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Match Prediction

Zaragoza vs Las Palmas Prediction

Finished
Spain flag Spain
Segunda División

Zaragoza

€25.40m

4 Jan12:30
1 : 2

Las Palmas

€39.30m

Preview

Zaragoza vs Las Palmas Prediction Segunda División

Zaragoza vs Las Palmas Prediction: Odds, Analysis & AI Tips

Welcome to our Zaragoza vs Las Palmas prediction for the Segunda División fixture set for 17:30 GMT on January 4, 2026. This match at the Ibercaja Estadio brings together two sides with very different ambitions this season, and our betting preview will guide you through the story, statistics, and key betting odds you need to know.

Match Context: Promotion Push Meets Survival Fight

When it comes to the Zaragoza vs Las Palmas prediction, context is everything. Zaragoza, currently 21st in the table, are desperate for points to escape the relegation zone. With just 17 points from 19 games, they've struggled at both ends of the pitch—scoring only 16 while conceding 30. Their home form has been particularly worrying, with five losses in their first nine matches at La Romareda and only one win in their last six home appearances.

On the other side, Las Palmas have been a model of consistency and ambition. Sitting 2nd with 34 points, their promotion hopes are alive and well. They've lost just three times all season, and their away record is impressive: only one defeat in nine matches on the road. Their last outing—a 4-0 win over Cultural Leonesa—showed their attacking quality and confidence.

Head to Head: History Favors the Hosts

Looking at the head to head record, Zaragoza have enjoyed a psychological edge in this fixture. In their last five meetings, Zaragoza have won three, with two ending in draws. The most recent encounter finished 1-1, and remarkably, Zaragoza are unbeaten in their last ten matches against Las Palmas. This history could give the home side a much-needed boost, even if their recent form tells a different story.

Squad News and Tactical Insights

  • Zaragoza: Manager Rubén Sellés faces a selection headache with injuries and suspensions. M. Aguirregabiria is out with a muscle injury, while Paulino (knee), and key defenders Pablo Insua and Dani Gómez are suspended. Marcos Luna and Sebastian Kosa are doubtful. However, players like Valery and Radovanovic have returned to training, providing some hope for stability at the back.
  • Las Palmas: Luis García’s side are also missing key players. Ale García, Marc Cardona, and J. Recoba are all out, while Jonathan Viera is sidelined with a virus. Enrique Clemente and Mika Mármol are one yellow card away from suspension. Despite these absences, Las Palmas have shown tactical resilience, often controlling possession and exploiting defensive weaknesses in their opponents.

Key Stats and Tactical Matchup

  • Total goals: Zaragoza have conceded at least once in 16 of 19 games, while Las Palmas have the second-best defensive record in the league (11 conceded).
  • Expected possession: 49% for Zaragoza, 51% for Las Palmas—suggesting a balanced midfield battle.
  • Shots on target: Both teams are expected to manage just 3 each, hinting at a low-scoring affair.
  • Squad value: Las Palmas (€39.30m) have a clear edge over Zaragoza (€25.40m), reflecting their greater depth and quality.

Betting Odds and Market Analysis

  • Home win: 3.0
  • Draw: 3.0
  • Away win: 2.85

Las Palmas are slight favorites with the bookmakers, but the odds reflect Zaragoza's historical resilience in this fixture. The draw is also well-priced, considering the hosts' tendency to grind out results against stronger opposition.

AI-Backed Predictions and Betting Tips

Our AI at NerdyTips has run the numbers for this Zaragoza vs Las Palmas prediction, and the data points to a tight, low-scoring contest:

  • Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.5 (trust level: 3.0/10). Both teams are expected to be cautious, with limited clear-cut chances.
  • 1x2 Prediction: X2 (Las Palmas or Draw) at odds of 1.39 (trust: 2.0). Las Palmas’ away form and squad depth make them the safer choice, but Zaragoza’s head to head record means a draw is very possible.
  • Expected Final Score: 0:1 in favor of Las Palmas. The AI sees the visitors edging a narrow victory, likely decided by a single moment of quality.
  • Half-time Prediction: 0:1, suggesting Las Palmas might strike early and then manage the game.

Additional Match Insights

  • Total corners: 7 expected (4 for Zaragoza, 3 for Las Palmas), indicating a midfield-focused battle.
  • Yellow cards: 3 for Zaragoza, 1 for Las Palmas—discipline could play a role, especially with several players close to suspension.

Final Thoughts: Zaragoza vs Las Palmas Prediction Verdict

In summary, our Zaragoza vs Las Palmas prediction leans towards a disciplined, tactical encounter with few goals. Las Palmas’ promotion push and solid away record make them favorites, but Zaragoza’s historical advantage and the pressure of a relegation fight could see them dig deep. For punters, under 2.5 total goals looks the strongest angle, while backing Las Palmas on the double chance market (X2) provides a safety net given Zaragoza’s stubbornness in this head to head.

Both teams have everything to play for, but with so much at stake, don’t expect fireworks—expect a chess match. Good luck with your bets!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Zaragoza vs Las Palmas

U2.5 -200

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -200
3/10

1x2 Tip

X2 -238

Las Palmas to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -200

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

No -133

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -182

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:1

Correct Score

0:1

Stats Predictions

1.43
xG
0.77
49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Goal
3
5
Shots Off Goal
4
4
Corners
3
3
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.33
Expected Goals
0.76
2.7
Total Goals
2.1
1.3
Goals Scored
1.3
1.4
Goals Against
0.8
52%
Possession
55%
12.1
Total Shots
10.4
3.8
Shots on Goal
3
5.6
Shots off Goal
4.2
13.9
Fouls
12
4.9
Corners
3.6
1.6
Offsides
2.1
3.3
Yellow Cards
1.9
427
Total Passes
463

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
4
8
Over 1.5 Goals
6
5
Over 2.5 Goals
4
3
Over 3.5 Goals
3
7
Both Teams Scored
5
1
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Zaragoza
5 - 5 - 0
Las Palmas
Zaragoza Zaragoza 30-Apr-23
1:1
Las Palmas Las Palmas
Las Palmas Las Palmas 13-Aug-22
0:0
Zaragoza Zaragoza
Zaragoza Zaragoza 19-Feb-22
2:1
Las Palmas Las Palmas
Las Palmas Las Palmas 13-Nov-21
2:3
Zaragoza Zaragoza
Las Palmas Las Palmas 15-May-21
0:2
Zaragoza Zaragoza
Zaragoza Zaragoza 26-Sep-20
2:2
Las Palmas Las Palmas
Las Palmas Las Palmas 14-Jan-20
0:1
Zaragoza Zaragoza
Zaragoza Zaragoza 03-Nov-19
3:0
Las Palmas Las Palmas
Las Palmas Las Palmas 04-Feb-19
1:1
Zaragoza Zaragoza

Profile time Recent Matches of Zaragoza

17 Jan Zaragoza Zaragoza.
-
Real II. Real II
10 JanW Racing S Racing S.
2:3
Zaragoza. Zaragoza
04 JanL Zaragoza Zaragoza.
1:2
Las Palmas. Las Palmas
21 DecD Burgos CF Burgos CF.
1:1
Zaragoza. Zaragoza
13 DecL Zaragoza Zaragoza.
1:2
Cadiz CF. Cadiz CF
08 DecD Malaga Malaga.
1:1
Zaragoza. Zaragoza
04 DecL Zaragoza Zaragoza.
0:1
Burgos CF. Burgos CF
30 NovW Zaragoza Zaragoza.
3:2
Leganes. Leganes
22 NovW Eibar Eibar.
1:2
Zaragoza. Zaragoza
16 NovW Zaragoza Zaragoza.
1:0
Huesca. Huesca

Profile time Recent Matches Of Las Palmas

18 JanRacing S Racing S.
-
Las Palmas.Las Palmas
10 JanDLas Palmas Las Palmas.
1:1
Deportivo.Deportivo
04 JanWZaragoza Zaragoza.
1:2
Las Palmas.Las Palmas
20 DecWLas Palmas Las Palmas.
4:0
Cultural .Cultural
14 DecDCeuta Ceuta.
1:1
Las Palmas.Las Palmas
08 DecDLas Palmas Las Palmas.
0:0
Mirandes.Mirandes
30 NovLCastellon Castellon.
1:0
Las Palmas.Las Palmas
21 NovWLas Palmas Las Palmas.
2:1
Albacete.Albacete
14 NovWValladolid Valladolid.
0:1
Las Palmas.Las Palmas
09 NovWLas Palmas Las Palmas.
3:1
Racing S.Racing S

Spain - Segunda División Spain - Segunda División

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Racing SantanderRacing Santand 21
45-31
38
2 Las PalmasLas Palmas 21
26-13
38
3 AlmeriaAlmeria 21
40-30
36
4 CastellónCastellón 21
34-25
35
5 Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La C 21
35-24
34
6 CadizCadiz 21
25-23
34
7 MalagaMalaga 21
31-26
32
8 BurgosBurgos 21
25-20
32
9 CordobaCordoba 21
27-24
32
10 AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC 21
25-26
32
11 Sporting GijonSporting Gijon 21
26-29
30
12 LeganesLeganes 21
23-21
26
13 ValladolidValladolid 21
21-23
25
14 FC AndorraFC Andorra 21
23-29
25
15 Cultural LeonesaCultural Leone 21
22-30
25
16 EibarEibar 21
23-26
24
17 AlbaceteAlbacete 21
26-34
24
18 Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad 21
28-30
23
19 HuescaHuesca 21
20-30
23
20 Granada CFGranada CF 21
23-27
22
21 ZaragozaZaragoza 21
20-34
20
22 MirandesMirandes 21
22-35
17
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