Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Tunisia
Preview
The Tunisian Ligue 1 serves up an intriguing encounter this weekend as US Tataouine prepares to host US Monastirienne at Stade Néjib Khattab. On paper, this looks like a classic David vs. Goliath battle—but as any seasoned football fan knows, the beautiful game rarely follows the script. Let’s break down why the odds are so heavily skewed, whether the underdogs can defy expectations, and what the numbers say about how this match might unfold.
The bookmakers aren’t mincing words: US Monastirienne are priced at a staggering 1.33 to win, while a home victory for US Tataouine sits at a lofty 10.5. A draw? That’s 4.1, if you’re feeling optimistic. These odds aren’t just arbitrary—they’re rooted in cold, hard reality. Monastir’s squad is valued at €7.20m, four times Tataouine’s €1.80m, and their recent dominance in this fixture (including a 4-0 thrashing in May 2023) paints a clear picture. Our AI model agrees, grading an away win at 5.0/10 confidence, which might seem conservative until you consider Tunisia’s league trends: only 23.3% of matches end in away wins. But Monastir isn’t your average away side.
Tataouine’s recent shock 1-2 win over Olympique Beja (priced at 6.9) proves they can punch above their weight, but Monastir’s disciplined structure makes them a tougher nut to crack. Their 1-1 draw with ES Tunis (odds 6.0) showcased their ability to grind out results against superior opposition—imagine what they can do against a team fighting relegation. Monastir’s likely game plan? Control possession, suffocate Tataouine’s sporadic attacks, and capitalize on set pieces or defensive errors. It’s not glamorous, but it’s effective.
The AI leans toward Under 2.5 goals (4.7/10 confidence, odds 1.59), and the broader stats back it up. Just 32.6% of Tunisian Ligue 1 matches surpass 2.5 goals, and Monastir’s pragmatic style exacerbates that trend. Their last five away games averaged 1.8 goals, while Tataouine’s home matches hover around 2.1. A predicted 0-2 final score (with Monastir leading 0-1 at halftime) aligns with this low-scoring narrative. If you’re betting, the 'No' on Both Teams to Score (BTTS) at 1.72 feels almost as safe as Monastir’s backline—only 36.5% of league games see both teams score.
Of course, football wouldn’t be football without surprises. Tataouine’s win over Beja was a reminder that motivation trumps metrics sometimes—especially for a team scrapping for survival. But Monastir’s consistency (just two losses in their last ten) suggests they’re less likely to slip. Home advantage? Tunisia’s 42.9% home win rate is decent, but class usually prevails. Unless Tataouine conjures another miracle, Monastir should leave with three points.
This US Tataouine vs US Monastirienne prediction boils down to trust—trust in the odds, the squad valuations, and the patterns. Monastir’s quality, coupled with Tataouine’s struggles, makes the away win the logical pick. For those seeking value, a Monastir win to nil (around 2.10) or the Under 2.5 market offer safer alternatives. Just don’t expect a thriller—this one’s likely to be as methodical as Monastir’s midfield.
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2 -303
Monastiri is expected to win with odds of -3032 -303
Monastiri is expected to win with odds of -303Under 2.5 -169
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -250
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U3.5 -286
Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
0:2
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1
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3
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8
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 US Tataouine |
13-Apr-25
0:1
| Monastiri  |
| Monastiri |
15-Dec-24
4:1
| US Tataouine |
| Monastiri |
26-Nov-23
3:0
| US Tataouine |
| US Tataouine |
17-Sep-23
2:2
| Monastiri |
| US Tataouine |
27-May-23
0:4
| Monastiri |
| Monastiri |
02-Mar-23
1:0
| US Tataouine |
| US Tataouine |
05-May-21
3:1
| Monastiri |
| Monastiri |
30-Jan-21
4:0
| US Tataouine |
| Monastiri |
26-Aug-20
1:1
| US Tataouine |
| US Tataouine |
23-Nov-19
1:3
| Monastiri |
Recent Matches of US Tataouine
Recent Matches of Monastiri
| 28 Jan | L |  Olympique . |
1:0 |
Monastir. |
Tunisia - Ligue 1| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
ES Tunis | 30 | 57-22 | 66 |
| 2 |
US | 30 | 42-11 | 62 |
| 3 |
ES Sahel | 30 | 45-24 | 61 |
| 4 |
Club Africain | 30 | 36-19 | 56 |
| 5 |
ES Zarzis | 30 | 38-29 | 54 |
| 6 |
Stade Tunisien | 30 | 29-21 | 49 |
| 7 |
CS Sfaxien | 30 | 31-19 | 44 |
| 8 |
ES Metlaoui | 30 | 32-27 | 43 |
| 9 |
CA Bizertin | 30 | 29-28 | 35 |
| 10 |
US Ben | 30 | 30-34 | 32 |
| 11 |
Olympique | 30 | 19-37 | 29 |
| 12 |
AS Gabes | 30 | 20-38 | 28 |
| 13 |
AS Soliman | 30 | 17-42 | 27 |
| 14 |
Jeunesse Sportive | 30 | 25-46 | 26 |
| 15 |
EGS Gafsa | 30 | 24-43 | 22 |
| 16 |
US Tataouine | 30 | 19-53 | 19 |
