Castellon vs Andorra: Match Predictions

Segunda División context

Castellón host Andorra at the SkyFi Castalia with the market leaning heavily home: Castellón 1.5, Draw 4.75, Andorra 6.75 (kickoff 17:30 UTC). Historically in Segunda División, home wins land at 44.0% and away wins at 25.5%, with draws at 30.6%—a reminder that this league regularly punishes short prices. Goals also tend to be controlled: only 20.4% of matches go over 3.5.

Team snapshot: Castellón

The Orelluts are flying—7 wins in their last 10, averaging 2.1 scored and 1.0 conceded, plus a strong territorial profile (about 55% possession, 15.7 shots per game). Under Pablo Hernández’s high-intensity 4-2-3-1, Castellón often start fast, press hard, and pin teams back—exactly why the home price is short.

Team snapshot: Andorra

Andorra arrive as the awkward opponent: only 3 wins in 10, but still capable of a smash-and-grab. They already shocked Valladolid away 0–1 at big odds, and Carles Manso’s more cautious mid-block can frustrate pressing sides. Even with less of the ball projected here (45%), Andorra’s profile suits a low-event upset.

Betting tips & expected surprise

The numbers point to a tense script: projected shots 16–8, shots on target 5–3, corners 6–5, and a balanced card line (2–2). That supports the main angle: Under 3.5 goals at 1.56 (confidence 6.7/10). Segunda games rarely turn into shootouts, and Andorra’s best route is slowing the tempo.

For the surprise hunters, the model leans to Andorra to win at 6.75, with a predicted correct score 0–1 and 0–0 at half-time—classic underdog heist.

For more data-driven picks, see NerdyTips football analysis. Bettors looking beyond Spain can also browse predictions for NB III Keleti (Hungary).