Primera División Betting Insights

The Peruvian Primera División continues to deliver exciting football, and the upcoming match between Cultural Santa Rosa and Deportivo Garcilaso promises to be an intriguing contest. With both teams looking to secure crucial points, bettors will be keen to analyze the latest odds, stats, and AI-powered predictions to make informed decisions.

Cultural Santa Rosa vs Deportivo Garcilaso: Match Preview

Cultural Santa Rosa enters this fixture with a home win probability of 1.96, while Deportivo Garcilaso is priced at 3.35 for an away victory. A draw stands at 3.5, reflecting the competitive nature of this matchup.

Our AI-powered system, NerdyTips, suggests that 1X (home win or draw) is the best bet, with a confidence rating of 5.9/10 and odds of 1.3. Additionally, the 1X2 prediction favors Cultural Santa Rosa to win, with a trust level of 5.0.

League Trends & Key Statistics

The Peruvian Primera División has historically favored home teams, with 42.0% of matches resulting in home victories, while away teams have won just 19.5% of games. Draws occur in 38.5% of matches, making them a frequent outcome.

In terms of goals, 62.4% of matches have seen over 1.5 goals, while 41.6% have exceeded 2.5 goals. However, only 23.9% of games have gone over 3.5 goals, suggesting that high-scoring encounters are less common.

Team Performance & Recent Form

Cultural Santa Rosa
– Won 40.0% of their last 55 matches.
– Scored in 58.2% of games.
– 85.5% of their matches had over 1.5 goals.
– Averaged 0.6 goals per match in their last 10 games, conceding 1.1 goals per game.
– Maintained 50.67% possession and attempted 10.67 shots per match.

Deportivo Garcilaso
– Won 29.9% of their last 67 matches.
– Scored in 50.7% of games.
– 71.6% of their matches had over 1.5 goals.
– Averaged 1.1 goals per match in their last 10 games, conceding 1.0 goals per game.
– Held 36% possession and recorded 10 shots per match.

Head-to-Head & Notable Results

In their last meeting on September 29, 2024, Cultural Santa Rosa secured a 1-0 victory over Deportivo Garcilaso. The odds for that match were 2.0 for a Cultural Santa Rosa win and 3.51 for Deportivo Garcilaso.

Additionally, Cultural Santa Rosa pulled off a surprise result against Universitario on November 3, 2024, securing a 0-0 draw despite being priced at 7.0 for a win. Deportivo Garcilaso also impressed on the same day, drawing 1-1 against FBC Melgar as 10.25 underdogs.

Best Betting Tips & Predictions

1X (Home Win or Draw) – Confidence: 5.9/10
– Cultural Santa Rosa has a higher win percentage than Deportivo Garcilaso.
– Home teams have historically performed better in the Primera División.
– Deportivo Garcilaso has struggled in away matches, making a home win or draw a strong bet.

Under 3.5 Goals – Confidence: 4.8/10
– Only 23.9% of league matches exceed 3.5 goals.
– Cultural Santa Rosa has averaged 0.6 goals per match in their last 10 games, while Deportivo Garcilaso has scored 1.1 goals per match.
– Their last head-to-head match ended 1-0, reinforcing the likelihood of a low-scoring game.

Predicted Score: 2-1
– Cultural Santa Rosa is expected to edge out Deportivo Garcilaso in a tight contest.
– The expected half-time score is 1-1, suggesting an evenly matched first half before a decisive second period.

Final Thoughts

With Cultural Santa Rosa’s solid home record and Deportivo Garcilaso’s inconsistent away form, the 1X bet (home win or draw) stands out as the best option. Additionally, the under 3.5 goals market aligns with historical trends and recent performances.

Bettors should consider these insights when placing their wagers, as AI-powered predictions and statistical analysis provide a strong foundation for informed betting decisions.