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Yunnan Yukun vs Henan Jianye prediction with goals
Yunnan Yukun vs Henan Jianye Prediction arrives with a nice bit of tension: Friday, 2026-07-03, 13:00 GMT, at the Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium. It is Round 17 in the Chinese Super League, and both sides walk in carrying recent bruises, fresh storylines, and enough attacking talent to make the corner flags nervous.
Yunnan try to turn home comfort into control
Yunnan Yukun, still settling into life among China’s top clubs, have not had the easiest run. Their recent 4-2 away defeat to Qingdao Hainiu was another reminder that the CSL can be a sharp classroom. Before that, they also lost 4-2 in the FA Cup to Suzhou Dongwu and 3-2 in the league against Qingdao West Coast. In simple terms: they are scoring, but the back door has been left open like someone forgot the keys.
The hosts do have clear threats. Oscar Taty Maritu has been excellent, leading the team with 11 goals, while Cleber, Alexandru Ioniță and Pedro give Yunnan extra routes forward. That matters here because our expected match pattern gives Yunnan around 51% possession and 13 shots. They may not dominate fully, but they should have enough of the ball to build pressure.
There has also been some squad movement, with defender Yuhao Chen loaned to Shenzhen Juniors. No major new injury issue was reported after the Qingdao Hainiu game, which is welcome news for a team that needs stability, not more puzzles.
Henan look dangerous even when the table is calm
Henan FC, still widely known by many fans as Henan Jianye, are sitting around mid-table and have had their own bumpy weeks. A narrow 2-1 defeat away to Shanghai Port showed they can compete, even against strong opposition. They also beat Jiangxi Lushan 2-0 in the FA Cup, but league losses to Zhejiang FC and Beijing Guoan show why consistency remains the word pinned to the dressing-room wall.
The away side have useful attacking pieces. Frank Acheampong and Felippe Cardoso bring pace, power and finishing, while Bruno Nazário and Yihao Zhong can connect midfield to attack. At the back, Iago Maidana and Lucas Maia are important for structure. Henan have also seen new signing Pedro around the squad environment, while Xu Haofeng has gone out on loan to Wuhan Three Towns.
- Yunnan squad value: €9.14m
- Henan squad value: €6.90m
- Expected possession: Yunnan 51%, Henan 49%
- Expected shots on target: 4 each
- Estimated corners: 8 total, 4 per team
- Yellow cards forecast: 2 for each side
Head to head history adds spice to the market
The head to head picture is not one-sided. On 2025-06-26, Yunnan beat Henan 2-1, with the betting odds then slightly favouring Yunnan at 2.30 compared to Henan’s 2.75. Later, on 2025-11-22, Yunnan earned a 1-1 away draw despite high win odds of 5.09. That result was a reminder that this pairing can ignore the script.
Henan have also shown they can spring surprises on the road. Their 2-1 away win over Chengdu Better City on 2025-10-31 came at huge odds of 7.70. In betting terms, that is not just a surprise; that is the coupon standing up and applauding.
Betting odds and AI match prediction
For this game, the main betting odds are tight: Yunnan Yukun win at 2.450, draw at 3.6, and Henan Jianye win at 2.65. That tells us the market sees a close game, with only a small lean toward the hosts because of venue and squad value.
However, the NerdyTips AI leans slightly the other way. The top selection is X2 away win or draw, priced at 1.57 with a confidence rating of 5.2/10. That is not a thunderous call, but it fits the story: Yunnan’s attack is alive, yet their recent defensive record makes them hard to fully trust.
The 1x2 AI pick is Henan to win, at odds of 2.65 and confidence of 4.3/10. Again, the confidence is modest, so this is more of a value angle than a “bet the house” moment. Please do not bet the house. The house has Wi-Fi and snacks.
Total goals and final score view
The AI-backed over 2.45 goals prediction stands at 1.55, with confidence of 4.1/10. Given Yunnan’s recent 4-2, 4-2 and 3-2 results, plus Henan’s ability to score away, the total goals market makes sense. Both teams are projected to hit the target four times, which supports a lively evening.
Our AI predicts a 1:1 half-time score and a 1:2 final score. So, the second Yunnan Yukun vs Henan Jianye Prediction is this: expect Yunnan to start with energy, Henan to stay calm, and the visitors to edge it late if spaces appear.
- Main pick: X2
- 1x2 lean: Henan Jianye win
- Goals pick: Over 2.45
- Predicted score: Yunnan Yukun 1-2 Henan Jianye
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Best Tip
The best betting football prediction for Yunnan Yukun vs Henan JianyeX2 -175
Henan Jianye to win or draw with odds of -1751x2 Tip
2 165
Henan Jianye is expected to win with odds of 165Total Goals
Over 2.5 -200
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchBoth Teams To Score
Yes -233
Both teams are expected to scoreBet Builder Tip
X2&O1.5 -137
Away win/draw and over 1.5 goalsCorrect Score
1:2
Stats Predictions
Average / Match
Overview Last 10 Matches
Head to Head
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1
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1
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Latest Matches
 Yunnan Yukun |
26-Jun-25
2:1
| Henan Jianye  |
| Henan Jianye |
15-Mar-26
2:1
| Yunnan Yukun |
| Henan Jianye |
22-Nov-25
1:1
| Yunnan Yukun |
Recent Matches of Yunnan Yukun
| 22 Aug | L |
Beijing
| 1 |
Yunnan Yukun
| 0 |
| 15 Aug | W |
Yunnan Yukun
| 3 |
Dalian Z
| 1 |
| 08 Aug | W |
Yunnan Yukun
| 1 |
Chengdu B
| 0 |
| 01 Aug | L |
Tianjin Teda
| 3 |
Yunnan Yukun
| 2 |
| 26 Jul | W |
Yunnan Yukun
| 4 |
Sichuan J
| 3 |
| 21 Jul | D |
Yunnan Yukun
| 3 |
Chengdu B
| 3 |
| 17 Jul | D |
Yunnan Yukun
| 2 |
SHANGHAI S
| 2 |
| 10 Jul | L |
Shandong L
| 4 |
Yunnan Yukun
| 3 |
| 03 Jul | W |
Yunnan Yukun
| 2 |
Henan Jianye
| 1 |
| 26 Jun | L |
Qingdao J
| 4 |
Yunnan Yukun
| 2 |
Recent Matches Of Henan Jianye
| 23 Aug | D |  Shenyang |
4 | Henan Jianye |
4 |
| 15 Aug | L |  Shanghai |
4 | Henan Jianye |
1 |
| 09 Aug | D | Henan Jianye |
0 |  Qingdao Y |
0 |
| 31 Jul | D | Henan Jianye |
1 |  Dalian Z |
1 |
| 26 Jul | W |  Shandong L |
1 | Henan Jianye |
2 |
| 21 Jul | D | Henan Jianye |
1 | Dalian Z |
1 |
| 17 Jul | W | Henan Jianye |
5 |  Qingdao J |
1 |
| 03 Jul | L | Yunnan Yukun |
2 | Henan Jianye |
1 |
| 27 Jun | L | Henan Jianye |
1 |  SHANGHAI S |
2 |
| 19 Jun | W |  Jiangxi L |
0 | Henan Jianye |
2 |
China - Super League
| Team | M | G | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Chengdu Better | 24 | 49-29 | 48 |
| 2 |
Beijing Guoan | 24 | 48-32 | 36 |
| 3 |
 Qingdao Youth | 24 | 28-29 | 36 |
| 4 |
Dalian Zhixing | 24 | 35-40 | 36 |
| 5 |
Yunnan Yukun | 24 | 49-45 | 35 |
| 6 |
Shandong | 24 | 42-40 | 33 |
| 7 |
 Chongqing Tongliang | 24 | 25-28 | 30 |
| 8 |
SHANGHAI SIPG | 24 | 39-33 | 29 |
| 9 |
 Shanghai | 24 | 47-42 | 28 |
| 10 |
Sichuan Jiuniu | 24 | 33-43 | 27 |
| 11 |
 Hangzhou | 23 | 34-40 | 25 |
| 12 |
 Shenyang Urban | 23 | 33-39 | 25 |
| 13 |
Henan Jianye | 23 | 31-33 | 24 |
| 14 |
Tianjin Teda | 23 | 32-30 | 18 |
| 15 |
 Wuhan Three | 22 | 30-38 | 16 |
| 16 |
Qingdao Jonoon | 24 | 32-46 | 14 |
