Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Spain
Preview
The upcoming match between Union Sur Yaiza and Tenerife II in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 promises to be a tightly contested affair. Scheduled for April 20, 2025, at Estadio Municipal de Yaiza, this encounter pits two sides with a history of close battles against each other. With the odds suggesting a balanced outcome and recent form pointing toward a low-scoring game, there’s plenty to unpack ahead of kickoff.
Union Sur Yaiza has shown flashes of defiance this season, none more surprising than their recent 2-2 draw against Cacereno, a match where they were clear underdogs with odds of 8.5. That result highlighted their ability to grind out points against stronger opposition—a trait that could prove vital against Tenerife II. Meanwhile, Tenerife II, though slightly favored by the bookmakers (away odds: 2.25), have struggled to dominate this fixture in the past. Their last meeting ended 1-1, a scoreline that the current predictions suggest could repeat itself.
The head-to-head history between these two teams leans toward equilibrium. Their previous encounter in May 2024 finished level, and the underlying stats from this season suggest another stalemate is on the cards. AI predictions favor a draw (X, trust: 1.2, odds: 3.1), and it’s easy to see why. Both sides have been defensively disciplined in recent outings, with Union Sur Yaiza’s gritty performances and Tenerife II’s structured approach canceling each other out.
What makes the draw an even more compelling bet is the lack of a clear attacking edge for either team. Union Sur Yaiza has relied on collective effort rather than individual brilliance, while Tenerife II’s away form has been inconsistent. The predicted halftime score of 0-0 further reinforces the idea that this could be a cagey affair, with both teams wary of making early mistakes.
If there’s one market that stands out, it’s under 3.5 goals (confidence: 1.3/10, odds: 1.33). This isn’t just a hunch—it’s backed by the numbers. Union Sur Yaiza’s matches have averaged fewer than three goals per game this season, and Tenerife II hasn’t been much more prolific on the road. Defensive organization has been a priority for both sides, and with so much at stake in the latter stages of the season, neither will want to leave gaps at the back.
Even in their shock draw against Cacereno, Union Sur Yaiza conceded just twice despite being heavy underdogs. Tenerife II, meanwhile, has struggled to break down compact defenses in away fixtures. Given these trends, a high-scoring thriller seems unlikely. Instead, expect a tactical battle where chances are at a premium.
The home side’s recent resilience raises an intriguing question: could they defy the odds once more? While Tenerife II is the slight favorite, Union Sur Yaiza’s ability to frustrate stronger opponents shouldn’t be underestimated. Their home advantage, though not decisive, could play a role in tilting the balance. If they can maintain their defensive solidity and capitalize on set-pieces, another surprise result isn’t out of the question.
That said, Tenerife II’s superior squad depth and experience in tight games make them slight favorites for a reason. They’ve shown they can grind out results when needed, and their away form, while not spectacular, has been steady enough to suggest they’ll avoid defeat.
All signs point toward a closely fought match with few goals. The Union Sur Yaiza vs Tenerife II prediction leans toward a 1-1 draw, mirroring their last encounter. The under 3.5 goals market offers solid value at 1.33, given both teams’ defensive tendencies. While Tenerife II might have the edge on paper, Union Sur Yaiza’s recent performances suggest they won’t make it easy.
For bettors, the smart play is backing the draw and under 3.5 goals—a combination that aligns with the data and recent form. Whether you’re looking for a low-risk bet or simply enjoy the tactical nuances of a tight game, this fixture delivers on multiple fronts.
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U3.5 -303
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -303X 210
The match is expected to end in a drawUnder 3.5 -303
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -156
Both teams are expected to score1X&U4.5 -127
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1:1
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2
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3
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3
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 Union S |
20-Apr-25
0:0
| Tenerife II  |
| Tenerife II |
08-Dec-24
2:2
| Union S |
| Union S |
05-May-24
1:1
| Tenerife II |
| Tenerife II |
14-Jan-24
2:1
| Union S |
| Union S |
08-Apr-23
4:3
| Tenerife II |
| Tenerife II |
11-Dec-22
2:3
| Union S |
| Union S |
01-May-22
3:4
| Tenerife II |
Recent Matches of Union S
Recent Matches of Tenerife II
| 28 Jan | Tenerife B. |
- |
Rayo II. | |
| 25 Jan | W |  Colonia M.. |
0:2 |
Tenerife B. |
Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Guadalajara | 34 | 60-22 | 74 |
| 2 |
Cacereño | 34 | 57-30 | 68 |
| 3 |
CF Talavera | 34 | 50-27 | 66 |
| 4 |
Rayo | 34 | 41-30 | 55 |
| 5 |
Getafe II | 34 | 48-37 | 54 |
| 6 |
Navalcarnero | 34 | 43-40 | 53 |
| 7 |
CD Coria | 34 | 45-49 | 50 |
| 8 |
SS Reyes | 34 | 45-45 | 49 |
| 9 |
Tenerife II | 34 | 54-51 | 47 |
| 10 |
Conquense | 34 | 37-41 | 45 |
| 11 |
Melilla | 34 | 41-42 | 44 |
| 12 |
Colonia | 34 | 41-56 | 42 |
| 13 |
Real Madrid | 34 | 34-35 | 42 |
| 14 |
Unión Adarve | 34 | 22-33 | 37 |
| 15 |
Móstoles | 34 | 40-55 | 33 |
| 16 |
Illescas | 34 | 30-47 | 30 |
| 17 |
Unión Sur | 34 | 34-55 | 29 |
| 18 |
Atlético Paso | 34 | 32-59 | 21 |
