Xelajú hosts Achuapa at Estadio Mario Camposeco on March 6, 2025, at 01:00 UTC, in what looks like a favorable fixture for the home side. With odds of 1.3 for a Xelajú win, 4.75 for a draw, and 8.5 for an Achuapa upset, the bookmakers are clearly backing the hosts to claim all three points.

Match Prediction & Betting Insights
Our AI model gives Xelajú a 3.6 confidence rating to win, making them the logical choice in the 1x2 market. The last time these two met, Xelajú secured a 2-0 victory, and history could repeat itself. Notably, Xelajú also pulled off a shock away win against Municipal back in November, showing they can handle pressure when needed.

For those looking beyond the outright winner, the best value bet appears to be under 3.5 goals at 1.37 odds, with a trust rating of 6.1/10. Why? Because only 19.9% of Liga Nacional matches in recent years have exceeded this mark, making a low-scoring affair highly probable. Our AI predicts a 2-0 final score, with Xelajú leading 1-0 at halftime.

Key Stats to Consider
- 47.4% of Liga Nacional matches end in home wins, compared to just 17.9% for away victories.
- Only 39.6% of matches see both teams scoring, suggesting a clean sheet for Xelajú is likely.
- Just 38.6% of games surpass 2.5 goals, reinforcing the under 3.5 bet.

Final Verdict
Xelajú’s superior squad value (€3.34m vs. Achuapa’s €2.06m) and home advantage make them the clear favorites. While Achuapa did pull off an away win against Mixco last August, overcoming Xelajú at Camposeco is a different challenge. A home win (1.3 odds) looks like a safe call, but the best value lies in under 3.5 goals at 1.37 odds. Expect a professional, controlled performance from Xelajú, sealing a 2-0 victory without too much drama.