Historic Rivalry in Uruguay’s Primera División

Liverpool Montevideo and Cerro meet in a highly anticipated derby, a fixture that has historically been a tight contest. With Liverpool Montevideo boasting a home win rate of 43.5% in their last 115 games and Cerro struggling with just 23.0% in 87 matches, the odds favor the hosts at 2.25.

Defensive Battle Expected

Recent form suggests a low-scoring affair. Liverpool Montevideo averages 1.3 goals per game while conceding 1.1, whereas Cerro has only managed 0.4 goals per match, conceding 0.9. Given these numbers, the best bet is under 2.5 goals at 1.50, with NerdyTips AI rating this pick at 6.0/10 confidence.

Key Statistics Back the Predictions

Over the last four years, only 40.2% of games in the league have exceeded 2.5 goals, reinforcing the likelihood of a low-scoring match. Additionally, Cerro has seen over 2.5 goals in just 35.6% of their games, while Liverpool Montevideo has hit that mark in 42.6%.

Final Score Prediction

The AI model predicts a 1-0 victory for Liverpool Montevideo, aligning with their superior home form. A 0-0 half-time score is also likely, given both teams’ defensive tendencies.

For bettors, the safest approach is to back under 2.5 goals (1.50), while those seeking more value could consider a Liverpool Montevideo win at 2.25. With Cerro’s attacking struggles, this derby is shaping up to be a tactical, low-scoring battle.