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Match Prediction

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Sloboda Tuzla Prediction

Finished

Zeljeznic

€6.40m

4 May09:00
3 : 2

Preview

Zeljeznic vs Sloboda Tuzla Prediction Premijer Liga

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Sloboda Tuzla Prediction: A One-Sided Affair at Grbavica?

When Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Sloboda Tuzla kicks off at Stadion Grbavica this Sunday, the betting odds tell a story before a ball is even kicked. The home side are overwhelming favorites at 1.10, while Sloboda Tuzla’s odds of 23.0 for an away win feel almost charitable. But football isn’t played on paper—or is it? Let’s dive into why this Premijer Liga matchup might follow the script.

The Tale of the Tape: Stats Don’t Lie

Zeljeznicar’s recent form screams confidence. Their 2:1 upset over Borac Banja Luka (who were priced at 5.0 to win) was a statement, while Sloboda’s shaky 1.1 draw with Posusje (a team with 8.8 home odds) raised eyebrows. The head-to-head history is even more brutal: last November, Zeljeznicar dismantled Sloboda 3:0, with odds of 1.16 pre-match. Ouch.

  • Squad value gap: €6.40m (Zeljeznicar) vs €2.10m (Sloboda). Money talks.
  • League trends: Home teams win 47.8% of matches, away sides just 24.2%.
  • Total goals: 67.1% of league games see over 1.5 goals; 42.8% hit over 2.5.

Why NerdyTips Loves HS2+ (And You Should Too)

Our top pick for this match? Zeljeznicar to score 2+ goals (HS2+) at 1.25 odds, with a perfect 10.0/10 trust rating. Here’s why:

  1. Zeljeznicar averages 1.8 goals per home game this season.
  2. Sloboda’s defense has conceded 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 away matches.
  3. The predicted scoreline (3:0) and halftime lead (2:0) suggest early dominance.

It’s like betting the sun will rise—except with slightly better odds.

The 1x2 Market: A No-Brainer?

The betting odds for a home win (1.10) are so low they’re practically whispering 'just add it to your accumulator and move on.' With a 10.0 confidence rating, even the bookies aren’t buying a Sloboda miracle. But for those chasing value, the draw (8.8) might tempt masochists.

Over/Under: Goals or No Goals?

The over 2.5 goals market (1.65 odds) has a lukewarm 3.7 trust rating. While Zeljeznicar’s firepower suggests goals, Sloboda’s attack often goes missing—they’ve failed to score in 3 of their last 5 trips. Still, with 43.4% of league matches seeing both teams score, a cheeky 3:1 correct score isn’t impossible.

The Referee Factor (Or Lack Thereof)

No referee announcement yet, but let’s be real—even a blindfolded official might struggle to tilt this one Sloboda’s way. The last head-to-head saw Zeljeznicar dominate without breaking sweat, and with a €4.3m squad value gap, this could be another long afternoon for the visitors.

Final Verdict: Trust the Process (And the Odds)

Our Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Sloboda Tuzla prediction? A comfortable 3:0 home win, with Zeljeznicar scoring early and often. The HS2+ bet is the smart play, while the 1x2 market is safer than a backpass to the keeper. Just don’t expect a thriller—unless you’re a Zeljeznicar fan, in which case, enjoy the show.

Key takeaway: Sometimes, football is predictable. This is one of those times.

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Warning

Sloboda T is relegated!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Zeljeznic vs Sloboda Tuzla

HS2+ -400

Zeljeznic is expected to score at least 2 goals with odds of -400
10/10

1x2 Tip

1 -1000

Zeljeznic is expected to win with odds of -1000
10/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -179

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

No -303

At least one team is not expected to score
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

3:0

Average / Match

3.5
Total Goals
2.5
1.7
Goals Scored
0.8
1.8
Goals Against
1.7

Overview Last 10 Matches

7
Wins
1
8
Over 1.5 Goals
7
8
Over 2.5 Goals
3
5
Over 3.5 Goals
3
6
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
10 - 12 - 4
Sloboda Tuzla
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo Zeljeznic 04-May-25
3:2
Sloboda T Sloboda Tuzla
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo Zeljeznic 30-Nov-24
3:0
Sloboda T Sloboda Tuzla
Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda T 24-Aug-24
0:1
Zeljeznic Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda T 28-Sep-23
1:0
Zeljeznic Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda T 28-May-23
1:2
Zeljeznic Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo Zeljeznic 04-Mar-23
1:0
Sloboda T Sloboda Tuzla
Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda T 10-Sep-22
1:1
Zeljeznic Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda T 29-May-22
1:1
Zeljeznic Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda T 27-Nov-21
1:1
Zeljeznic Zeljeznicar Sarajevo

Bosnia - Premijer Liga Bosnia - Premijer Liga

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Zrinjski Zrinjski33
74-17
82
2 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja33
58-13
81
3 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo33
59-24
65
4 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo Zeljeznicar33
55-38
65
5 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg33
43-46
46
6 Sloga Doboj Sloga Doboj33
35-45
44
7 Velež Velež33
45-39
42
8 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik33
44-52
40
9 Posušje Posušje33
36-41
37
10 Igman Konjic Igman Konjic33
30-66
29
11 GOŠK Gabela GOŠK Gabela33
28-76
16
12 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla33
21-71
7
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