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Waregem vs Anderlecht prediction: value angles for Sunday
Our Waregem vs Anderlecht prediction for Sunday, 2026-02-22 (17:30 GMT) starts with context, not hype: Zulte Waregem welcome Anderlecht to the Elindus Arena with both teams needing points for very different reasons. Waregem sit 12th after a bumpy 7-8-10 record, while Anderlecht are 4th and still eyeing the top playoff places.
Story so far: form, pressure, and a few missing pieces
Waregem’s latest match summed up their season: they led STVV 2-0, then a red card and penalty swung the mood and the scoreboard into a painful 3.15 loss. Sven Vandenbroeck has spoken about focus “for even five minutes” being fatal against a giant like Anderlecht—and he is not wrong. Anderlecht, meanwhile, look like a team with two faces: inconsistent in the league (including a 0-0 draw with RAAL La Louvière), but recently ruthless in the Belgian Cup with a 4-0 win over Royal Antwerp that lifted the atmosphere.
Injuries, suspensions, and what they mean
- Waregem absences: Jakob Kiilerich is suspended (red card), Serxho Ujka is out with a knee injury, and Laurent Lemoine is unlikely after surgery. Nikola Mituljikić and Tristan Panduro are also sidelined.
- Anderlecht absences: Moussa Diarra is suspended; Mario Stroeykens and Cesar Huerta remain long-term; Marco Kana is out with an ankle issue.
- Fitness boost: Ludwig Augustinsson is back to full fitness and is expected to start at left-back.
Tactical read: direct Anderlecht vs structured Waregem
Anderlecht arrive with a notable change on the sideline: Edward Still has departed for Watford, and interim coach Jérémy Taravel has pushed for “simple solutions” and a more direct, sharp approach rather than slow circulation. That should suit players who like to attack space quickly, and it could make their away game plan clearer: win second balls, get wide early, and let the creative quality decide.
Waregem are more stable in leadership and shape. Vandenbroeck typically lines them up in a 4-2.35-1, leaning on winger pace and the finishing of Joseph Opoku, who struck twice last time out. If Waregem can keep their structure after losing Kiilerich, they can make this messy—especially at home, where Anderlecht sometimes prefer comfort over chaos.
- Key duel: Opoku’s movement vs Anderlecht’s centre-backs when Taravel’s team steps up to play forward.
- Head to head note: Waregem won the reverse fixture 3.15, and they’ve taken three of the last five meetings. Historically Anderlecht still lead the overall series (25 wins to 7), but the gap has narrowed.
AI betting tips and odds for Waregem vs Anderlecht
The market makes Anderlecht favourites: home win 3.15, draw 3.4, away win 2.35. Our model leans the same direction, but with a cautious tone—this fixture has been a banana peel lately.
Main AI angle: goals market first
The top recommendation is Under 3.4 goals at 1.39, with a trust level around 4.2.35.3/10. That modest trust is important: it’s a “most likely” call, not a promise. Still, the match setup supports it—Waregem missing pieces, Anderlecht likely to be efficient rather than wild, and an expected half-time of 0:0.
- Best bet: Under 3.4 goals @ 1.39
- Projected final score: 0:1
- Half-time lean: 0:0
1X2 and props: where the numbers point
In the 1X2 market, the AI’s most likely outcome is “2” (Anderlecht win) at 2.35, but confidence is low (1.8). The underlying match stats projection is close: possession 48%–52%, shots 13–16, on-target 4–5, corners 4–6 (10 total). That reads like a narrow Anderlecht edge rather than a parade.
- Lean: Anderlecht to win (careful stake sizing) @ 2.35–2.35 range
- Discipline: cards forecast 1–2, suggesting a controlled game—unless VAR decides to become the main character again
- Context: squad value gap (€20.15m vs €95.70m) supports Anderlecht, but recent head to head warns against overconfidence
Final takeaway: this Waregem vs Anderlecht prediction is shaped by a likely tight rhythm—good for under backers—and a slim away advantage that makes Anderlecht the logical side, just not a comfortable one.
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Best Tip
The best betting football prediction for Waregem vs AnderlechtU3.5 -256
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -2561x2 Tip
2 135
Anderlecht is expected to win with odds of 135Total Goals
Under 3.5 -256
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchBoth Teams To Score
No 116
At least one team is not expected to scoreBet Builder Tip
X2&U4.5 -154
Away win/draw and under 4.5 goalsCorrect Score
0:1
Stats Predictions
Average / Match
Overview Last 10 Matches
Head to Head
|
|
7
-
6
-
24
|
|
Latest Matches
 Waregem |
22-Feb-26
2:4
| Anderlecht  |
| Waregem |
20-Oct-22
3:2
| Anderlecht |
| Waregem |
12-Feb-22
1:2
| Anderlecht |
| Waregem |
04-Dec-20
2:2
| Anderlecht |
| Waregem |
05-Dec-10
1:2
| Anderlecht |
| Waregem |
26-Nov-11
2:3
| Anderlecht |
| Waregem |
22-Sep-12
2:3
| Anderlecht |
| Waregem |
21-Apr-13
2:1
| Anderlecht |
| Waregem |
01-Sep-13
4:3
| Anderlecht |
| Waregem |
15-May-14
1:2
| Anderlecht |
Recent Matches of Waregem
| 19 Apr |
RAAL L
| - |
Zulte W
| - | |
| 12 Apr | W |
Dender
| 1 |
Zulte W
| 2 |
| 04 Apr | D |
Zulte W
| 2 |
Cercle B
| 2 |
| 22 Mar | W |
Waregem
| 1 |
Charleroi
| 0 |
| 13 Mar | L |
Gent
| 2 |
Waregem
| 0 |
| 08 Mar | L |
Waregem
| 0 |
St. Liege
| 1 |
| 28 Feb | L |
KV Mechelen
| 2 |
Waregem
| 1 |
| 22 Feb | L |
Waregem
| 2 |
Anderlecht
| 4 |
| 15 Feb | L |
St. Truiden
| 3 |
Waregem
| 2 |
| 07 Feb | W |
Waregem
| 1 |
Dender
| 0 |
Recent Matches of Anderlecht
| 18 Apr |  KV Mechelen |
- | Anderlecht |
- | |
| 12 Apr | W | Anderlecht |
3 |  Gent |
1 |
| 06 Apr | L |  Club B |
4 | Anderlecht |
2 |
| 22 Mar | L | Anderlecht |
2 |  Cercle B |
3 |
| 15 Mar | L | KV Mechelen |
1 | Anderlecht |
0 |
| 08 Mar | D | Club B |
2 | Anderlecht |
2 |
| 28 Feb | W | Anderlecht |
5 |  Leuven |
1 |
| 22 Feb | W | Waregem |
2 | Anderlecht |
4 |
| 15 Feb | D | Anderlecht |
0 |  RAAL L |
0 |
| 12 Feb | W |  Antwerp |
0 | Anderlecht |
4 |
Belgium - Jupiler Pro League
| Team | M | G | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Union St. | 30 | 50-17 | 66 |
| 2 |
Club Brugge KV | 30 | 59-36 | 63 |
| 3 |
St. Truiden | 30 | 47-35 | 57 |
| 4 |
Gent | 30 | 49-43 | 45 |
| 5 |
KV Mechelen | 30 | 39-37 | 45 |
| 6 |
Anderlecht | 30 | 43-39 | 44 |
| 7 |
Genk | 30 | 46-47 | 42 |
| 8 |
Standard Liege | 30 | 27-35 | 40 |
| 9 |
KVC Westerlo | 30 | 36-40 | 39 |
| 10 |
Antwerp | 30 | 31-32 | 35 |
| 11 |
Charleroi | 30 | 38-42 | 34 |
| 12 |
OH Leuven | 30 | 32-43 | 34 |
| 13 |
Zulte Waregem | 30 | 38-47 | 32 |
| 14 |
Cercle Brugge | 30 | 39-47 | 31 |
| 15 |
RAAL La | 30 | 30-37 | 31 |
| 16 |
Dender | 30 | 24-51 | 19 |
