björn Engels (Achilles) remain sidelined.

Those injuries shape the tactics. Union can still lean on structure: Christian Burgess as the defensive anchor, Raul Florucz as a main creative outlet, and Promise David leading the line. Promise David is also the league’s top scorer with 9 goals — and he loves the kind of match where one goal becomes two because the opponent has to chase. Antwerp, without Janssen, must spread the scoring responsibility: Gyrano Kerk and Farouck Adekami are likely to carry the running, while Dennis Praet is expected to connect midfield to attack.

Head to head notes that matter for bettors

The head to head history is unusually balanced overall: 14 wins each and 7 draws in the last 35 meetings since 2004. But the Joseph Mariën has leaned Union recently, with Union winning the last three home meetings against Antwerp. Their most recent H2H on 2024-12-01 finished 2-1 to Union, in a game where Union were also priced as clear favourites (around 1.7).

Both clubs have shown they can surprise away from home: Union’s 3-1 win at PSV Eindhoven in September 2025 came at odds of 5.0, while Antwerp’s 1-0 win at Club Brugge in November 2025 landed at odds of 10.0. Still, surprises are like umbrellas: useful, but you don’t plan your whole day around finding one.

Union St Gilloise vs Antwerp prediction: AI betting tips

Now for the numbers and the betting tips from NerdyTips. The bookmakers price this as a strong home spot: Home win 1.4, Draw 5.0, Away win 9.75. That fits the table gap and squad values too: Union at €1.4.00m versus Antwerp at €49.755m.

  • Best tip (AI): NG (at least one team will not score) at 1.72 odds, trust 7.0/10.
  • 1X2 prediction: Union to win (1) at 1.4 odds, trust 5.7/10.
  • Goals market: Under 3.5 goals at 1.42 odds, confidence 5.0/10.

These picks connect well with the match setup. Union lead the league with 12 clean sheets, and Antwerp travel without their star striker Janssen. The projected match flow also points to control rather than chaos: 58% possession for Union, 14 shots to 8, and shots on target at 5 to 3. That profile often produces a “Union scores, Union manages” kind of evening, especially with Hubert talking up the home fortress.

The model’s expected score leans into that script: 2:0 full-time, with a cautious 0:0 at half-time. Corners are projected at 9 total (5-4), and yellow cards at 2 each — competitive, but not a wrestling match.

So, for anyone searching for a practical Union St Gilloise vs Antwerp Prediction, the clean-sheet angle is the clearest. Back Union if you like the favourite, but consider NG as the more “story-consistent” bet: Union pressing, Antwerp patching a forward line, and the Joseph Mariën crowd waiting for the moment the lock finally clicks.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Union S vs Antwerp

NG -139

At least one team is not expected to score with odds of -139
7/10

1x2 Tip

1 -250

Union S is expected to win with odds of -250
5/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -238

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

No -139

At least one team is not expected to score
7/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -333

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
7/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:0

Stats Predictions

1.66
xG
1.15
58%
Ball Possession
42%
14
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Goal
3
6
Shots Off Goal
3
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.43
Expected Goals
1.32
1.7
Total Goals
2.6
1.2
Goals Scored
1.1
0.5
Goals Against
1.5
47%
Possession
53%
11.8
Total Shots
11.3
4.3
Shots on Goal
4.3
5.4
Shots off Goal
4.6
13
Fouls
14.3
5
Corners
5.8
2.2
Offsides
1.7
2.56
Yellow Cards
1.8
368
Total Passes
375

Overview Last 10 Matches

6
Wins
4
5
Over 1.5 Goals
8
2
Over 2.5 Goals
5
1
Over 3.5 Goals
3
3
Both Teams Scored
3
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Union St Gilloise
9 - 7 - 9
Antwerp
Antwerp Antwerp 25-Jul-25
1:1
Union S Union St Gilloise
Antwerp Antwerp 17-May-25
0:4
Union S Union St Gilloise
Union St Gilloise Union S 29-Mar-25
5:1
Antwerp Antwerp
Antwerp Antwerp 08-Jan-25
5:1
Union S Union St Gilloise
Union St Gilloise Union S 01-Dec-24
2:1
Antwerp Antwerp
Antwerp Antwerp 15-Sep-24
2:0
Union S Union St Gilloise
Union St Gilloise Union S 09-May-24
1:0
Antwerp Antwerp
Union St Gilloise Union S 28-Apr-24
4:1
Antwerp Antwerp
Antwerp Antwerp 25-Apr-24
0:3
Union S Union St Gilloise
Antwerp Antwerp 17-Mar-24
1:1
Union S Union St Gilloise

Profile time Recent Matches of Union S

01 MarD Westerlo Westerlo 0 Union S Union S 0
21 FebW Union S Union S 2 Antwerp Antwerp 1
14 FebD St. Liege St. Liege 1 Union S Union S 1
11 FebW Union S Union S 4 Charleroi Charleroi 1
08 FebW Union S Union S 2 RAAL L RAAL L 1
04 FebD Charleroi Charleroi 0 Union S Union S 0
01 FebW Union S Union S 1 Club B Club B 0
28 JanW Union S Union S 1 Atalanta Atalanta 0
24 JanD Leuven Leuven 0 Union S Union S 0
21 JanL Bayern Munich Bayern Munich 2 Union S Union S 0

Profile time Recent Matches Of Antwerp

06 MarRAAL L RAAL L - Antwerp Antwerp -
28 FebWAntwerp Antwerp 1 St. Truiden St. Truiden 0
21 FebLUnion S Union S 2 Antwerp Antwerp 1
15 FebLAntwerp Antwerp 0 Westerlo Westerlo 2
12 FebLAntwerp Antwerp 0 Anderlecht Anderlecht 4
08 FebLKV Mechelen KV Mechelen 2 Antwerp Antwerp 0
05 FebWAnderlecht Anderlecht 0 Antwerp Antwerp 1
31 JanWCercle B Cercle B 0 Antwerp Antwerp 4
25 JanLAntwerp Antwerp 0 Charleroi Charleroi 2
18 JanLDender Dender 1 Antwerp Antwerp 0

Belgium - Jupiler Pro League Belgium - Jupiler Pro League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Union St. GilloiseUnion St. 27
43-15
57
2 Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV 27
51-32
56
3 St. TruidenSt. Truiden 27
44-30
54
4 AnderlechtAnderlecht 27
39-33
43
5 KV MechelenKV Mechelen 27
36-30
42
6 GenkGenk 27
39-40
38
7 GentGent 27
41-41
36
8 Standard LiegeStandard Liege 27
25-34
35
9 KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo 27
34-38
35
10 AntwerpAntwerp 27
30-30
33
11 CharleroiCharleroi 27
36-37
33
12 Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem 27
37-44
29
13 OH LeuvenOH Leuven 27
29-42
28
14 Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge 27
34-40
28
15 RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La 27
22-31
26
16 DenderDender 27
21-44
18
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