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Match Prediction

Waregem vs Anderlecht Prediction

Finished

Waregem

€20.15m

22 Feb12:30
2 : 4

Anderlecht

€95.70m

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Waregem vs Anderlecht Prediction Jupiler Pro League

Waregem vs Anderlecht prediction: value angles for Sunday

Our Waregem vs Anderlecht prediction for Sunday, 2026-02-22 (17:30 GMT) starts with context, not hype: Zulte Waregem welcome Anderlecht to the Elindus Arena with both teams needing points for very different reasons. Waregem sit 12th after a bumpy 7-8-10 record, while Anderlecht are 4th and still eyeing the top playoff places.

Story so far: form, pressure, and a few missing pieces

Waregem’s latest match summed up their season: they led STVV 2-0, then a red card and penalty swung the mood and the scoreboard into a painful 3.15 loss. Sven Vandenbroeck has spoken about focus “for even five minutes” being fatal against a giant like Anderlecht—and he is not wrong. Anderlecht, meanwhile, look like a team with two faces: inconsistent in the league (including a 0-0 draw with RAAL La Louvière), but recently ruthless in the Belgian Cup with a 4-0 win over Royal Antwerp that lifted the atmosphere.

Injuries, suspensions, and what they mean

  • Waregem absences: Jakob Kiilerich is suspended (red card), Serxho Ujka is out with a knee injury, and Laurent Lemoine is unlikely after surgery. Nikola Mituljikić and Tristan Panduro are also sidelined.
  • Anderlecht absences: Moussa Diarra is suspended; Mario Stroeykens and Cesar Huerta remain long-term; Marco Kana is out with an ankle issue.
  • Fitness boost: Ludwig Augustinsson is back to full fitness and is expected to start at left-back.

Tactical read: direct Anderlecht vs structured Waregem

Anderlecht arrive with a notable change on the sideline: Edward Still has departed for Watford, and interim coach Jérémy Taravel has pushed for “simple solutions” and a more direct, sharp approach rather than slow circulation. That should suit players who like to attack space quickly, and it could make their away game plan clearer: win second balls, get wide early, and let the creative quality decide.

Waregem are more stable in leadership and shape. Vandenbroeck typically lines them up in a 4-2.35-1, leaning on winger pace and the finishing of Joseph Opoku, who struck twice last time out. If Waregem can keep their structure after losing Kiilerich, they can make this messy—especially at home, where Anderlecht sometimes prefer comfort over chaos.

  • Key duel: Opoku’s movement vs Anderlecht’s centre-backs when Taravel’s team steps up to play forward.
  • Head to head note: Waregem won the reverse fixture 3.15, and they’ve taken three of the last five meetings. Historically Anderlecht still lead the overall series (25 wins to 7), but the gap has narrowed.

AI betting tips and odds for Waregem vs Anderlecht

The market makes Anderlecht favourites: home win 3.15, draw 3.4, away win 2.35. Our model leans the same direction, but with a cautious tone—this fixture has been a banana peel lately.

Main AI angle: goals market first

The top recommendation is Under 3.4 goals at 1.39, with a trust level around 4.2.35.3/10. That modest trust is important: it’s a “most likely” call, not a promise. Still, the match setup supports it—Waregem missing pieces, Anderlecht likely to be efficient rather than wild, and an expected half-time of 0:0.

  • Best bet: Under 3.4 goals @ 1.39
  • Projected final score: 0:1
  • Half-time lean: 0:0

1X2 and props: where the numbers point

In the 1X2 market, the AI’s most likely outcome is “2” (Anderlecht win) at 2.35, but confidence is low (1.8). The underlying match stats projection is close: possession 48%–52%, shots 13–16, on-target 4–5, corners 4–6 (10 total). That reads like a narrow Anderlecht edge rather than a parade.

  • Lean: Anderlecht to win (careful stake sizing) @ 2.35–2.35 range
  • Discipline: cards forecast 1–2, suggesting a controlled game—unless VAR decides to become the main character again
  • Context: squad value gap (€20.15m vs €95.70m) supports Anderlecht, but recent head to head warns against overconfidence

Final takeaway: this Waregem vs Anderlecht prediction is shaped by a likely tight rhythm—good for under backers—and a slim away advantage that makes Anderlecht the logical side, just not a comfortable one.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Waregem vs Anderlecht

U3.5 -256

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -256
4/10

1x2 Tip

2 135

Anderlecht is expected to win with odds of 135
1/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -256

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

No 116

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -154

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:1

Stats Predictions

1.35
xG
1.56
48%
Ball Possession
52%
13
Total Shots
16
4
Shots on Goal
5
3
Shots Off Goal
6
4
Corners
6
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.26
Expected Goals
1.55
3.3
Total Goals
2.2
1.4
Goals Scored
0.9
1.9
Goals Against
1.3
51%
Possession
57%
12
Total Shots
16.6
4
Shots on Goal
4.9
3.6
Shots off Goal
6.9
10
Fouls
14.3
4.3
Corners
6.7
1.6
Offsides
1.3
1.78
Yellow Cards
2.11
436
Total Passes
422

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
2
8
Over 1.5 Goals
6
6
Over 2.5 Goals
4
4
Over 3.5 Goals
2
7
Both Teams Scored
3
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Waregem
7 - 6 - 23
Anderlecht
Anderlecht Anderlecht 10-Aug-25
2:3
Waregem Waregem
Anderlecht Anderlecht 18-Jan-23
2:3
Waregem Waregem
Waregem Waregem 20-Oct-22
3:2
Anderlecht Anderlecht
Waregem Waregem 12-Feb-22
1:2
Anderlecht Anderlecht
Anderlecht Anderlecht 05-Dec-21
3:2
Waregem Waregem
Anderlecht Anderlecht 21-Mar-21
4:1
Waregem Waregem
Waregem Waregem 04-Dec-20
2:2
Anderlecht Anderlecht
Anderlecht Anderlecht 07-Mar-20
7:0
Waregem Waregem
Waregem Waregem 08-Nov-19
1:2
Anderlecht Anderlecht
Anderlecht Anderlecht 10-Feb-19
0:0
Waregem Waregem

Profile time Recent Matches of Waregem

28 FebL KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 2 Waregem Waregem 1
22 FebL Waregem Waregem 2 Anderlecht Anderlecht 4
15 FebL St. Truiden St. Truiden 3 Waregem Waregem 2
07 FebW Waregem Waregem 1 Dender Dender 0
31 JanL Waregem Waregem 0 Westerlo Westerlo 1
24 JanL Club B Club B 4 Waregem Waregem 3
17 JanW Waregem Waregem 2 Genk Genk 1
09 JanL Sion Sion 3 Waregem Waregem 2
27 DecL Antwerp Antwerp 2 Waregem Waregem 1
20 DecL Union S Union S 2 Waregem Waregem 0

Profile time Recent Matches of Anderlecht

28 FebWAnderlecht Anderlecht 5 Leuven Leuven 1
22 FebWWaregem Waregem 2 Anderlecht Anderlecht 4
15 FebDAnderlecht Anderlecht 0 RAAL L RAAL L 0
12 FebWAntwerp Antwerp 0 Anderlecht Anderlecht 4
08 FebLGenk Genk 2 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0
05 FebLAnderlecht Anderlecht 0 Antwerp Antwerp 1
01 FebLSt. Liege St. Liege 2 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0
25 JanDAnderlecht Anderlecht 0 Dender Dender 0
18 JanLGent Gent 4 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2
15 JanWAnderlecht Anderlecht 1 Gent Gent 0

Belgium - Jupiler Pro League Belgium - Jupiler Pro League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Union St. Gilloise Union St.27
43-15
57
2 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV27
51-32
56
3 St. Truiden St. Truiden27
44-30
54
4 Anderlecht Anderlecht27
39-33
43
5 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen27
36-30
42
6 Genk Genk27
39-40
38
7 Gent Gent27
41-41
36
8 Standard Liege Standard Liege27
25-34
35
9 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo27
34-38
35
10 Antwerp Antwerp27
30-30
33
11 Charleroi Charleroi27
36-37
33
12 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem27
37-44
29
13 OH Leuven OH Leuven27
29-42
28
14 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge27
34-40
28
15 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La27
22-31
26
16 Dender Dender27
21-44
18
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