Match Overview

The highly anticipated clash between New York City FC and New York Red Bulls promises to be a thrilling encounter in the Major League Soccer league. With kick-off set for 22:30 UTC, fans and bettors alike are gearing up for what is often a fiercely contested derby.

Betting Odds and Predictions

The current odds favor a home win for New York City FC at 2.2, while a draw is priced at 3.5, and an away win for New York Red Bulls stands at 3.1. According to NerdyTips’ AI system, the top prediction for this match is over 2.5 goals, with a confidence rating of 6.8/10 and odds of 1.69. The 1×2 prediction leans towards a home win with a confidence rating of 1.6.

Performance Insights

New York City FC has shown a slightly better form in recent games, winning 37.4% of their last 99 matches. They have also been involved in high-scoring games, with 42.4% of their matches featuring over 2.5 goals. In contrast, New York Red Bulls have won 34.8% of their last 89 games, with 49.4% of these matches seeing over 2.5 goals.

Recent Form

New York City FC has secured 4 victories in their last 10 outings, averaging 1.7 goals per game while conceding 1.5. They have maintained an average possession of 52.6% and attempted 12.5 shots per game. On the other hand, New York Red Bulls have struggled, with only 2 wins in their last 10 matches. They have averaged 1.5 goals per game but have conceded 2.0 goals on average, with 7 of these matches exceeding 2.5 total goals.

Head-to-Head and Historical Context

In their last head-to-head meeting on May 19, 2024, New York City FC edged out a 2-1 victory over New York Red Bulls. Historically, matches between these two sides have been closely contested, often featuring goals from both teams. This trend aligns with broader MLS statistics, where both teams scored in 59.3% of matches.

Key Match Statistics

The projected ball possession favors New York City FC at 61%, compared to 39% for New York Red Bulls. The expected shot count is 13 for the home team and 10 for the visitors, with both sides forecasted to have 4 shots on target. The total corners are expected to be 9, split between 5 for New York City FC and 4 for New York Red Bulls. Both teams are anticipated to receive 2 yellow cards each.

Conclusion

With both teams having a history of high-scoring encounters and the AI prediction favoring over 2.5 goals, bettors might find value in exploring the goals market. New York City FC’s slightly better form and home advantage could make them a favorable option for a win. However, given the unpredictable nature of derbies, a close contest with potential surprises is on the cards. As always, bettors should consider all available information and bet responsibly.