Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Ukraine
Preview
The Persha Liga is a league where home comforts often tilt the scales—40.8% of matches end in home wins, while away victories are rarer at just 27.7%. Yet when Yarud Mariupol' hosts Podillya Khmelnytskyi on April 13, the stats alone won’t tell the full story. This is a match where underdog grit meets favorite flair, and the numbers only scratch the surface.
Yarud Mariupol' may sit lower in the table, but they’ve shown a knack for defying expectations. Remember that 0-0 stalemate against UCSA back in October? At odds of 5.0, few saw it coming. It’s these moments of stubbornness that make them a tricky opponent, especially at Stadion SKIF, where the crowd can will them to punch above their weight.
The bookmakers aren’t convinced, though. A home win sits at 5.2, a draw at 3.6, while Podillya Khmelnytskyi’s favoritism is reflected in their 1.57 odds. On paper, it’s a mismatch. But Persha Liga has a habit of laughing at paper—only 31.4% of matches end level, yet Yarud’s occasional spoiler antics suggest this could be one of them.
With just 3.4/10 trust, our model hesitates—but there’s logic here. Yarud’s home ground isn’t a fortress, but it’s also not a walk in the park. Pair that with the league’s 39.8% BTTS rate, and the 1X (home win or draw) starts to look like a sneaky value play. Podillya’s odds suggest they’ve already won, but Yarud didn’t read that script against UCSA.
For those feeling bold, a straight Yarud Mariupol' win at 5.2 odds offers fireworks—but with only 2.2/10 trust, it’s a gamble. Still, if the stars align and the home crowd roars loud enough, stranger things have happened. Just don’t bet the house on it.
The numbers whisper caution. With just 40.3% of Persha Liga matches clearing the 2.5-goal mark and Yarud’s tendency for low-scoring grindfests, the AI nudges us toward under 2.5 at 1.61 odds (2.3/10 trust). Expect a cagey affair, with chances at a premium.
Here’s the twist: we’re calling a shock 1-0 for Yarud Mariupol', with a goalless first half. It’s the kind of result that’d make the oddsmakers wince, but Persha Liga loves a plot twist. And hey, at least the referee’s absence means no dubious calls to blame—just pure, unfiltered underdog chaos.
Whether you back the stats or the story, one thing’s certain: this won’t be a forgettable afternoon at Stadion SKIF.
Read More
Podillya no motivation!
1X 124
Yarud M to win or draw with odds of 1241 420
Yarud M is expected to win with odds of 420Under 2.5 -164
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -172
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U3.5 199
Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1:0
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 Podillya |
17-May-25
1:2
| Yarud M  |
Ukraine - Persha Liga| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Viktoriya | 24 | 32-17 | 36 |
| 2 |
Prykarpattia | 24 | 32-28 | 32 |
| 3 |
Nyva Ternopil | 24 | 28-27 | 32 |
| 4 |
Minai | 24 | 26-30 | 30 |
| 5 |
Yarud | 24 | 26-34 | 28 |
| 6 |
Metalurh | 24 | 24-35 | 26 |
| 7 |
Podillya | 24 | 22-28 | 24 |
| 8 |
Dinaz | 24 | 19-46 | 17 |
| 9 |
Kremin' | 24 | 14-45 | 14 |
