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Valladolid

€32.58m

14 Mar12:30
3 : 2

Leganes

€22.90m

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Valladolid vs Leganes Prediction Segunda División

Valladolid vs Leganes prediction: a tight Saturday chess match

If you like games where every meter matters, this Valladolid vs Leganes prediction is for you. Mark your calendar for Saturday, 2026-03-14 at 17:30 GMT, when Valladolid host Leganes at Estadio Municipal José Z. The table may change week to week in Segunda División, but these two often play it like a careful story: protect the middle, wait for a mistake, and don’t give away cheap goals.

What kind of game should we expect?

Valladolid usually look most comfortable when they can build with patience and make the home pitch feel a bit smaller for the opponent. Leganes, on the other hand, tend to enjoy games that stay controlled and slightly messy: good spacing, compact lines, and a plan to frustrate first and create later. With projected possession at 49% vs 51%, it screams “no one fully takes the wheel.”

The market values also hint at the balance: Valladolid are priced higher in squad value at €32.58m, while Leganes sit at €22.90m. That gap matters over a season, but in one match, it mostly buys you… slightly better options off the bench.

Head to head and recent reminders

The last head to head meeting on 2023.88-28 finished 0-0, and that fits the feeling here: two teams that can cancel each other out. Also, both sides have shown they can surprise when the odds laugh at them. Valladolid beat Alaves away on 2024-10-18 at huge odds of 5.0, winning 2-3. Leganes did something similar in spirit on 2025-12.073, drawing 1-1 away to Racing Santander at 5.7. So yes, discipline first, but don’t assume they’re harmless.

  • Projected shots: Valladolid 12, Leganes 10
  • On target: Valladolid 4, Leganes 2
  • Corners: 4-3 (7 total)
  • Cards: 2-2 (expect plenty of “I got the ball, ref!”)

Betting odds and the story they tell

The 1x2 betting odds lean Valladolid: Home 2.07, Draw 3.35, Away 3.8. That’s basically the book saying: “Valladolid have the edge, but don’t get carried away.” If you’re building a Valladolid vs Leganes prediction around match flow, the draw price is tempting because this looks like a low-scoring grind.

Our AI picks: goals first, then 1x2

Our best tip is Under 3.35 total goals at 1.25, with a trust rating of 5.2.070. It’s not a glamorous bet, but it matches the data: a projected 0-0 at full time and 0-0 at the break, plus modest on-target numbers (4 and 2). In other words, chances may come, but not in bunches.

For the 1x2, the AI-generated call is X (Draw) at 3.35, though with a low trust score of 2.0. That low confidence makes sense: Valladolid’s home advantage and shot edge suggest they could nick it, but the head to head trend and Leganes’ stubborn style keep pulling it back toward a stalemate.

Practical betting takeaway

  1. Safer angle: Under 3.35 goals (1.25) suits the expected tempo.
  2. Value punt: Draw (3.35–3.35) if you buy the 0-0 script.
  3. Correct score lean: 0-0, for those who enjoy living dangerously.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Valladolid vs Leganes

U3.5 -400

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -400
5/10

1x2 Tip

X 235

The match is expected to end in a draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -400

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

No -114

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 100

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:0

Stats Predictions

1.57
xG
1.06
49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots Off Goal
5
4
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.36
Expected Goals
1.22
3.4
Total Goals
2.1
1.2
Goals Scored
1.2
2.2
Goals Against
0.9
46%
Possession
56%
11
Total Shots
12
3.5
Shots on Goal
3.1
4.3
Shots off Goal
6.3
13.5
Fouls
10.1
4.2
Corners
4.6
2.6
Offsides
1.1
2.7
Yellow Cards
2.33
358
Total Passes
402

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
4
8
Over 1.5 Goals
7
7
Over 2.5 Goals
4
5
Over 3.5 Goals
1
5
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Valladolid
4 - 4 - 6
Leganes
Valladolid Valladolid 14-Mar-26
3:2
Leganes Leganes
Valladolid Valladolid 28-Aug-24
0:0
Leganes Leganes
Valladolid Valladolid 17-Nov-23
1:1
Leganes Leganes
Valladolid Valladolid 22-Jul-23
1:4
Leganes Leganes
Valladolid Valladolid 02-Jan-22
1:0
Leganes Leganes
Valladolid Valladolid 03-Jan-20
2:2
Leganes Leganes
Valladolid Valladolid 01-Dec-18
2:4
Leganes Leganes
Leganes Leganes 11-Jan-26
3:0
Valladolid Valladolid
Leganes Leganes 10-Oct-24
3:1
Valladolid Valladolid
Leganes Leganes 24-May-25
3:0
Valladolid Valladolid

Profile time Recent Matches of Valladolid

19 AprL FC Andorra FC Andorra 1 Valladolid Valladolid 0
13 AprD Valladolid Valladolid 0 Eibar Eibar 0
04 AprL Cultural Cultural 1 Valladolid Valladolid 0
31 MarW Valladolid Valladolid 3 Cadiz CF Cadiz CF 0
28 MarL Valladolid Valladolid 0 Burgos CF Burgos CF 1
22 MarL Mirandes Mirandes 2 Valladolid Valladolid 1
14 MarW Valladolid Valladolid 3 Leganes Leganes 2
07 MarD Malaga Malaga 3 Valladolid Valladolid 3
28 FebW Valladolid Valladolid 1 Huesca Huesca 0
22 FebD Gijon Gijon 2 Valladolid Valladolid 2

Profile time Recent Matches Of Leganes

17 AprLLas Palmas Las Palmas 2 Leganes Leganes 0
11 AprWLeganes Leganes 2 Albacete Albacete 1
05 AprLAlmeria Almeria 2 Leganes Leganes 1
02 AprDLeganes Leganes 1 Zaragoza Zaragoza 1
28 MarDMalaga Malaga 0 Leganes Leganes 0
21 MarWLeganes Leganes 5 Ceuta Ceuta 2
14 MarLValladolid Valladolid 3 Leganes Leganes 2
08 MarLLeganes Leganes 0 Eibar Eibar 1
01 MarDGijon Gijon 0 Leganes Leganes 0
21 FebDLeganes Leganes 1 Cultural Cultural 1

Spain - Segunda División Spain - Segunda División

Team M G P
1 Racing SantanderRacing3675-5568
2 Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La3656-3964
3 AlmeriaAlmeria3670-5464
4 CastellónCastellón3661-4461
5 Las PalmasLas Palmas3647-3060
6 MalagaMalaga3660-4460
7 BurgosBurgos3643-3260
8 EibarEibar3642-3258
9 FC AndorraFC Andorra3652-4752
10 Sporting GijonSporting Gijon3648-4452
11 CordobaCordoba3649-5351
12 AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC3644-5750
13 AlbaceteAlbacete3648-4847
14 Granada CFGranada CF3645-4545
15 LeganesLeganes3640-4042
16 Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad3646-5341
17 ValladolidValladolid3639-4840
18 CadizCadiz3633-5138
19 ZaragozaZaragoza3633-4935
20 HuescaHuesca3636-5533
21 MirandesMirandes3638-5933
22 Cultural LeonesaCultural3632-5832
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