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Match Prediction

Union St Gilloise vs Atalanta Prediction

Union S

€105.15m

28 Jan15:00
1 : 0

Atalanta

€429.10m

Preview

Union S vs Atalanta Prediction UEFA Champions League

A Belgian Debut Meets Italian Ambition: Our Match Prediction

Mark your calendars for a fascinating UEFA Champions League encounter on January 28, 2.326, at 20:00 GMT. Our Union St Gilloise vs Atalanta prediction dives into a classic tale of a spirited debutant hosting a seasoned European campaigner at Brussels' Lotto Park. This is the first-ever meeting between these clubs, adding a layer of fresh intrigue to the competition.

Team Tales: Form, Faces, and Fresh Starts

Union St. Gilloise, the surprise package of Belgian football, are living a dream in their debut Champions League season. While sitting 31st in the league phase, their domestic form is stellar, leading the Belgian Pro League. Under new manager David Hubert, they are a well-drilled unit. Key striker Promise David (14 goals this season) leads the line, supported by talents like Adem Zorgane and Anouar Ait El Hadj. Their stunning 3-1 away win over PSV Eindhoven earlier this season, defying 5.0 odds, proves they can shock anyone on their day. However, they face this match with some injury concerns and a recent 3.25 loss to Marseille.

Atalanta, under the guidance of new boss Raffaele Palladino, brings Italian flair and European experience. Currently 13th in the Champions League phase, their form has been strong with four wins in their last five games overall. Their own historic 3-0 away victory at Liverpool in 2.324, when they were 7.5 underdogs, is a reminder of their threat. The attack, even without the injured Gianluca Scamacca, is potent with Nikola Krstovic, Charles De Ketelaere, and new signing Giacomo Raspadori. Their main challenge is a lengthy injury list, particularly in defense and at wing-back.

Tactical Chess Match on the Pitch

This match presents a compelling tactical head to head. Union St. Gilloise is expected to set up in a compact 3.25-2 formation, prioritizing defensive shape and looking to hit on the counter-attack. Their organization will be key against a possession-dominant side.

Atalanta, under Palladino, plays a balanced but attacking style. They will likely control the ball and look to stretch the Belgian defense. The battle in midfield and Atalanta's ability to break down a deep block will be crucial viewing points. Given the betting tips and stats we analyze later, this tactical setup supports a potentially tight affair.

Key Factors to Watch:

  • Union's Defense vs. Atalanta's Patience: Can the home side's sturdy back three hold firm against sustained pressure?
  • Midfield Battle: Union's energy against Atalanta's technical quality could decide the flow.
  • Impact of Absences: Atalanta's defensive injuries might offer Union hope on the break.

What Do the Numbers Say? Our AI Analysis

Now, let's get into the insightful data from our NerdyTips models. The numbers paint a clear picture for this Union St Gilloise vs Atalanta fixture. The outright odds see an away win as the favorite at 2.32, with the home win at 3.25 and a draw at 3.255.

Our AI's best tip for this match is X2 (Double Chance - Atalanta to win or draw) with a high confidence level of 8.5/10 and odds of 1.4. The straight 1X2 prediction also leans towards an away win (2) with a 7.1/10 trust score. This aligns with the projected stats: Atalanta is expected to dominate possession (57% to 43%) and have more shots (12 to 9).

Predicted Match Flow and Scoreline

The model anticipates a cagey start, predicting a 0-0 scoreline at halftime. The most likely final score is a narrow 0-1 victory for the visitors. This is further supported by the strong recommendation for Under 3.25 goals in the match (5.4/10 trust, odds 1.47).

Other intriguing statistical projections include:

  • Shots on Target: Both teams are predicted to have just 3 each, hinting at defensive focus.
  • Corners: Atalanta is expected to win more (6 to 3), reflecting their attacking pressure.
  • Discipline: The home side might see more yellow cards (3 to 1), possibly due to defensive actions.

Final Verdict and Smart Betting Tips

Pulling all this together, our comprehensive Union St Gilloise vs Atalanta prediction foresees a tense, tactical battle. Union's defensive resilience at home will be tested by an Atalanta side with more individual quality and European know-how, despite their injury woes.

The value and safest betting tips, according to our analysis, clearly point towards Atalanta avoiding defeat (X2). The predicted low-scoring nature of the match makes Under 3.25 goals another sensible consideration. While the Belgian champions are capable of magic, as shown against PSV, the data suggests Atalanta's experience might just edge a tight contest in Brussels. Expect a professional, if not spectacular, performance from the Italians to secure a vital result.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Atalanta has an unusually high recent form

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Union S vs Atalanta

X2 -250

Atalanta to win or draw with odds of -250
8/10

1x2 Tip

2 132

Atalanta is expected to win with odds of 132
7/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -192

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

No 148

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U5.5 -185

Away win/draw and under 5.5 goals
5/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:0

Correct Score

0:1

Stats Predictions

1.04
xG
1.62
43%
Ball Possession
57%
9
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
4
3
Corners
6
3
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.48
Expected Goals
1.72
2.1
Total Goals
2.4
1.2
Goals Scored
1.7
0.9
Goals Against
0.7
54%
Possession
54%
11.6
Total Shots
13.9
4.6
Shots on Goal
4.5
5.5
Shots off Goal
4.5
11.8
Fouls
12.5
5.2
Corners
5.6
3.1
Offsides
2.5
2.4
Yellow Cards
1.2
420
Total Passes
481

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
7
8
Over 1.5 Goals
7
2
Over 2.5 Goals
4
1
Over 3.5 Goals
2
5
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Union St Gilloise
0 - 0 - 0
Atalanta

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01 Feb Union S Union S.
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Gent. Gent

Profile time Recent Matches of Atalanta

01 FebComo Como.
-
Atalanta.Atalanta
25 JanWAtalanta Atalanta.
4:0
Parma.Parma
21 JanLAtalanta Atalanta.
2:3
Ath Bilbao.Ath Bilbao
16 JanDPisa Pisa.
1:1
Atalanta.Atalanta
10 JanWAtalanta Atalanta.
2:0
Torino.Torino
07 JanWBologna Bologna.
0:2
Atalanta.Atalanta
03 JanWAtalanta Atalanta.
1:0
AS Roma.AS Roma
28 DecLAtalanta Atalanta.
0:1
Inter.Inter
21 DecWGenoa Genoa.
0:1
Atalanta.Atalanta
13 DecWAtalanta Atalanta.
2:1
Cagliari.Cagliari

World - UEFA Champions League World - UEFA Champions League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Arsenal Arsenal7
20-2
21
2 Bayern München Bayern7
20-7
18
3 Real Madrid Real Madrid7
19-8
15
4 Liverpool Liverpool7
14-8
15
5 Tottenham Tottenham7
15-7
14
6 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint7
20-10
13
7 Newcastle Newcastle7
16-6
13
8 Chelsea Chelsea7
14-8
13
9 Barcelona Barcelona7
18-13
13
10 Sporting CP Sporting CP7
14-9
13
11 Manchester City Manchester7
13-9
13
12 Atletico Madrid Atletico7
16-13
13
13 Atalanta Atalanta7
10-9
13
14 Inter Inter7
13-7
12
15 Juventus Juventus7
14-10
12
16 Borussia Dortmund Borussia7
19-15
11
17 Galatasaray Galatasaray7
9-9
10
18 Qarabag Qarabag7
13-15
10
19 Marseille Marseille7
11-11
9
20 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer7
10-14
9
21 Monaco Monaco7
8-14
9
22 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven7
15-14
8
23 Athletic Club Athletic Club7
7-11
8
24 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos7
8-13
8
25 Napoli Napoli7
7-12
8
26 FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen7
11-17
8
27 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV7
12-17
7
28 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt7
12-14
6
29 Benfica Benfica7
6-10
6
30 Pafos Pafos7
4-10
6
31 Union St. Gilloise Union St.7
7-17
6
32 Ajax Ajax7
7-19
6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht7
10-19
4
34 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha7
4-15
3
35 Villarreal Villarreal7
5-15
1
36 Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty7
5-19
1
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