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Match Prediction

Velez Sarsfield vs River Plate Prediction

Finished

Velez S

€55.03m

16 Nov15:00
0 : 0

River Plate

€6.41m

Preview

Velez S vs River Plate Prediction Liga Profesional Argentina

Velez Sarsfield vs River Plate Prediction: Stats, Tips & Storylines

Mark your calendars for November 16, 2.47, when the José Amalfitani stadium in Buenos Aires will host a fixture that always gets Argentine football fans talking: Velez Sarsfield vs River Plate. This Velez Sarsfield vs River Plate prediction comes at a time when both teams are pushing for top spots in the Liga Profesional Argentina. With Velez sitting 4th and River Plate just behind in 6th, the stakes are high, and the history between these two sides only adds spice to the occasion.

Head to Head: Tradition, Tactics, and Tight Margins

While it’s still over a year away, the anticipation for this match is already building. Velez Sarsfield, known as El Fortín, and River Plate, or Los Millonarios, are regulars at the sharp end of the Argentine top flight. Both clubs are famous for their youth academies and for playing attractive football—though River Plate, with their rich history and continental pedigree, often enter as slight favorites.

Looking at their recent head to head record, it’s clear why this is one of Argentina’s most unpredictable fixtures. The last meeting in July 2022 ended in a 2-2 draw, and since then, we’ve seen everything from River’s 5-0 demolition job in February 2024 to Velez’s gritty 2-0 win in September 2023. The last time they met at the José Amalfitani, the points were shared, and it wouldn't surprise anyone to see a similar story unfold this time.

  • Current Standings: Velez Sarsfield 4th, River Plate 6th (Clausura, 2.47)
  • Venue: José Amalfitani, Buenos Aires
  • Kickoff: 2.47-11-16, 20:00 GMT
  • Squad Value: Velez Sarsfield €55.03m, River Plate €6.41m
  • Odds: Home win 3.45, Draw 3.1, Away win 2.47

With both teams known for disciplined defending and a knack for grinding out results, don’t expect a goal-fest. The last six meetings have produced two draws, two River wins, and two for Velez—so the script is wide open. Still, River Plate’s ability to control possession and create chances on the break means they often edge these encounters, especially when the pressure’s on.

Betting Tips & AI Insights: Under 2.5 Goals the Smart Play

Now, let’s get to what everyone’s really here for: the Velez Sarsfield vs River Plate prediction and betting tips. Our AI system has crunched the numbers, and the verdict is clear—expect a tight, tactical affair with few chances.

  1. Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals (odds: 1.52, confidence: 7.0/10)
  2. 1x2 Prediction: Away win (River Plate) at 2.47, confidence: 3.1/10
  3. Final Score Prediction: 0:1 for River Plate

Here’s how the stats stack up according to our AI:

  • Possession: Velez 43%, River Plate 57%
  • Shots: Velez 7, River Plate 14
  • Shots on goal: Velez 1, River Plate 3
  • Corners: Velez 3, River Plate 4
  • Yellow cards: Velez 2, River Plate 3

With River Plate expected to control the ball and generate twice as many shots as their hosts, the away side has the edge. But don’t expect fireworks—both teams are projected to keep things tight, and our AI’s 0:1 final score prediction fits the pattern of recent head to head results.

Final Thoughts: Value in the Under, Edge to River Plate

If you’re looking for value in your betting tips, under 2.5 goals is the standout pick—this fixture is rarely a shootout, and both sides are solid at the back. River Plate’s superior squad depth and tactical discipline should see them edge a close contest, but with Velez’s fighting spirit at home, nothing is ever guaranteed.

So, for your Velez Sarsfield vs River Plate prediction, keep it simple: back the under, lean towards River if you’re feeling brave, and settle in for another classic chapter in this storied rivalry. After all, in Argentine football, the only certainty is drama.

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AI Predictions
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Velez S no motivation!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Velez S vs River Plate

U2.5 -192

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -192
7/10

1x2 Tip

2 147

River Plate is expected to win with odds of 147
3/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -192

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
7/10

Both Teams To Score

No -139

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U3.5 -127

Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:1

Stats Predictions

0.59
xG
0.84
43%
Ball Possession
57%
7
Total Shots
14
1
Shots on Goal
3
1
Shots Off Goal
6
3
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
3

Average / Match

0.8
Expected Goals
0.93
2.1
Total Goals
1.9
1
Goals Scored
0.6
1.1
Goals Against
1.3
55%
Possession
61%
10.3
Total Shots
15.5
3.7
Shots on Goal
4.1
3.7
Shots off Goal
6.9
11.4
Fouls
12.6
5.5
Corners
6.1
1
Offsides
1.3
3
Yellow Cards
3.63
385
Total Passes
423

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
2
6
Over 1.5 Goals
6
4
Over 2.5 Goals
3
2
Over 3.5 Goals
1
4
Both Teams Scored
3
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
3

Head to Head

Velez Sarsfield
4 - 4 - 6
River Plate
River Plate River Plate 05-May-25
4:1
Velez S Velez Sarsfield
River Plate River Plate 19-Oct-24
1:1
Velez S Velez Sarsfield
River Plate River Plate 04-Feb-24
5:0
Velez S Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield Velez S 03-Sep-23
2:0
River Plate River Plate
Velez Sarsfield Velez S 30-May-23
2:2
River Plate River Plate
Velez Sarsfield Velez S 18-Jul-22
2:2
River Plate River Plate
River Plate River Plate 07-Jul-22
0:0
Velez S Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield Velez S 30-Jun-22
1:0
River Plate River Plate
River Plate River Plate 14-Aug-21
2:0
Velez S Velez Sarsfield
River Plate River Plate 23-Sep-19
1:2
Velez S Velez Sarsfield

Profile time Recent Matches of Velez S

27 JanW Velez S Velez S.
2:1
Talleres . Talleres
23 JanW Instituto Instituto.
0:1
Velez S. Velez S

Profile time Recent Matches of River Plate

28 JanWRiver Plate River Plat.
2:0
Gimnasia L.Gimnasia L.P.
24 JanWBarracas Barracas .
0:1
River Plat.River Plate

Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Rosario Central Rosario16
18-8
31
2 Lanus Lanus16
20-13
30
3 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo16
19-12
28
4 Velez Sarsfield Velez16
19-12
26
5 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo16
13-11
24
6 River Plate River Plate16
20-15
22
7 Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.16
14-16
22
8 Talleres Cordoba Talleres16
9-12
21
9 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento16
13-17
20
10 San Martin S.J. San Martin16
13-16
19
11 Independiente Independiente16
14-13
18
12 Atletico Tucuman Atletico16
17-22
18
13 Instituto Cordoba Instituto16
9-17
16
14 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz16
11-19
12
15 Platense Platense16
12-25
12
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