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Match Prediction

Valladolid vs Racing Santander Prediction

Finished
Spain flag Spain
Segunda División

Valladolid

€26.90m

3 Jan12:30
1 : 1

Racing S

€37.30m

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Valladolid vs Racing S Prediction Segunda División

Valladolid vs Racing Santander Prediction: Stats, Tips, and Tactical Insights

Welcome to our Valladolid vs Racing Santander prediction, where we break down all the stats, betting odds, and tactical nuances ahead of this intriguing Segunda División fixture. With both sides eyeing a strong start to 2.026, fans can expect a tense, strategic battle when the match kicks off at 17:30 GMT on January 3rd at the Municipal José Zorrilla.

Team News, Tactics, and What to Expect

As the new year begins, Racing Santander find themselves at the summit of the Segunda División, boasting 37 points from 19 matches. Their record—11 wins, 4 draws, and just 4 defeats—speaks to a well-balanced side. Racing have been especially impressive away from home, picking up five wins and two draws in nine trips. Their attack is firing on all cylinders, with 42 goals scored, and the defense, while not watertight, has kept things respectable with 27 conceded.

Valladolid, meanwhile, are navigating choppier waters. Sitting 12th with 24 points, they’ve managed only 6 wins and have struggled at home, securing just three victories in front of their fans. Their recent form leaves much to be desired—one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five league outings, including a bruising 0-3 home defeat to Eibar.

  • Head to head: Valladolid have had the better of recent meetings, winning the last five against Racing Santander, including a 3-1 triumph in January 2.024.
  • Squad values: Racing Santander’s squad is valued at €37.30m, outpacing Valladolid’s €26.90m.
  • Recent form: Racing are unbeaten in seven across all competitions, while Valladolid have conceded in each of their last seven games.

Injuries, Suspensions, and Key Players

Both teams have their share of injury headaches. Valladolid will miss Amath Ndiaye (broken fibula) and Marcos André (muscle injury), while several others are carrying knocks or facing possible suspensions. Juan Miguel Latasa and Peter Federico will be key to unlocking Racing’s defense, with Latasa especially creative in the final third.

For Racing Santander, Jokin Ezkieta is sidelined but could return soon, while Clément Michelin and Álvaro Mantilla are set to miss out with muscle injuries. Unai Vencedor is suspended, but Andrés Martín—fresh from three goals in his last five matches—alongside Juan Carlos Arana and Iñigo Vicente, will be the main attacking threats.

  • Valladolid’s weak spot: Pass accuracy has dipped to 82%, making them vulnerable under pressure.
  • Racing’s strength: 67 shots in their last five games show tactical flexibility and attacking intent.

Managerial Changes and Off-Pitch News

Valladolid recently saw a change in the dugout, with Luis Tevenet stepping in after Guillermo Almada’s abrupt departure. This could mean some tactical tweaks, but stability might take time. Racing Santander, under José Alberto López, are a settled unit, planning ahead for next season and exuding confidence.

Valladolid vs Racing Santander Prediction: AI Tips and Betting Odds

Let’s dig into the numbers and see what our AI thinks about this match. The betting odds give Valladolid a slight edge at 2.02 for the home win, with a draw priced at 3.7 and a Racing Santander victory at 3.7. Despite Racing’s outstanding form, the bookmakers seem to respect Valladolid’s historical head to head dominance at home.

  • Best bet: Under 3.7 total goals (odds: 1.45, trust level: 4.5/10)
  • 1x2 market: Draw (X) is the recommended pick (odds: 3.7, trust level: 2.0/10)
  • Projected score: 1:1 final, with a 0:0 scoreline at halftime

The AI expects a cagey affair, with both sides predicted to have 4 shots on target from a total of 16 (Valladolid) and 10 (Racing) attempts. The possession forecast leans 56% to Valladolid, but Racing’s counter-attacking threat could be decisive. We’re looking at nine corners in total and a modest five yellow cards split between the teams.

Final Thoughts and Betting Insights

Despite the stats suggesting a history of goals when these two meet (3.7 average in recent head to head matches), the AI’s Valladolid vs Racing Santander prediction leans towards a low-scoring, tightly contested draw. Both sides have defensive frailties—Valladolid have conceded in seven straight, Racing in five—but with key attackers missing and a cautious approach likely, under 3.7 goals is the smart play.

  1. Racing Santander’s unbeaten run and attacking depth give them a slight edge, but Valladolid’s home record in this fixture can’t be ignored.
  2. Expect a tactical battle, with both teams relying on wide play and quick transitions.
  3. With both sides missing key players, a 1-1 draw feels like the most probable outcome.

For punters, the best value may lie in backing under 3.7 total goals and considering the draw in the 1x2 market. As always, keep an eye on the team news before kickoff. That’s our Valladolid vs Racing Santander prediction—good luck, and may your bets be as accurate as a well-placed free kick!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Valladolid vs Racing S

U3.5 -222

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -222
4/10

1x2 Tip

X 265

The match is expected to end in a draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -222

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -161

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U5.5 100

Away win/draw and under 5.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:0

Correct Score

1:1

Stats Predictions

1.06
xG
0.85
56%
Ball Possession
44%
16
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
4
7
Shots Off Goal
3
6
Corners
3
3
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.06
Expected Goals
1
2.1
Total Goals
3
0.9
Goals Scored
1.9
1.2
Goals Against
1.1
51%
Possession
52%
15.8
Total Shots
12.8
4.1
Shots on Goal
5.1
7.1
Shots off Goal
5.1
17.4
Fouls
12.4
6.3
Corners
4.5
2.4
Offsides
1.6
3.22
Yellow Cards
2.8
418
Total Passes
405

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
6
5
Over 1.5 Goals
9
4
Over 2.5 Goals
6
2
Over 3.5 Goals
4
4
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
2
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Valladolid
2 - 0 - 0
Racing Santander
Valladolid Valladolid 29-Jan-24
3:1
Racing S Racing Santander
Racing Santander Racing S 11-Nov-23
2:3
Valladolid Valladolid

Profile time Recent Matches of Valladolid

17 Jan Ceuta Ceuta.
-
Valladolid. Valladolid
11 JanL Leganes Leganes.
3:0
Valladolid. Valladolid
03 JanD Valladolid Valladolid.
1:1
Racing S. Racing S
19 DecL Eibar Eibar.
3:0
Valladolid. Valladolid
13 DecL Valladolid Valladolid.
0:1
Andorra. Andorra
06 DecW Huesca Huesca.
1:4
Valladolid. Valladolid
29 NovD Valladolid Valladolid.
1:1
Malaga. Malaga
24 NovL Real II Real II.
1:0
Valladolid. Valladolid
14 NovL Valladolid Valladolid.
0:1
Las Palmas. Las Palmas
09 NovD Cadiz CF Cadiz CF.
0:0
Valladolid. Valladolid

Profile time Recent Matches Of Racing S

18 JanRacing S Racing S.
-
Las Palmas.Las Palmas
15 JanLRacing S Racing S.
0:2
Barcelona.Barcelona
10 JanLRacing S Racing S.
2:3
Zaragoza.Zaragoza
03 JanDValladolid Valladolid.
1:1
Racing S.Racing S
20 DecDHuesca Huesca.
1:1
Racing S.Racing S
17 DecWRacing S Racing S.
2:1
Villarreal.Villarreal
13 DecDRacing S Racing S.
1:1
Leganes.Leganes
07 DecWCadiz CF Cadiz CF.
2:3
Racing S.Racing S
04 DecWPonferradina Ponferradina.
1:2
Racing S.Racing S
30 NovWRacing S Racing S.
4:0
Eibar.Eibar

Spain - Segunda División Spain - Segunda División

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Racing SantanderRacing Santand 21
45-31
38
2 Las PalmasLas Palmas 21
26-13
38
3 AlmeriaAlmeria 21
40-30
36
4 CastellónCastellón 21
34-25
35
5 Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La C 21
35-24
34
6 CadizCadiz 21
25-23
34
7 MalagaMalaga 21
31-26
32
8 BurgosBurgos 21
25-20
32
9 CordobaCordoba 21
27-24
32
10 AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC 21
25-26
32
11 Sporting GijonSporting Gijon 21
26-29
30
12 LeganesLeganes 21
23-21
26
13 ValladolidValladolid 21
21-23
25
14 FC AndorraFC Andorra 21
23-29
25
15 Cultural LeonesaCultural Leone 21
22-30
25
16 EibarEibar 21
23-26
24
17 AlbaceteAlbacete 21
26-34
24
18 Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad 21
28-30
23
19 HuescaHuesca 21
20-30
23
20 Granada CFGranada CF 21
23-27
22
21 ZaragozaZaragoza 21
20-34
20
22 MirandesMirandes 21
22-35
17
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